4-day Weekend Official| Alita $33.50M, Lego $27.75m, Isn't Romantic $16.64M, WMW $12.21m, HDD2U $11m

[Bishop54]

17 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

That would be 500k above the 3-Day estimate. Clear signs of good WOM.

Hopefully that puts it at $42M for the 5 day.

[charlie Jatinder]

11 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Sunday estimates (+/- 2%)

 

Isnt It Romantic -$4.1mn
What Men Want -$2.9mn
Happy Death Day 2 U⁠ ⁠⁠-$2.6mn
Cold Pursuit -$1.75mn

Rest are par morning estimates.

[MaxAggressor]

 

[MaxAggressor]

 

[MaxAggressor]

 

[MaxAggressor]

 

[DMan7]

Just now, MaxAggressor said:

 

[Bishop54]

11 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

Alita be like, "I want more!"

 

 

 

Edited February 18, 2019 by Bishop54

[a2k]

MONDAY

 

 

Rank*	Title	Friday 2/15 (Estimates)	Saturday 2/16 (Estimates)	Sunday 2/17 (Estimates)	Monday 2/18 (Estimates)
1	THE LEGO MOVIE 2: THE SECOND PART Warner Bros. 4,303	$4,435,000 +99.6% / $1,031 $45,910,359 / 8	$9,050,000 +104.1% / $2,103 $54,960,359 / 9	$7,540,000 -16.7% / $1,752 $62,500,359 / 10	$6,300,000 -16.4% / $1,464 $68,800,359 / 11
2	ALITA: BATTLE ANGEL Fox 3,790	$7,470,000 -14.3% / $1,971 $16,186,232 / 2	$11,590,000 +55.2% / $3,058 $27,776,232 / 3	$9,190,000 -20.7% / $2,425 $36,966,232 / 4	$6,050,000 -34.2% / $1,596 $43,016,232 / 5
3	ISN'T IT ROMANTIC Warner Bros. (New Line) 3,444	$4,170,000 -5.7% / $1,211 $10,415,347 / 3	$5,910,000 +41.7% / $1,716 $16,325,347 / 4	$4,230,000 -28.4% / $1,228 $20,555,347 / 5	$2,330,000 -44.9% / $677 $22,885,347 / 6
4	WHAT MEN WANT Paramount 2,912	$2,930,000 -9.9% / $1,006 $28,160,328 / 8	$4,705,000 +60.6% / $1,616 $32,865,328 / 9	$3,050,000 -35.2% / $1,047 $35,915,328 / 10	$1,685,000 -44.8% / $579 $37,600,328 / 11
5	HAPPY DEATH DAY 2U Universal 3,207	$2,844,000 +4.1% / $887 $6,555,500 / 3	$3,988,000 +40.2% / $1,244 $10,543,500 / 4	$2,688,000 -32.6% / $838 $13,231,500 / 5	$1,492,000 -44.5% / $465 $14,723,500 / 6
6	THE UPSIDE STX Entertainment 2,781	$1,340,000 +4.3% / $482 $89,947,031 / 36	$2,430,000 +81.3% / $874 $92,377,031 / 37	$1,710,000 -29.6% / $615 $94,087,031 / 38	$1,080,000 -36.8% / $388 $95,167,031 / 39
7	COLD PURSUIT Lionsgate/Summit 2,630	$1,501,000 +14% / $571 $16,623,332 / 8	$2,577,000 +71.7% / $980 $19,200,332 / 9	$1,887,000 -26.8% / $717 $21,087,332 / 10	$1,035,000 -45.2% / $394 $22,122,332 / 11
8	GLASS Universal 2,449	$964,000 +2.5% / $394 $101,594,915 / 29	$1,694,000 +75.7% / $692 $103,288,915 / 30	$1,255,000 -25.9% / $512 $104,543,915 / 31	$753,000 -40% / $307 $105,296,915 / 32
9	SPIDER-MAN: INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE Sony / Columbia 1,207	$435,000 +43.2% / $360 $181,190,904 / 64	$847,000 +94.7% / $702 $182,037,904 / 65	$738,000 -12.9% / $611 $182,775,904 / 66	$645,000 -12.6% / $534 $183,420,904 / 67
10	GREEN BOOK Universal 1,618	$660,000 +20% / $408 $63,665,401 / 92	$1,209,000 +83.2% / $747 $64,874,401 / 93	$983,000 -18.7% / $608 $65,857,401 / 94	$639,000 -35% / $395 $66,496,401 / 95
11	THE PRODIGY Orion Pictures 2,530	$848,644 +2.8% / $335 $8,714,118 / 8	$1,351,421 +59.2% / $534 $10,065,539 / 9	$966,178 -28.5% / $382 $11,031,717 / 10	$475,000 -50.8% / $188 $11,506,717 / 11
12	AQUAMAN Warner Bros. 1,264	$420,000 +26.4% / $332 $329,906,102 / 57	$820,000 +95.2% / $649 $330,726,102 / 58	$615,000 -25% / $487 $331,341,102 / 59	$460,000 -25.2% / $364 $331,801,102 / 60
-	RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET Buena Vista 1,354	$174,000 +229.9% / $129 $197,861,244 / 87	$426,000 +144.8% / $315 $198,287,244 / 88	$393,000 -7.7% / $290 $198,680,244 / 89	$331,000 -15.8% / $244 $199,011,244 / 90
-	A DOG'S WAY HOME Sony / Columbia 880	$195,000 +35.8% / $222 $39,646,394 / 36	$385,000 +97.4% / $438 $40,031,394 / 37	$295,000 -23.4% / $335 $40,326,394 / 38	$250,000 -15.3% / $284 $40,576,394 / 39
-	BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY Fox 562	$234,000 +54.1% / $416 $211,265,709 / 106	$375,000 +60.3% / $667 $211,640,709 / 107	$351,000 -6.4% / $625 $211,991,709 / 108	$240,000 -31.6% / $427 $212,231,709 / 109
-	THEY SHALL NOT GROW OLD Warner Bros. 626	$225,000 +55.6% / $359 $14,496,347 / 61	$435,000 +93.3% / $695 $14,931,347 / 62	$360,000 -17.2% / $575 $15,291,347 / 63	$235,000 -34.7% / $375 $15,526,347 / 64
-	MISS BALA Sony / Columbia 1,172	$241,000 -25.5% / $206 $13,132,198 / 15	$388,000 +61% / $331 $13,520,198 / 16	$331,000 -14.7% / $282 $13,851,198 / 17	$200,000 -39.6% / $171 $14,051,198 / 18
-	A STAR IS BORN (2018) Warner Bros. 843	$205,000 +104.3% / $243 $209,216,688 / 134	$340,000 +65.9% / $403 $209,556,688 / 135	$275,000 -19.1% / $326 $209,831,688 / 136	$185,000 -32.7% / $219 $210,016,688 / 137
-	THE FAVOURITE Fox Searchlight 324	$130,000 +34.2% / $401 $30,673,285 / 85	$252,000 +93.8% / $778 $30,925,285 / 86	$248,000 -1.6% / $765 $31,173,285 / 87	$170,000 -31.5% / $525 $31,343,285 / 88
-	VICE Annapurna Pictures 702	$116,377 +24.3% / $166 $45,636,614 / 53	$249,173 +114.1% / $355 $45,885,787 / 54	$200,433 -19.6% / $286 $46,086,220 / 55	$130,281 -35% / $186 $46,216,501 / 56
-	THE KID WHO WOULD BE KING Fox 415	$74,000 +78.9% / $178 $16,019,074 / 22	$144,000 +94.6% / $347 $16,163,074 / 23	$126,000 -12.5% / $304 $16,289,074 / 24	$121,000 -4% / $292 $16,410,074 / 25
-	ESCAPE ROOM Sony / Columbia 635	$153,000 -12.1% / $241 $55,253,767 / 43	$273,000 +78.4% / $430 $55,526,767 / 44	$174,000 -36.3% / $274 $55,700,767 / 45	$100,000 -42.5% / $157 $55,800,767 / 46
-	MARY POPPINS RETURNS Buena Vista 345	$94,000 +42.3% / $272 $170,122,203 / 59	$175,000 +86.2% / $507 $170,297,203 / 60	$158,000 -9.7% / $458 $170,455,203 / 61	$81,000 -48.7% / $235 $170,536,203 / 62
-	IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK Annapurna Pictures 165	$45,038 -21.5% / $273 $13,959,695 / 64	$97,040 +115.5% / $588 $14,056,735 / 65	$76,467 -21.2% / $463 $14,133,202 / 66	$53,527 -30% / $324 $14,186,729 / 67
-	EVERYBODY KNOWS Focus Features 23	$46,000 +413.7% / $2,000 $141,206 / 8	$80,000 +73.9% / $3,478 $221,206 / 9	$67,000 -16.3% / $2,913 $288,206 / 10	$40,000 -40.3% / $1,739 $328,206 / 11
-	FIGHTING WITH MY FAMILY MGM 4	$41,738 +21.8% / $10,435 $76,012 / 2	$53,670 +28.6% / $13,418 $129,682 / 3	$40,522 -24.5% / $10,131 $170,204 / 4	$30,392 -25% / $7,598 $200,596 / 5
-	EK LADKI KO DEKHA TOH AISA LAGA FIP 43	$11,000 -25.5% / $256 $1,123,088 / 15	$20,000 +81.8% / $465 $1,143,088 / 16	$19,000 -5% / $442 $1,162,088 / 17	$10,000 -47.4% / $233 $1,172,088 / 18
-	BIRDS OF PASSAGE The Orchard 2	$6,850 +154.6% / $3,425 $16,408 / 3	$7,466 +9% / $3,733 $23,874 / 4	$9,933 +33% / $4,967 $33,807 / 5	$6,931 -30.2% / $3,466 $40,738 / 6
-	REPLICAS Entertainment Studios 12	$700 -54.8% / $58 $4,042,535 / 36	$1,300 +85.7% / $108 $4,043,835 / 37	$1,100 -15.4% / $92 $4,044,935 / 38	$1,100 -- / $92 $4,046,035 / 39

[a2k]

4-DAY WEEKEND

 

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Alita: Battle Angel	Fox	$34,300,000	-	3,790	-	$9,050	$43,016,232	$170	1
2	1	The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part	WB	$27,325,000	-19.9%	4,303	-	$6,350	$68,800,359	-	2
3	N	Isn't It Romantic	WB (NL)	$16,640,000	-	3,444	-	$4,832	$22,885,347	-	1
4	2	What Men Want	Par.	$12,370,000	-32.2%	2,912	-	$4,248	$37,600,328	$20	2
5	N	Happy Death Day 2U	Uni.	$11,012,000	-	3,207	-	$3,434	$14,723,500	$9	1
6	3	Cold Pursuit	LG/S	$7,000,000	-36.5%	2,630	-	$2,662	$22,122,332	-	2
7	4	The Upside	STX	$6,560,000	-7.4%	2,781	-591	$2,359	$95,167,031	$37.5	6
8	5	Glass	Uni.	$4,666,000	-25.7%	2,449	-805	$1,905	$105,296,915	$20	5
9	6	The Prodigy	Orion	$3,641,178	-37.8%	2,530	-	$1,439	$11,506,717	$6	2
10	7	Green Book	Uni.	$3,492,000	+1.4%	1,618	-531	$2,158	$66,496,401	$23	14
11	9	Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse	Sony	$2,665,000	-12.4%	1,207	-519	$2,208	$183,420,904	$90	10
12	8	Aquaman	WB	$2,315,000	-27.7%	1,264	-938	$1,831	$331,801,102	-	9
13	29	Ralph Breaks the Internet	BV	$1,324,000	+287.2%	1,354	+956	$978	$199,011,244	$175	13
14	12	They Shall Not Grow Old	WB	$1,255,000	-26.5%	626	-201	$2,005	$15,526,347	-	9
15	16	Bohemian Rhapsody	Fox	$1,200,000	-7.8%	562	-277	$2,135	$212,231,709	$52	16
16	10	Miss Bala	Sony	$1,160,000	-57.7%	1,172	-1,031	$990	$14,051,198	$15	3
17	11	A Dog's Way Home	Sony	$1,125,000	-42.6%	880	-1,129	$1,278	$40,576,394	$18	6
18	23	A Star is Born (2018)	WB	$1,000,000	+83.2%	843	+387	$1,186	$210,016,688	$36	20
19	20	The Favourite	FoxS	$800,000	-1.8%	324	-281	$2,469	$31,343,285	-	13
20	14	Escape Room	Sony	$700,000	-55.6%	635	-704	$1,102	$55,800,767	$9	7
21	21	Vice	Annapurna	$696,264	+6.9%	702	-5	$992	$46,216,501	-	8
22	19	Mary Poppins Returns	BV	$508,000	-38.8%	345	-497	$1,472	$170,536,203	$130	9
23	15	The Kid Who Would be King	Fox	$465,000	-67.9%	415	-1,431	$1,120	$16,410,074	-	4
24	27	Stan & Ollie	SPC	$308,964	-28.2%	210	-142	$1,471	$4,798,213	-	8
25	42	Arctic	BST	$291,172	+223.8%	63	+48	$4,622	$479,756	-	3
26	31	If Beale Street Could Talk	Annapurna	$272,071	+0.2%	165	-101	$1,649	$14,186,729	-	10
27	36	Capernaum	SPC	$245,834	+72.1%	136	+73	$1,808	$1,045,883	-	10
28	46	Everybody Knows	Focus	$233,000	+227.2%	23	+19	$10,130	$328,206	-	2
29	N	Fighting with My Family	MGM	$166,322	-	4	-	$41,581	$200,596	-	1
30	50	Never Look Away	SPC	$162,377	+318.2%	31	+28	$5,238	$286,678	-	10
31	40	The Wife	SPC	$87,484	-7.8%	77	-22	$1,136	$9,229,050	-	27
32	33	Ek Ladki Ko Dekha Toh Aisa Laga	FIP	$60,000	-75.9%	43	-149	$1,395	$1,172,088	-	3
33	N	Birds of Passage	Orch.	$31,180	-	2	-	$15,590	$40,738	-	1
34	N	Ruben Brandt, Collector	SPC	$7,536	-	2	-	$3,768	$8,879	-	1
35	63	Replicas	ENTMP	$4,200	-52.2%	12	-17	$350	$4,046,035	-	6

[Brainbug]

21 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

 

What makes me hopefull for Alitas run are the steady increases from estimates. That normally happens only to films who really enjoy good WOM. Could indicate some strong holds going forwards and hopefully towards 100M.

[Stewart]

9 minutes ago, a2k said:

MONDAY

 

 

Rank*	Title	Friday 2/15 (Estimates)	Saturday 2/16 (Estimates)	Sunday 2/17 (Estimates)	Monday 2/18 (Estimates)
1	THE LEGO MOVIE 2: THE SECOND PART Warner Bros. 4,303	$4,435,000 +99.6% / $1,031 $45,910,359 / 8	$9,050,000 +104.1% / $2,103 $54,960,359 / 9	$7,540,000 -16.7% / $1,752 $62,500,359 / 10	$6,300,000 -16.4% / $1,464 $68,800,359 / 11
2	ALITA: BATTLE ANGEL Fox 3,790	$7,470,000 -14.3% / $1,971 $16,186,232 / 2	$11,590,000 +55.2% / $3,058 $27,776,232 / 3	$9,190,000 -20.7% / $2,425 $36,966,232 / 4	$6,050,000 -34.2% / $1,596 $43,016,232 / 5
3	ISN'T IT ROMANTIC Warner Bros. (New Line) 3,444	$4,170,000 -5.7% / $1,211 $10,415,347 / 3	$5,910,000 +41.7% / $1,716 $16,325,347 / 4	$4,230,000 -28.4% / $1,228 $20,555,347 / 5	$2,330,000 -44.9% / $677 $22,885,347 / 6

Honestly that's a fantastic drop for Live Action on this holiday Monday. On par with Black Panther's -33.2% which had a spillover effect to it as well. 

 

Looks like we're in for a solid hold next weekend.

[Blaze Heatnix]

11 hours ago, Thuswind said:

Do you know how Deadline got the CinemaScore before it was posted on the CinemaScore website?

 

I think Deadline has acess to the reports or something like that. That or CinemaScore hasn't updated the page yet. 

[Krissykins]

Nice for Alita increasing. 

 

I’m a bit relieved HDD2U didn’t go below $9m. Phew. 

[Elessar]

17 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Honestly that's a fantastic drop for Live Action on this holiday Monday. On par with Black Panther's -33.2% which had a spillover effect to it as well. 

 

Looks like we're in for a solid hold next weekend.

Well, Monday is basically a guess, it's not even noon on the west coast.

[Stewart]

Just now, Elessar said:

Well, Monday is basically a guess, it's not even noon on the west coast.

Oh crap it's Monday today...

 

Genuinely thought it was Tuesday today lol

[a2k]

GLASS is 43 away from SPLIT's 278.5 ww (including Dom Monday but not os Monday)

Dom could add 10-15 leaving os to get 28-33 to beat SPLIT.

All that on a 20 prod budget.

 

---

ALITA over LEGO2 dom?

 

---

MPR will fall below TGS dom (174.34). Still 3.8 away.

Feb 15–17	22	$427,000 (Estimate)	-48.6%	345	-497	$1,238	$170,455,203 (Estimate)	9
Feb 15–18	22	$508,000 (Estimate)	-38.8%	345	-497	$1,472	$170,536,203 (Estimate)	9

Edited February 18, 2019 by a2k

[Kalo]

This is really good for Alita. What if it shocks everybody with insane holds and crawls it's way to $150m+? with a really back-loaded OW. I'd say $100m is pretty much a guarantee at this point. it won't have any direct competition until Captain Marvel releases on March 8th either. 

[DAJK]

Damn, what are the odds The Upside outgrosses Bad Moms to become STX’s #1 grosser ever  

[Legion Again]

14 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Damn, what are the odds The Upside outgrosses Bad Moms to become STX’s #1 grosser ever  

Pretty good.

6 hours ago, a2k said:

 

 

Die Hard 5-day was 4.5x the OD, while 41 5-day will give Alita 4.7x the OD (including 2.4 previews). I expected the 2.4 previews to front-load the OD enough to not let Alita match Die Hard's 4.5x but it's trending and WOM are much better.

 

Die Hard Dom ended up being 1.83x the 5-day ow in 2013. Alita should continue to trend better and as we add more days the preview front-loading will matter less.

 

The minimum it will do IMO is 2.0-2.1x the 5-day, 82-86 dom.

While will be difficult to beat 2.5-2.6x the 5-day, 103-107 dom.

Now estimated for over 4.9x the OD, despite the previews. Don’t want to go crazy until we see 2nd wknd, but feeling good about it.