REC Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) 3 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Highly doubt it. It is at 725 and will need 275m over the next 3 days which averages out to about 92m per day. Now on Tuesday the numbers are gonna rise due to the holiday but they will drop hard on Wed+Thu. So I think it will hit a billion on Friday which would make it the fastest to a billion dollar which it is gonna do in 10 days whereas TFA took 12 days. If China and Russia had opened at the same time however then I think we would have seen 1 billion on tuesday itself Even if it doesn't hit it exactly, it's going to be damn close. Like you said, by friday for sure. Maybe it will take a full day on thursday to get there. Ok so... 7 days of release plus previews. I mean really, cmon. Close enough. 900m by end of day Wed. This much money, they're gonna have difficulty counting it up. Edited May 1, 2018 by REC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 much larger Monday # for IW than all comparisons. This might suggest a flat Tuesday number from Monday. All in all, 50 million for Mon + Tues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 The lowest # for Wednesday would probably be 0.7 Monday, around 17-18. Same for Thursday as well. Roughly 85 for weekdays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 Avengers: Infinity War BV $24,740,117 -64% - 4,474 $5,530 $282,438,300 4 2 2 A Quiet Place Par. $893,411 -69% -41% 3,565 $251 $149,421,689 25 3 4 I Feel Pretty STX $717,175 -68% -40% 3,440 $208 $30,338,006 11 4 3 Rampage (2018) WB (NL) $496,888 -78% -61% 3,508 $142 $78,527,760 18 5 9 Blockers Uni. $488,480 -37% -7% 2,324 $210 $53,735,230 25 6 5 Black Panther BV $431,177 -66% -6% 1,650 $261 $688,796,094 74 7 6 Super Troopers 2 Fox $363,530 -65% -63% 2,125 $171 $22,577,746 11 8 7 Truth or Dare Uni. $239,790 -70% -49% 2,420 $99 $35,613,930 18 9 8 Ready Player One WB $233,060 -71% -58% 2,365 $99 $131,044,603 33 10 10 Traffik LGF $162,725 -67% -47% 1,046 $156 $6,949,693 11 11 11 Isle Of Dogs FoxS $156,801 -66% -46% 1,001 $157 $27,204,799 39 12 - I Can Only Imagine RAtt. $92,000 -61% -57% 970 $95 $81,176,294 46 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 A Wrinkle in Time BV $46,999 -76% -9% 371 $127 $94,977,901 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lancelot Gold Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 19 minutes ago, YLF said: Deadpool and Solo won't cut into its legs the week 4-5? It should get to 600M or near 600M by the 4th weekend, but won't it be hard after that with 2 movies that will be opening wide? It'll get to or close to 600 with its 3rd weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Considering Civil War jumped 5% on 1st Tue, AIW can do close to 10% imo. Gives 27+ Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Just now, a2k said: Considering Civil War jumped 5% on 1st Tue, AIW can do close to 10% imo. Gives 27+ Tuesday. I think Monday was larger from spillover. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said: I think Monday was larger from spillover. Spillover is just another word for high demand. Avenger's also had a "spillover" Monday. AIW's Monday was 32% higher than Avenger's Monday - higher than the the 21% AIW had over Avengers on Sunday. It's still bubbling over. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) In India AIW did $3m on Monday. Friday was $4.5m. So less than 35% Friday-Monday drop. For huge openers 50-60% Fri-Mon drop is considered strong. The Jungle Book is the biggest Hollywood grosser in India with approx $25-30m. AIW should do at least $40m with a small but real shot at $50m. Edited May 1, 2018 by a2k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 10 minutes ago, YLF said: Deadpool and Solo won't cut into its legs the week 4-5? It should get to 600M or near 600M by the 4th weekend, but won't it be hard after that with 2 movies that will be opening wide? IW should take the biggest hit from Deadpool 2 and recover after that. Memorial Day weekend should soften the drop the following week, as well as potential double features with Solo. Incredibles 2 might also offer another opportunity for a softer drop (both are superhero movies so the combination makes sense, but it could also go to Solo). I don't have enough data points to say conclusively, but it does look like Disney's holdovers benefit when paired in double features with one of their major films releasing (despite the holdover suffering theater/screen cuts). Majority of drive-ins are only open for the summer, so this effect tends to be strongest past June when all of them are open for business (and weakest in the winter). How big the new opener is also seems to be another factor in the strength of the boost, as the paired film gets 100% of the profit from these drive-ins. Sometimes, only the biggest holdover receives the boost. Other times, it's another or both. Depends on which double feature combination is offered or most popular. Most recent example is when BP dropped under 5% against IW. AWiT increased 34% the same weekend despite suffering another harsh theater drop. Granted, AWiT's weekends were already low enough that even a small boost from IW's double features would translate into an increase. From 2017, there are a few examples from the summer period as well. Beauty and the Beast dropped a bit over 25% when GotG2 opened in 4,347 theaters. GotG2 dropped under 40% when PotC5 opened in 4,276 theaters. PotC5 and GotG2 dropped 16% and under 20% respectively when Cars 3 opened in 4,256 theaters. Again, this could all be coincidental but I think it's an interesting point to consider. We'll know very soon when Solo opens. For 2016, it's not as clear but an obvious example was Zootopia increasing 70% when Finding Dory opened in 4,305 theaters. As far as double features go, it made sense for Disney to pair off its two biggest animated films that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Busiest Tuesday in raw tickets here since TFA I garner here in Canada. Should be around 0-5% drop I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 30M Tuesday. I feel like if I state it enough time it’ll come true. So 30M Tuesday. 5 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 24.7M is by far the best schoolday Monday result of all time (2nd place is Avengers 1 with a "measly" 18.9M). Another record bites the dust 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) 27 minutes ago, a2k said: In India AIW did $3m on Monday. Friday was $4.5m. So less than 35% Friday-Monday drop. For huge openers 50-60% Fri-Mon drop is considered strong. The Jungle Book is the biggest Hollywood grosser in India with approx $25-30m. AIW should do at least $40-45m with a small but real shot at $50m. It actually did 3.83m plus. The 3m figure is the nett which is what usually the Indian trades report. It is already 22m plus in 4 days. Tuesday is a holiday in many places here so Tueaday gross should be high as well. If it holds well over the next few days and weekend then it should at least be 35m usd by Sunday. At this point I dont see how it misses Jungle Book which did about 255 in local currency whereas Infinity War is already at 150 in 4 days Edited May 1, 2018 by ZeeSoh 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoLegMan Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 I'll give a serious prediction 23.7mill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 8 minutes ago, Sam said: 30M Tuesday. I feel like if I state it enough time it’ll come true. So 30M Tuesday. $25m Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted May 1, 2018 Author Share Posted May 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, Sam said: 30M Tuesday. I feel like if I state it enough time it’ll come true. So 30M Tuesday. Sam jinxing us into a 30M Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YLF Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Im shook. admittedly I just want this movie to do under BP dom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: It actually did 3.83m plus. The 3m figure is the nett which is what usually the Indian trades report. It is already 22m plus in 4 days. Tuesday is a holiday in many places here so Tueaday gross should be high as well. If it holds well over the next few days and weekend then it should at least be 35m usd by Sunday. At this point I dont see how it misses Jungle Book which did about 255 in local currency whereas Infinity War is already at 150 in 4 days Yeah, though reporting is done in nett. As record books go only nett matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...