vc2002 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 3 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 No surprise RPO and Rampage have become complete afterthoughts domestically but they're killing it overseas so WB will be more than happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, bladels said: This is absolute max I can see IW do: DOM: $890M (BP's legs) China: $600M OS-China: $1.3B (almost same multiplier as DOM) Total: $2.79B just enough to beat Avatar It's not gonna do it but it's fun to imagine IW using Avatar's legs: DOM: USD2.55b UK: USD450m Brazil: USD207m Mexico: USD225m France: USD 176m Germany: USD163m The list goes on.....Don't give up your dream!!! The list go on..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Rampage: 680k (+35%) 455k (-33%) 435k (-5%) 1.1M (+150%) 2M (+80%) 1.3M (-33%) 4.4M Weekend, 39% drop Ready Player One: 310k (+30%) 230k (-26%) 215k (-7%) 440k (+105%) 760k (+73%) 495k (-35%) 1.7M Weekend, 35% drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) 27 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: I think you're being a liiiitle too optimistic on the first two weeks of June. I see sub-50 drops, but it has to deal with a post-MD drop on June 1 and a potentially large TC loss on the 8th. Ocean's 8 should be pushing 4k theaters, and Hereditary will likely be in over 2,500. I don't know how wide of a release Open Road plans for Hotel Artemis, but that could easily be another 2k right there. After a huge opener there is usually a bounce in the holds. There hasnt been a $150m opener on MD weekend but you can see the holds after last years GotG2 open. So the fall would usually be larger but the recovery from Solo should more than counter it. Oceans8 is forecasted at 42m OW. I doubt it gets 4k theaters but it definitely wont get 12k screens. Maybe 7k at best. Non issue. Also, its not just TC and screens, for $150m they take some showtimes from other screens, hence the big recovery the following weekend 2 1 The Fate of the Furious Uni. $8,577,175 -57.0% 3,595 -482 $2,386 $207,184,705 $250 4 3 4 The Boss Baby Fox $5,976,818 -36.2% 3,284 -455 $1,820 $156,537,343 - 6 4 2 How to be a Latin Lover PNT $5,144,904 -58.0% 1,203 +85 $4,277 $20,548,224 - 2 5 6 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $5,087,749 -25.5% 2,680 -475 $1,898 $487,739,364 $160 8 4 2 The Fate of the Furious Uni. $5,400,845 -37.0% 3,067 -528 $1,761 $215,134,775 $250 5 5 5 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $4,809,170 -5.5% 2,172 -508 $2,214 $494,140,334 $160 9 6 3 The Boss Baby Fox $4,496,614 -24.8% 2,911 -373 $1,545 $162,275,884 - 7 7 4 How to be a Latin Lover PNT $3,858,898 -25.0% 1,123 -80 $3,436 $26,251,899 - 3 I looked at 2007 MD. Pirates was big. Shrek and spidey held a little better 1 N Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End BV $114,732,820 - 4,362 - $26,302 $127,972,864 $300 1 2 1 Shrek the Third P/DW $53,039,992 -56.4% 4,172 +50 $12,713 $203,378,450 $160 2 3 2 Spider-Man 3 Sony $14,335,436 -50.6% 3,723 -601 $3,850 $303,977,758 $258 4 3 2 Shrek the Third P/DW $28,020,991 -47.2% 4,109 -63 $6,819 $255,927,783 $160 3 4 N Mr. Brooks MGM $10,017,067 - 2,453 - $4,084 $10,017,067 $20 1 5 3 Spider-Man 3 Sony $7,578,055 -47.1% 3,402 -321 $2,228 $318,342,110 $258 5 Edited May 1, 2018 by POTUS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 14 minutes ago, bladels said: This is absolute max I can see IW do: DOM: $890M (BP's legs) China: $600M OS-China: $1.3B (almost same multiplier as DOM) Total: $2.79B just enough to beat Avatar It's not gonna do it but it's fun to imagine DOM: $1100M China: $1300M REST OF WORLD: $2300M Total: $4.7b In other words Avengers Infinity War will be <0.5A2 It's fun to imagine and possible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) 7 minutes ago, POTUS said: After a huge opener there is usually a bounce in the holds. There hasnt been a $150m opener on MD weekend but you can see the holds after last years GotG2 open. So the fall would usually be larger but the recovery from Solo should more than counter it. Oceans8 is forecasted at 42m OW. I doubt it gets 4k theaters but it definitely wont get 12k screens. Maybe 7k at best. Non issue 2 1 The Fate of the Furious Uni. $8,577,175 -57.0% 3,595 -482 $2,386 $207,184,705 $250 4 3 4 The Boss Baby Fox $5,976,818 -36.2% 3,284 -455 $1,820 $156,537,343 - 6 4 2 How to be a Latin Lover PNT $5,144,904 -58.0% 1,203 +85 $4,277 $20,548,224 - 2 5 6 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $5,087,749 -25.5% 2,680 -475 $1,898 $487,739,364 $160 8 4 2 The Fate of the Furious Uni. $5,400,845 -37.0% 3,067 -528 $1,761 $215,134,775 $250 5 5 5 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $4,809,170 -5.5% 2,172 -508 $2,214 $494,140,334 $160 9 6 3 The Boss Baby Fox $4,496,614 -24.8% 2,911 -373 $1,545 $162,275,884 - 7 7 4 How to be a Latin Lover PNT $3,858,898 -25.0% 1,123 -80 $3,436 $26,251,899 - 3 I looked at 2007 MD. Pirates was big. Shrek and spidey held a little better 1 N Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End BV $114,732,820 - 4,362 - $26,302 $127,972,864 $300 1 2 1 Shrek the Third P/DW $53,039,992 -56.4% 4,172 +50 $12,713 $203,378,450 $160 2 3 2 Spider-Man 3 Sony $14,335,436 -50.6% 3,723 -601 $3,850 $303,977,758 $258 4 3 2 Shrek the Third P/DW $28,020,991 -47.2% 4,109 -63 $6,819 $255,927,783 $160 3 4 N Mr. Brooks MGM $10,017,067 - 2,453 - $4,084 $10,017,067 $20 1 5 3 Spider-Man 3 Sony $7,578,055 -47.1% 3,402 -321 $2,228 $318,342,110 $258 5 We'll see. This is how I think June 8 will play out: Ocean's 8: 45M (4,000 theaters) Solo: 21M (3,500 theaters) (-45% from previous weekend) Action Point: 20M (3,500 theaters) (-40% from previous weekend) Deadpool 2: 16M (3,200 theaters) (-45% from previous weekend) Hereditary: 15M (2,500 theaters) Adrift: 11.5M (3,300 theaters) (-35% from previous weekend) Avengers: 6.5M (2,300 theaters) (-45% from previous weekend) Hotel Artemis: 5M (2,000 theaters) Upgrade: 3.5M (2,000 theaters) (-55% from previous weekend) Chances are it's going to be 7th that weekend. Edited May 1, 2018 by WrathOfHan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrGlass2 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 1 hour ago, Rebeccas said: Is it too late to CGI him purple That sounds like a great idea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 We'll know a lot more after the weekend, but 700m is looking good atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaybox Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 50 minutes ago, baumer said: No. okay thanks! lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepItU25071906 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) 43 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: Glad to see they are still releasing the number this early as if we all are care... I care (RP1), so... Edited May 1, 2018 by KeepItU25071906 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) For people who claim to know stuff about BO, some of you are a bit late to realize IW is something special and that it s doing something special at the BO. Everything points to a historic bo run. What were the multipliers of the OW breakers is the question you should all be asking yourselves right now. Edited May 1, 2018 by The Futurist 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A2M Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Looking more and more likely that this will settle as #2 movie WW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dingdong123 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 I think 600 million Dom is locked by now. But I’m still cautious about going above 700 million since CBM rarely goes above 3x multiplier of their OW unless it’s an origin movie or a movie kicking off a franchise (GOTG, Black Panther, The Avengers). So yeah, but hey the cliffhanger ending is making a lot of people talk about it so that must be a thing. And the no spoilers thing will just make everyone go to theatres in a hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kraken Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 That is one beautiful Monday number. I don't think BP's hold on domestic bronze will be a long one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 700m is happening. Come on peolle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 @baumer @aabattery @grim22 @CJohn Is there a rule set for making clubs or is it a case by case bases. A2 vs AIW2 worldwide 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Correct me if I'm wrong but IW's second week competition is going to be somehow worse than this weeks? Kind of sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 3 hours ago, IronJimbo said: @baumer @aabattery @grim22 @CJohn Is there a rule set for making clubs or is it a case by case bases. A2 vs AIW2 worldwide You have to wait for Avatar to be closer to release date. You can definitely make that club, in the sun clubs forum, but it has to be when Avatar 2 is no more than a year away from release. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: Correct me if I'm wrong but IW's second week competition is going to be somehow worse than this weeks? Kind of sad. IW2 > A2. A2 will be huge but it will drop from 1. That was a phenomenon that capitalized on kickstarting the doomed 3D craze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
