Thanksgiving Weekend Thread: ESTIMATES (Page 40) | Ralph 55.7M (84.5M Total) | Creed II 35.3M (55.8M Total) | The Grinch 30.2M | Grindelwald 29.7M | Robin Hood 9.1M (14.2M Total) | AMAZING BLACK FRIDAY SALE

[kitik]

5 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

Personally, I’d like to see a Robin Hood:Mars. 

 

 

Directed by John Carpenter?

[JB33]

Hey, @Rthanos is back! When did that happen?

[RealLyre]

2 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimed of Yates and Rowling 😠 reported #s are $6.937mn. Full day would be $11.25-11.5mn, #4 in just sophomore session. FSS would be $28mn Approx.

not even 30M... 

I'm expecting nothing from FB2's box office and I'm still getting disappointed 

 

[Premium George]

Wow such a great weekend.

 

[a2k]

2 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

At 8PM EST, Ralph Breaks The Internet reported was $13,533,925 on 2553 locations. Full day would be $23mn Approx i.e. +123% from Thursday.

28.8 Wed-Thu

23

22.5 (-2%)

14.8 (-34%)

= 89.1

2 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

The Grinch's Friday reported is $7,104,862. Full day would be $11.5mn. FSS $29mn 

Am also thinking 29 FSS with that Fri.

25% drop in face of WIR2 is great. Trolls dropped 39% same weekend when Moana opened.

2 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimed of Yates and Rowling 😠 reported #s are $6.937mn. Full day would be $11.25-11.5mn, #4 in just sophomore session. FSS would be $28mn Approx.

28 would be 55% weekend drop, similar to JL's 56% same weekend.

FB2 will be on 115.5 with 28 weekend.

JL added only 1.39x the 2nd weekend to it's cume.

FB1 had added 1.7-1.8x more after a 39% drop.

 

If FB2 adds 1.5*28 = 42 more, it gets to 157.5

Very similar to DOFP (234) to APOC (155) drop.

 

With same Friday Grinch should beat FB2. Sat could be close but Sun will be better for Grinch.

 

@Charlie Jatinder THANKS FOR THE NUMBERS!

Edited November 24, 2018 by a2k

[fmpro]

4 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Creed 2 reported numbers $7,206,279. Full day would be $12.5mn Approx,  a rather okayish jump of 35%. FSS would be $31mn at this pace and $51mn 5 days.

That would be a horrible number for Creed. Not even @Rthanos number around 14 enough IMO.

I expected around 16-17 mill

[a2k]

3 hours ago, RealLyre said:

not even 30M... 

I'm expecting nothing from FB2's box office and I'm still getting disappointed 

 

FB1's 10-day will be very close to FB2's Dom it seems.

Nov 18–20	1	$74,403,387	-	4,144	-	$17,954	$74,403,387	1
Nov 25–27	2	$45,084,763	-39.4%	4,144	-	$10,880	$156,012,316	2

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

That would be a horrible number for Creed. Not even @Rthanos number around 14 enough IMO.

I expected around 16-17 mill

Not much above Creed1's 11.7m.

Creed1 did 2.61x the 5-day weekend. If Creed2 does 2.35x, gets to 120+ dom with 51-52 5-day.

Edited November 24, 2018 by a2k

[Eric is Anxious]

8 hours ago, DeeCee said:

Apparently there’s a Robin Hood 2058. 

 

Personally, I’d like to see a Robin Hood:Mars. 

There was also a cartoon in the 60s that had Robin Hood...IN SPACE

 

 

[sfran43]

Just fyi, but i won't be able to post Friday numbers today. But im sure my backup squad got this covered, lol!

[a2k]

41 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Ralph Breaks The Internet Friday reported gross $21,071,350. Official numbers will be $21.5mn. Total up at $49.8mn.

86 5-Day at most with 21.5 Friday

28.8 WT

21.5

21.0 (-2.3%)

13.7 (-35%)

= 85

 

Great result, beating expectations and handily going over Moana.

40 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Creed II Friday reported gross $13,801,731 from 3281 locations. Final number will be $14mn.

Good bump.

20.5 WT

14.0

13.25 (-5%)

7.25 (-45%)

= 55 5-day

Edited November 24, 2018 by a2k

[Legion Again]

21.5 is below Moana. @That One Guy‘s club looks to live (until December).

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

21.5 is below Moana. @That One Guy‘s club looks to live (until December).

Moana Dom was 3.03x it's 5-day and Coco's Dom was 2.88x.

 

Using 85-86 5-day WIR2 needs 2.91-2.94x to get 250 Dom. Just looking at it's previews and some front-loading compared to these films I think it's far fetched. 2.7x gives 230-232 dom.

[Premium George]

So, who will win b/w grinch and wir2, dom and ww both?

 

[Dingdong]

Lol Ralph just keeps going low as each day passes. Now its Friday is even lower than Moana after that massive Wednesday.

[MCKillswitch123]

10 hours ago, Dingdong said:

Ralph should’ve sticked to that March 2018 release where competition isn’t this massive.

You say that as if the movie isn't doing great   Its 3-day is undoubtedly going to increase from the 49M of WIR1, and its 5-day will be the 2nd or 3rd biggest for animation in Thanksgiving history. It will definitely cross 200M DOM as well, when WIR1 made 189M. But ohh, it's frontloaded, so it's doing awful. No shit Sherlock, it's obviously more frontloaded than Moana, Coco or what have you, cause it's a sequel. Just because Zootopia came out in March and made 300M+, doesn't mean everything would perform the same there. Zootopia was an absolute perfect storm. Yeah, Ralph wouldn't have had the same competition there, but it's still a sequel, so who knows if it hadn't been a little frontloaded anyway.

Edited November 24, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[sfran43]

Apparently my prior engagement got cancelled...

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[Premium George]

That's 300k above both asguard's number for fb2.

[a2k]

FB1 FSS +92.1% -5.9% -44.5% 

 

FB2

11.82 (+85.6%)

11.23 (-5%)

6.18 (-45%)

= 29.23 (-53%); 116.7 cume

 

Adding 1.5-1.6x the 2nd weekend more gives 160.5-163.5 dom.