BLACK PANTHER WEEKEND THREAD | Current Estimates - 202.4M 3-day / 242.6M 4-day | Record 40.167 Monday; more than TFA!

[grey ghost]

14 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

Google trending for the last 24 hours shows GA DC, MD, NC, MI, SC, LA, VA, AL, TX in that order.  Never seen anything like that....CA almost always #1..for this #11.  

Then those states have the most woke black populations...in that order.

[aabattery]

If it does do 55M on Sunday, that's at least a 197M weekend. That'll give it a PTA of 49k, which is above Jurassic World.

[narniadis]

I think I would rather it stay at 192 than be so close to 200m and still miss

[LaughingEvans]

BP is doing a monumental BO. 

[Chewy]

If it gets within 2M of 200 it'll be above 200.

[the beast]

Really hope it gets to 200m+ for weekend

[Alexiswills12]

1 minute ago, narniadis said:

I think I would rather it stay at 192 than be so close to 200m and still miss

Deadline had this number Saturday morning:

“Currently, Saturday should see around $61M which puts us at these figures”

 

The film ended up doing 66.

 

They now project it to gross 52 for a 195 total. If they’re off by 5m again..  

 

[aabattery]

199.9M weekend for max hilarity.

 

[Blaze Heatnix]

8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Any announced DCEU that isn't WW2 will not make over 100M on OW. I feel confident saying that right now.

 

Suicide Squad 2 might do it, but yeah, DCEU needs to make good movies and well reviewed ones...

 

Then they'll win people back. 

[Jonwo]

45 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

Mowgli feels like a obligation for WB at this point. With it being delayed constantly, and the fact that the recent live-action Disney version is still fresh in people's mind, I don't think it'll do such great business. 

WB isn't to blame, I think the VFX aspect and Andy Serkis' directorial debut (ironically he shot another movie in the interim which ended up being his directorial debut) was appealing but clearly it's taken a lot longer than they expected. I think WB will take it on the chin if Mowgli underperforms and allow Serkis to direct say Animal Farm.

 

 

45 minutes ago, The Mad Panda said:

Near future movies that could break a month’s OW records

 

Jan - Glass? As Astra?

Feb - Black Panther just did it

March - Captain Marvel?

April - Shazam! ?

May - Infinity War Part 1 or 2, Aladdin?, Detective Pikachu?

June - Jurassic World 2? (Probably not)

July - The Lion King

Aug - Untitled DC/WB Film?

Sep - IT Chapter 2

Oct - Halloween, Venom, First Man

Nov - Wonder Woman 2, Frozen 2, The Grinch? 

Dec - SW Episode 10

 

Other potential records that could be broken this year or next

Animated OW and DOM: The Incredibles 2, The Grinch, Frozen 2, Toy Story 4

 

R-Rated OW and DOM: Deadpool 2, IT Chapter 2

 

Memorial Day: Solo, Aladdin

 

Lowest Grossing 7th entry to a franchise: Transformers 7

 

Highest Grossing Movie to never take the #1 spot: Wicked

I think January is safe as is March, I don't see Captain Marvel capturing the zeitgest but it'll a very healthy OW. 

 

I think either Frozen or Wonder Woman 2 will break the November record. Grinch should do well but I think it'll be more leggy compared to SLOP but with a lower ow

[That One Girl]

199.69M

[Zakiyyah6]

Great numbers domestic and overseas. The film is stunning and deserves every penny.

[Fancyarcher]

1 minute ago, aabattery said:

199.9M weekend for max hilarity.

 

It's a shame Disney doesn't fudge their movies, because a 200m estimated and then a fall to 199.9m, could have been as epic as Paramount and Age of Extinction.

[The Panda]

Black Panther’s range will be something like this (assuming Sunday is underestimate by about 5m)

 

FSG: 386m

BvS Multi: 391.6m

SM3: 438m

DH2: 442m

CW multi: 449m

IM3: 462.7m

AOU Multi: 472.8m

F7: 473m

IM2: 480m

SS: 481m

MOS: 494m

Logan: 505m

Ragnarok: 507m

IT: 523m

GOTG VOL2: 524m

Hunger Games: 528m

Catching Fire: 530m

Deadpool: 541.8m

TDKR: 551m

TLJ: 555m

SMH: 562m

BATB: 570.7m

Avengers Multi: 591m

IM: 639m

TDK: 664m

RO: 676m

SM: 696m

GOTG: 697m

TFA: 747m

WW: 788m

Zootopia: 895m

Frozen: 1.176B

Avatar: 1.916B

Jumanj: 2B

Showman: 3.447B

Titanic: 3.788B

[aabattery]

Look at these theatre counts.

 

 

200M would have happened if Disney hadn't been stingy with the theatre count. Heard it here first.

[That One Girl]

Just now, The Mad Panda said:

Showman: 3.447B

 

 

Only had an A CinemaScore while Black Panther has an A+.  Black Panther over $3.447B confirmed.

[Rumpot]

20 minutes ago, Jandrew said:

DC at #2, wow, just wow. And Michigan over Texas and Illinois is pretty amazing too. Do you know where FL, TN, IL, NY, AR, and MS stand? Who's the lowest? Wyoming? Ugh, those Wyomingans.

Sorry meant MS not MI.  Mississippi.  

TX - 10, IL - 12, NY - 13, TN - 14, FL - 15, AR - 27

-SD, MA, MO (#51) round out the bottom 3 right now

[Jandrew]

2 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

Sorry meant MS not MI.  Mississippi.  

TX - 10, IL - 12, NY - 13, TN - 14, FL - 15, AR - 27

-SD, MA, MO (#51) round out the bottom 3 right now

Thanks! By MO, surely you mean Montana and not Missouri right? No way would St Louis let that fly.

[Rumpot]

3 minutes ago, Jandrew said:

Thanks! By MO, surely you mean Montana and not Missouri right? No way would St Louis let that fly.

Yep, Montana.  I've gotta work on my state abbreviations

[Fancyarcher]

4 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

WB isn't to blame, I think the VFX aspect and Andy Serkis' directorial debut (ironically he shot another movie in the interim which ended up being his directorial debut) was appealing but clearly it's taken a lot longer than they expected. I think WB will take it on the chin if Mowgli underperforms and allow Serkis to direct say Animal Farm.

Oh I know. They should have waited for Serkis to direct a few films before given handing him the keys to a big budgeted tentpole however. That and even if the film is good, it does feel like a case of coming out "too late".