Weekend Thread | Asgard sneaks up on p.24 ~ H2018 28, ASIB 8.1, V 7.9 GB2 4.4,FM 3.7

[TwoMisfits]

33 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Look, I want Spider-Verse to be a smash hit too, but it's still coming out in a packed frame, the Spider-Man brand's been pretty oversaturated lately, it carries an art style that's not gonna appeal to everyone, and generally action animation doesn't result in success, unless comedy is played heavily into the marketing (see both Incredibles movies, Big Hero 6)

Exactly...pending reviews, which could totally change the game, it's probably the 2nd choice for supers fans (behind Aquaman), the 3rd choice for families (behind Mary Poppins and Aquaman - it could even be 4th, but I don't wanna give Bumblebee too much credit), and probably even the 2nd choice for animation fans (since many of them might still be catching up with the November openers, and supers animation just doesn't hit it big like other movies - see Teen Titans Go)...and then you can break it down to demographics (over/under 25 and male vs female), and I still don't see it as choice #1 for anyone...

 

Now, at Christmas, you don't have to be choice #1 to make money...but you can't be further down than choice #2/3 for too may demos and expect to make a huge sum...when you are #3/4, you are looking at good totals, not great ones...

 

PS - And Tom Holland is a killer to this movie...every time he's out and about, people will wonder why he's not in this movie b/c so many love him as Spidey...

Edited October 19, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[Zakiyyah6]

I also think that the whole Spider-Man universe thing could be crowded and confusing to people. 

[FantasticBeasts]

Still great and shit but it always sucks when we overhype something and it falls short.

[La Binoche]

https://deadline.com/2018/10/halloween-record-opening-weekend-box-office-1202485871/

 

Oh shit. $77M

[Eric Loves Rey]

Just now, La Binoche said:

https://deadline.com/2018/10/halloween-record-opening-weekend-box-office-1202485871/

 

Oh shit. $77M

[sfran43]

 

[WrathOfHan]

Quote

Hence, rival distributors are figuring the David Gordon Green directed slasher plays roughly akin to the B.O. trajectory of The Nun and It. 

 

OCTOBER RECORD IS HAPPENING BITCHESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS

[La Binoche]

THR says near $75M https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/box-office-halloween-earns-terrifying-77m-previews-1153705

Edited October 19, 2018 by La Binoche

[raulbalarezo]

 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Oh wow people freaking out about a Thursday number that came in slightly lower than estimated? Well I never...

[sfran43]

7 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

https://deadline.com/2018/10/halloween-record-opening-weekend-box-office-1202485871/

 

Oh shit. $77M

At 12:30pm west coast time?! Looks like deadline hasnt learned their lesson from their Thursday night prediction flub! They'll probably knock it down to $67M-$70M once estimates comes in! 

[TwoMisfits]

14 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

https://deadline.com/2018/10/halloween-record-opening-weekend-box-office-1202485871/

 

Oh shit. $77M

Funny that Deadline is still hedging bets saying if "later tonight" doesn't happen, it gets back to the 60s...I guess they got burned predicting normal horror late night walk ups last night, so now they are hedging in case walk ups do the same thing tonight...

 

"Worst case scenario, if tonight shows something significantly lower (which many aren’t expecting), like in the $60M-range over 3-days, "

 

I mean, no offense to Deadline, but having that huge a hedge is like being a worthless predictor...

Edited October 19, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[Nova]

People always freak out over Thursday numbers. You have to see how the actual weekend plays out. There are literally 3 other days for the rest of a weekend. Numbers from like 5 hours of showtimes are not predictive of how a movie is going to play out over the course of a weekend. 

[Valonqar]

so how much Halloween needs to beat October record? 81M?

[DAJK]

2 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

so how much Halloween needs to beat October record? 81M?

Anything above venom, even if it’s by a dollar 

[MrGlass2]

3 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

so how much Halloween needs to beat October record? 81M?

$8.26 M.

Edited October 19, 2018 by MrGlass2

[Lestranger]

The Friday rollercoaster continues per usual. 10m, no 7.7m, there goes record, deadline 77+, yup there goes record. Never change!

[John Marston]

77m would be amazing but hard to believe from that Thursday number. Going to wait and see if this is not Deadline jumping the gun again 

[Valonqar]

9 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

$8.26 M.

Ha,hat, that's clever!  Thanks @DAJK too!

[DAR]

A possible 75+ million opening for a film series where the highest grossing film is only 58 million is pretty damn good