Thanksgiving Weekend Thread: ESTIMATES (Page 40) | Ralph 55.7M (84.5M Total) | Creed II 35.3M (55.8M Total) | The Grinch 30.2M | Grindelwald 29.7M | Robin Hood 9.1M (14.2M Total) | AMAZING BLACK FRIDAY SALE

[Krissykins]

Yeh that’s gigantic for The Favourite.

 

Emma Stone was on Graham Norton promoting it two weeks ago and it’s not released until February lol

[MovieMan89]

Lol, The Favourite is literally the one indie Oscar flick I dismissed as having no box office potential. Go figure. Though I still doubt it does much out of limited. The Master had a similarly insane opening in limited too back in the day, expect it to play much more in that vein than say something like Budapest.

[Valonqar]

BR and IF are absolutely slaying. Increased from last Friday, holy shit! ? 

 

what is expected for all movies today? Big jumps, muted jumps, drops? Also, is Sunday going to see big drops?

[sfran43]

So much for the $90M+ 5 day weekend

 

[GraceRandolph]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

So much for the $90M+ 5 day weekend

 

Moana remains the best Disney animated movie since Pocahontas! 

[Eric Duncan]

14 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Holy fuck, The Favourite is going to have the biggest PTA since La La Land. Emma Stone. HER POWER

She coulda gotten Little Women to 300M smh

 

At least Chalabae will take it to 299M

[John Marston]

Not s terrible hold for Grindelwald honestly 

[TalismanRing]

8 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

BR and IF are absolutely slaying. Increased from last Friday, holy shit! ? 

 

what is expected for all movies today? Big jumps, muted jumps, drops? Also, is Sunday going to see big drops?

Mostly small drops.  Internal multis will be around 2.5-2.6

 

 

[a2k]

5 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Not s terrible hold for Grindelwald honestly 

I think 53% drop (29-29.5 weekend) is terrible after a deflated ow.

JL dropped 56% and FB1 dropped 39%. Falling in between those, 48-49% would have been normal.

[sfran43]

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Ralph Breaks the Internet	$57,000,000	—	4,017	—	$14,190	$85,800,000	1	Disney
2	Creed II	$35,000,000	—	3,441	—	$10,171	$55,513,000	1	MGM / Warner Bros
3	Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch	$29,500,000	-24%	3,960	-181	$7,449	$179,747,250	3	Universal
4	Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald	$29,000,000	-53%	4,163	0	$6,966	$116,467,000	2	Warner Bros.
5	Bohemian Rhapsody	$13,300,000	-17%	2,927	-883	$4,544	$151,464,253	4	20th Century Fox
6	Instant Family	$12,000,000	-17%	3,286	0	$3,652	$35,251,508	2	Paramount Pictures
7	Robin Hood	$9,000,000	—	2,827	—	$3,184	$14,095,000	1	Lionsgate / Summit
8	Widows	$7,900,000	-36%	2,803	0	$2,818	$25,530,819	2	20th Century Fox
9	Green Book	$5,400,000	1585%	1,063	1038	$5,080	$7,758,401	2	Universal Pictures
10	A Star is Born	$3,000,000	-30%	1,202	-808	$2,496	$191,000,000	8	Warner Bros.
11	The Nutcracker and the Four Realms	$2,800,000	-41%	1,757	-878	$1,594	$49,207,698	4	Walt Disney Pictures
12	Overlord	$1,100,000	-71%	1,223	-1636	$899	$20,175,026	3	Paramount Pictures

LIMITED (100 — 999)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Boy Erased	$1,100,000	-17%	672	263	$1,637	$4,482,637	4	Focus Features
2	Nobody’s Fool	$860,000	-61%	608	-693	$1,414	$30,467,263	4	Paramount
3	Venom	$700,000	-65%	585	-722	$1,197	$211,627,620	8	Sony / Columbia
4	The Front Runner	$600,000	696%	807	785	$743	$1,039,563	3	Sony / Columbia
5	Can You Ever Forgive Me?	$568,000	-36%	426	-129	$1,333	$6,001,746	6	Fox Searchlight
6	The Girl in the Spider’s Web	$338,000	-86%	983	-1946	$344	$14,374,400	3	Sony / Columbia
7	The Hate U Give	$302,000	-61%	260	-333	$1,162	$28,894,674	8	20th Century Fox
8	A Private War	$110,000	-84%	226	-639	$487	$1,377,868	4	Aviron Pictures
9	Incredibles 2	$59,000	-27%	106	-24	$557	$608,509,467	24	Disney
10	Hunter Killer	$40,000	-53%	101	-93	$396	$15,743,544	5	Lionsgate / Summit

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	The Favourite	$415,000	—	4	—	$103,750	$415,000	1	Fox Searchlight
2	At Eternity’s Gate	$210,000	126%	31	27	$6,774	$396,822	2	CBS Films
3	The Old Man & The Gun	$94,000	-43%	91	-80	$1,033	$10,782,328	9	Fox Searchlight
4	Disney’s Christopher Robin	$16,000	-52%	55	-37	$291	$99,207,420	17	Disney

[WrathOfHan]

LMAO @ THAT 83% DROP FOR SPIDER'S WEB RIP A 2X?

[Zakiyyah6]

Solid numbers for many of the films. Can Spider's Web get a 2.0 multiplier? Spider's Web will actually have a lower total than comparable movies, Red Sparrow (16.85mil) and Atomic Blonde (18.28mil) opening weekends. That is with far more well known source material. Holy shit are its numbers embarrassing. 

Edited November 24, 2018 by Zakiyyah6

[grim22]

12 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Solid numbers for many of the films. Can Spider's Web get a 2.0 multiplier? Spider's Web will actually have a lower total than comparable movies, Red Sparrow (16.85mil) and Atomic Blonde (18.28mil) opening weekends. That is with far more well known source material. Holy shit are it's numbers embarrassing. 

Next weekend, Claire Foy hosts SNL when both her movies will have flopped and will probably be playing in less than 600 theaters between the two combined. Horrible timing from SNL since it was definitely supposed to be a victory lap for Foy.

[TalismanRing]

15 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Solid numbers for many of the films. Can Spider's Web get a 2.0 multiplier? Spider's Web will actually have a lower total than comparable movies, Red Sparrow (16.85mil) and Atomic Blonde (18.28mil) opening weekends. That is with far more well known source material. Holy shit are it's numbers embarrassing. 

The source material though isn't that well known.  This is a add on come lately book of a series that's already been done or at least attempted twice and is well past it's sell by date.

 

Nor does it have a marquee name in the lead, nor the marketing budget and push and  RS's budget was twice the size.

 

They'd have been better off trying to get Noomi Rapace back and doing it in Swedish for under $10m.

 

 

 

Edited November 24, 2018 by TalismanRing

[John Marston]

honestly that is not a great hold for Grinch. It should have increased this weekend. Same with some other holdovers. This Thanksgiving weekend is kind of weak

[TalismanRing]

Just now, John Marston said:

honestly that is not a great hold for Grinch. It should have increased this weekend. Same with some other holdovers. This Thanksgiving weekend is kind of weak

Grinch had too much direct competition from WIR2 for an increase this w/e even with the Christmas theme.  Other holdovers did about the usual

 

 

[DAJK]

It's a pretty solid weekend all around, expectations just got out of hand after Wednesday. Ralph's gonna do 250 give or take, Creed can do 125 or more

[filmlover]

Ralph and Creed were clearly a bit frontloaded but are still putting up great numbers.

 

Fantastic Beasts begins its expected freefall. Great holds for The Grinch and Instant Family.

 

Green Book is starting to rebound a bit. Too bad Boy Erased isn't catching on, although it was a tough sell. The Front Runner making this little is hilariously embarrassing; Jason Reitman's fade from being a relevant director has been sad to watch.

 

Massive PTA for The Favourite. Won't set off the fireworks just yet (The Master, Inside Llewyn Davis, Steve Jobs, and Call Me by Your Name are all movies that posted $100K+ PTAs in recent years that failed to reach $20M), but considering how awards fare has been underperforming so much this year, it's a promising start.

[CoolioD1]

58 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Yeh that’s gigantic for The Favourite.

 

Emma Stone was on Graham Norton promoting it two weeks ago and it’s not released until February lol

Jan 1st is the UK date. still weird she was there though. melissa mccarthy was also on that show for CYEFM which doesn't come out until next year here either. i guess just because they were both in town for the london film festival.

[Zakiyyah6]

23 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Next weekend, Claire Foy hosts SNL when both her movies will have flopped and will probably be playing in less than 600 theaters between the two combined. Horrible timing from SNL since it was definitely supposed to be a victory lap for Foy.

Red Sparrow didn't even do well and Atomic Blonde only did okay but it does show you what a difference a star makes sometimes. Both of those films second weekend was above Spider's Web opening weekend by the way. 

 

Yep, this isn't a victory lap at all. I don't watch SNL anymore so I have no idea how she'll do. Hopefully she is given the chance to do well. 

Edited November 24, 2018 by Zakiyyah6