INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE

[cannastop]

Just now, KJsooner said:

I’m not buying that 95-105 mil od range either. I will wait for Rth to confirm it. He’s usually more accurate as other sources lowball numbers.

Just like the people who said that the previews had to be in the $50m range.

[Thrylos 7]

Just now, fabiopazzo2 said:

Someone here underestimate the outstanding performance set up by TFA

 

+215/220M for IW is Incredible

No, it’s not, it’s really not. It’s just o.k, for this kind of movie, not terrible ,not very good. Not everything is measured in absolute numbers , there are other parameters on play when determining things like this.

[Stewart]

1 minute ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Same here but an extra hour.

Same here but an extra 12 hours and 45 minutes on top of that.

[IronJimbo]

Just now, cannastop said:

Just like the people who said that the previews had to be in the $50m range.

don't kick someone while they're down... especially when still recovering from that $39m

[Dementeleus]

Here are the OW predictions from the summer game:

 

AndyLL               349
WrathOfHan        300
MovieMan89        280
slambros             280
druv                   275
Chewy                270
Glassfairy            268
JJ-8                   263.8
captainwondy      262
Mike Hunt           255
Infernus              255
aabattery           250.69
Kalo                    250
Simionski             250
greyghost            250
DarkAlfred           247
baumer               245
Panda                 245
kayu                   245
George               240
bcf                     240
Fancyarcher         240
Wrath                 238
cmasterclay         238
Deja23               237.1
Isle of Pasta        235
Empire                234
Zeesoh               230
MrPink               230
TOG                   229
Jake Gittes          228
chasmmi             227
Sheikh              225.75
tree                   222
Tele                   220
Schumacher       218
24Lost               209
 

[ThomasNicole]

1 minute ago, KJsooner said:

I’m not buying that 95-105 mil od range either. I will wait for Rth to confirm it. He’s usually more accurate as other sources lowball numbers.

$ 95M is low [it means $ 56M real friday, even Ultron did that 3 years ago]

but it won't be much higher than $ 100M

 

i'm thinking

$ 102M friday

$ 74M saturday

$ 59M sunday

 

$ 235M debut

[The Panda]

I feel like the new Star Wars movies spoiled us on just how big a 200m OW and 500m DOM really is

[Poseidon]

4 minutes ago, That Ambitious Guy said:

 

Very original indeed.  It’s only the sequel to about 18 other movies.  No big deal.

 

Sequels often lose the casual moviegoers. 
I think IW won them back by selling it as the Must See movie of the year.

 

That's what I meant with my post.

 

Of course it IS a sequel, but the hype is definetely wider spread, than it was for Ultron. 

[BardCrank]

In my city ( not in america ) you go to the theater and buy a ticket because there are always empty seats 
Today that was not the case , almost every theater is locked for the weekend and that has never happened before 
I'm pretty certain this movie will be a beast in north america but it will absolutely kill it globally 

[IronJimbo]

Just now, Trolltastic Tele said:

Here are the OW predictions from the summer game:

 

AndyLL               349
WrathOfHan        300
MovieMan89        280
slambros             280
druv                   275
Chewy                270
Glassfairy            268
JJ-8                   263.8
captainwondy      262
Mike Hunt           255
Infernus              255
aabattery           250.69
Kalo                    250
Simionski             250
greyghost            250
DarkAlfred           247
baumer               245
Panda                 245
kayu                   245
George               240
bcf                     240
Fancyarcher         240
Wrath                 238
cmasterclay         238
Deja23               237.1
Isle of Pasta        235
Empire                234
Zeesoh               230
MrPink               230
TOG                   229
Jake Gittes          228
chasmmi             227
Sheikh              225.75
tree                   222
Tele                   220
Schumacher       218
24Lost               209
 

Tele I think you don't like to admit it but we probably have similar film taste

[DAR]

Ain't a thing wrong with a prediction in the low to mid 230's

 

https://derby.boxofficetheory.com/AllPredictions.aspx

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, Trolltastic Tele said:

Isle of Pasta        235
Empire                234
Zeesoh               230
MrPink               230
TOG                   229
Jake Gittes          228
chasmmi             227

 

Might be a close call but I’m leaning toward TOG for now

[DAJK]

4 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

I wish you were me

Switch places with me. You can sit in a boiling hot appartment downtown Vancouver with no money and nothing to do, and I'll go watch avengers in a nice air conditioned thetare 

[fabiopazzo2]

3 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said:

No, it’s not, it’s really not. It’s just o.k, for this kind of movie, not terrible ,not very good. Not everything is measured in absolute numbers , there are other parameters on play when determining things like this.

What you expect? 270M OW????? 

 

[Rman823]

8 minutes ago, That Ambitious Guy said:

 

Very original indeed.  It’s only the sequel to about 18 other movies.  No big deal.

To be fair I've seen plenty of people who've seen few if none of the other films say they weren't confused at all and that they still enjoyed the movie. Which couldn't be said for Civil War. 

[Dementeleus]

Just now, That Ambitious Guy said:

 

Might be a close call but I’m leaning toward TOG for now

 

Tele says referring to yourself in the third-person means a threadban.

[Stewart]

2 minutes ago, Trolltastic Tele said:

AndyLL               349

Somebody must've mistyped their first digit 

[CoolioD1]

wednesday post

 

On 25/04/2018 at 10:19 PM, CoolioD1 said:

it's gonna open to like 230 and we'll get 300 pages of people talking about whether or not that's disappointing.

 

[spizzer]

4 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

You're right, it's gonna be $61.31M:)...

 

But seriously, when Deadline is making those predicts, they already know all the prime time sellouts for tonight at reserved places (and probably are assuming the same at non-reserved ones)...so to go higher, there need to be better west coast matinees than east coast (b/c they are probably assuming the same sales on both coasts for these shows, which are not sellouts) or added nightly showings either by stealing shows (which is gonna be hard b/c AIW got so many dedicated screens already at theaters) or going late night...last night, theaters didn't really go much late night...we'll see if they change their minds tonight...

 

Yes I am aware.  And they only have gauge of walk-up business that has already occurred, not of what will occur throughout the rest of the day (and Marvel films in particular tend to trend on the stronger side for walk-ups among tentpole openers). 

 

Presales were absurdly high for even a Marvel film and a lot of that has been satisfied from the Thursday previews which were considerably higher than the next best Marvel film, but at the same time buzz/unaided awareness tracking (which I take as a proxy for  was at or close to record-level, and looking at that in conjunction with presale data (and now preview gross) continues to paint a picture of record-level OW demand (ITO attendance).

 

When Deadline is making those "predictions", their sole goal is to be the first ones to break the headline.  Back when Nikki was the editor, she was never one to miss a scoop, but there was still some sense of trying to be as accurate as well.  Now its just about being first.

[fabiopazzo2]

Now 215M is disappointed...