DisposedData Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 17 minutes ago, cdsacken said: I think the 60+ predictions are delusional for a horror film. It's possible but very unlikely. Get out was unreal and it got 33. Less crossover on that type of film. If it explodes I think maybe CM goes as low as 33. Realistically im thinking 35-36 with range of 33-39. Far from me thinking the film will fail. 40+ (perhaps 47, a 40% increase over get out) opening and a 200+ DOM finish. You must have not seen the presales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 13 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said: Hmm. Not sure about that. Feeling just over/under $50M OW DOM is locked. That was for CM. I have US at 40+ right now thinking 47 but sure 50+ is possible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 (edited) 3 minutes ago, DisposedData said: You must have not seen the presales. Cm is 33-39 with me guessing 35-36. I said US is 40+ with my guess being 47. I saw presales 60+ still seems unlikely. Ending sounds horrible guess we'll see. Edited March 20, 2019 by cdsacken 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 14 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said: Get Out's success boosted Peele's rep to insane heights. Look at Us trailer views and presales. The hype is on par with Halloween last year. And the reviews are stellar. Maybe. I read the spoilers and the ending just sounds sooo bad. Maybe I'm wrong but 40% increase from get out doesn't seem that conservative to me for a horror film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Little OT: But with Us coming out, Jordan Peele listed Candyman as a game changing horror movie. FFFFFF that movie. Used to have horrible nightmares bc of that movie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 5 minutes ago, cdsacken said: Maybe. I read the spoilers and the ending just sounds sooo bad. Maybe I'm wrong but 40% increase from get out doesn't seem that conservative to me for a horror film. The numbers are in the tracking thread. Even with wtv ending people are talking about it won't miss 60m OW at this rate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, FilmBuff said: Little OT: But with Us coming out, Jordan Peele listed Candyman as a game changing horror movie. FFFFFF that movie. Used to have horrible nightmares bc of that movie. Candyman is... Great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDarkKnightOfSteel Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 If Us break out to 60M + m then I also predict 2 things: 1.Captain Marvel will crawl to 400M 2.Dumbo and Shazam! Won’t break out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Craig Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 7 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said: If Us break out to 60M + m then I also predict 2 things: 1.Captain Marvel will crawl to 400M 2.Dumbo and Shazam! Won’t break out $400m is still $400m Dumbo and Shazam have crossover audience that hurts each other. US is not targeting the same demo anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 21 minutes ago, FilmBuff said: Little OT: But with Us coming out, Jordan Peele listed Candyman as a game changing horror movie. FFFFFF that movie. Used to have horrible nightmares bc of that movie. Candyman is one of the coolest horror movies of all time!! Also, Candyman says you're welcome for the nightmares. Also, Candyman, Candyman, Candyman. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 13 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said: If Us break out to 60M + m then I also predict 2 things: 1.Captain Marvel will crawl to 400M 2.Dumbo and Shazam! Won’t break out surely the audience for Us is the exact opposite of the Dumbo/Shazam audience? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 16 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said: If Us break out to 60M + m then I also predict 2 things: 1.Captain Marvel will crawl to 400M 2.Dumbo and Shazam! Won’t break out Audience doesn't overlap at all really with Us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MyMovieCanBeatUpYourMovie Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said: Audience doesn't overlap at all really with Us. I'm going to see all three with a couple friends, so there's at least an overlap of 3 viewers. 😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 I dont watch horror. Lived through enough of it. estimate -(-)Spider-Man: Into The Spider…Sony Pictures $41,000 +26% 366 $112 $189,555,65696 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 solid increase but the big question is whether it's 7.8M or another 7.79M? what is it with this movie and .9? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Gitesh seems to have seen US, likes it posted it in US thread, not sure if outside of thread its allowed to post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrGlass2 Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Doesn't any movie with a sufficiently big opening "overlap" with holdovers, in the sense that it takes a lot of screens and (adult) GA? Get Out had its first relatively big drop (-35.2%) during the OW of... Beauty and the Beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Us is poised to go huge...my 12s have given the movie 3 and 3.5 screens for the weekend (and Capt Marvel loses the Saturday showings for Shazaam, not Us)... I'd say $60M is easily on the table looking at presales and theater sets...whether it becomes a reality will be based on the 48 hour final presale ramp up and the walk ups... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fast and the Furiosa Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 It doesn’t have to have massive overlap. The effect is already complete by shoving Captain Marvel out of the largest auditoriums 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
