BLACK PANTHER WEEKEND THREAD | Current Estimates - 202.4M 3-day / 242.6M 4-day | Record 40.167 Monday; more than TFA!

[Ithil]

I just saw the film, it was great. I can see incredible legs for it. It's not just an event for what it represents, it's a damn good blockbuster too. There's no major releases soon either, it's got the next month pretty much to itself.

[Chewy]

1 minute ago, feasby007 said:

I'd say July doesn't look too bad! Ant-Man and the Wasp should surely be able to garner $250m+, Skyscraper is the latest Rock flick which could pull $200m+ as well, then you have Mamma Mia 2, which is obviously gonna open bigger than Infinity War, and Tom Cruise's MI6, which is another summer flick which should do half decently at least. (Or flop like mummy domestically)

 

Also how could I forget The First Purge, definitely going to be horror of the year...

 

Yeah but I mean the mega-openers. Homecoming is a top 5 July opening now at only 117. July OW record is still holding strong from 2011, the oldest one, and there is nothing in sight that's going to come anywhere close

[Jonwo]

2 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

So a film debuting near $200 million in a month like February is insane! Maybe Silver And Black should be the next big marvel hit in February next year or New Mutants. 

 

Peter Rabbit’s hold is very strong and should see a total of around $85 million domestic. 

 

Fifty Shades Freed’s hold was identical to Darker’s hold. $100 million still in the table anyone? Universal’s 2018 should be strong though both domestic and international. Although their next film will bomb. 

Silver and Black hasn't even got a script written, it's not going to ready for February and The New Mutants is iffy, the delay by 10 months and reshoots doesn't fill me with hope. 

 

I would not be surprised if one of the many December films moves to February. 

1 minute ago, Maxmoser3 said:

Venom has a shot if it’s good and it doesn’t do any BS like with that trailer. Halloween is a 50/50. 

 

January is fough. They may have a better shot in November more than anything 

Halloween likely will do very well, whether it can do over $55m OW remains to be seen. 

[WrathOfHan]

There's an outside shot for January, I guess. It'd be a twist of epic proportions though!

 

[aabattery]

1 minute ago, Chewy said:

 

Yeah but I mean the mega-openers. Homecoming is a top 5 July opening now at only 117. July OW record is still holding strong from 2011, the oldest one, and there is nothing in sight that's going to come anywhere close

 

Wow. Doubting Ant-Man and the Wasp. Where is your FeigeFaith?

[grey ghost]

6 minutes ago, MattW said:

Care to make a wager? What do you think is the low and high end

Sure, I bet 100 points BP will make over 500 m DOM.

 

100 points it will make over 1 billion WW.

 

50 points it will make over 550 DOM.

 

And 50 points it will make over 1.15 billion.

 

Accept whichever bets or all of them, here... 

 

 

You start with 750 points.

 

Try not to go broke too fast. 

 

 

[grey ghost]

Page 169.

[Jonwo]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

There's an outside shot for January, I guess. It'd be a twist of epic proportions though!

 

Glass should do well but I imagine American Sniper's record is safe.

[cookie]

22 minutes ago, Chewy said:

It's interesting that studios have moved away from July for the biggest titles

July 2019 with Spider-Man H 2 and Lion King should be pretty big but there seems to be a general disinterest in plucking anything massive past 4th of July week otherwise.

Edited February 18, 2018 by cookie

[AN9815]

14 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Yeah but I mean the mega-openers. Homecoming is a top 5 July opening now at only 117. July OW record is still holding strong from 2011, the oldest one, and there is nothing in sight that's going to come anywhere close

The Lion King live action movie is probably going to take that record 

Edited February 18, 2018 by AN9815

[KP1025]

The Lion King should easily take the opening weekend record for July.

Edited February 18, 2018 by KP1025

[Eric the IF]

 

[cmbbox2390]

46 minutes ago, Alexiswills12 said:

 

 

Who would have thought!

This is just incredible! I want to see Kevin Fiege’s and Marvel’s reaction to this.

[Fancyarcher]

42 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Venom's best case scenario is probably Gravity numbers at best, I suspect it'll be more like high 40s. Mowgli is iffy, it's been in the can for so long because of the VFX that its moment has passed. 

 

 

Mowgli feels like a obligation for WB at this point. With it being delayed constantly, and the fact that the recent live-action Disney version is still fresh in people's mind, I don't think it'll do such great business. 

[The Panda]

Near future movies that could break a month’s OW records

 

Jan - Glass? As Astra?

Feb - Black Panther just did it

March - Captain Marvel?

April - Shazam! ?

May - Infinity War Part 1 or 2, Aladdin?, Detective Pikachu?

June - Jurassic World 2? (Probably not)

July - The Lion King

Aug - Untitled DC/WB Film?

Sep - IT Chapter 2

Oct - Halloween, Venom, First Man

Nov - Wonder Woman 2, Frozen 2, The Grinch? 

Dec - SW Episode 10

 

Other potential records that could be broken this year or next

Animated OW and DOM: The Incredibles 2, The Grinch, Frozen 2, Toy Story 4

 

R-Rated OW and DOM: Deadpool 2, IT Chapter 2

 

Memorial Day: Solo, Aladdin

 

Lowest Grossing 7th entry to a franchise: Transformers 7

 

Highest Grossing Movie to never take the #1 spot: Wicked

[MovieMan89]

Lol, that’s like the most lowballed Sunday estimate ever for BP. Weekend actuals could be up 7-10m. What’s the record for most an estimate has been off?

[B D Joe]

8 minutes ago, The Mad Panda said:

Near future movies that could break a month’s OW records

 

Jan - Glass? As Astra?

Feb - Black Panther just did it

March - Captain Marvel?

April - Shazam! ?

May - Infinity War Part 1 or 2, Aladdin?, Detective Pikachu?

June - Jurassic World 2? (Probably not)

July - The Lion King

Aug - Untitled DC/WB Film?

Sep - IT Chapter 2

Oct - Halloween, Venom, First Man

Nov - Wonder Woman 2, Frozen 2, The Grinch? 

Dec - SW Episode 10

 

Other potential records that could be broken this year or next

Animated OW and DOM: The Incredibles 2, The Grinch, Frozen 2, Toy Story 4

 

R-Rated OW and DOM: Deadpool 2, IT Chapter 2

 

Memorial Day: Solo, Aladdin

 

Lowest Grossing 7th entry to a franchise: Transformers 7

 

Highest Grossing Movie to never take the #1 spot: Wicked

I think Finding Dory's OW will be safe from those.  Maybe if Frozen 2 opened on a Friday.

[Lordmandeep]

Um guys RTH just liked my 55 million Sunday post

[Blankments]

just saw Early Man and the lobby was more packed than I've ever seen it in my college town. Saw a little kid dressed as Captain America too

[aabattery]

2 hours ago, eXtacy said:

Yeah, that is a huge lowball for Sunday. Actuals will be 5-6m higher

2 hours ago, Lordmandeep said:

I am thinking 55 Sunday for sure...

 

Rth dropping them likes.