SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME WEEK THREAD l 93.6M 3-Day, 185.1M 6-Day. l ****NO SPOILERS**** | Sale $5 off Gold/Premium/Silver l Other #s - TS4 34.3, YDay 10.7, Annabelle 9.7, Aladdin 7.6, Midsommar 6.6 (10.9 5-Day)

[john2000]

if i had a coin, everytime i heard ''there is no way ,that this will happen" ,i would be rich by now

 

ps do i say that 400 dom is locked ? far from it, but i am not saying that it cant happen either

[filmlover]

10 minutes ago, a2k said:

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	new	Spider-Man: Far From Home	Sony Pictures	$39,250,000		4,634	$8,470	$39,250,000	1
-	(2)	Annabelle Comes Home	Warner Bros.	$2,755,000	+8%	3,613	$763	$36,417,397	7
-	(6)	Men in Black: International	Sony Pictures	$800,000	-15%	3,663	$218	$66,907,511	19
-	(11)	Godzilla: King of the Monsters	Warner Bros.	$150,000	-54%	1,370	$109	$107,141,678	33
-	(14)	Shaft	Warner Bros.	$125,000	-26%	947	$132	$19,144,975	19
-	(15)	The Other Side of Heaven 2:…	ArtAffects	$88,083	-19%	205	$430	$650,853	5
-	(-)	The Last Black Man in San F…	A24	$61,679	-5%	155	$398	$2,124,579	26
-	(-)	UglyDolls	STX Entertainment	$7,430	+59%	82	$91	$20,138,236	61
-	(-)	The Souvenir	A24	$3,398	-16%	27	$126	$960,873	47

 

God KOTM Disc Tue drop ... usually it should be +45-50%

 

That theater count for Godzilla is almost definitely a typo since it lost a bunch yesterday (hence the big drop even with Spider-Man opening).

[cdsacken]

57 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

It seems every non-Disney film really is fucked this summer, even the one that is invited to sit at the Disney table at lunch. 

Man the meltdowns for this thread are epic. Jesus off one day nearly 40m for Tuesday. It's gonna be fine.

Edited July 3, 2019 by cdsacken

[TServo2049]

I keep saying this, we all need to stop saying anything is “locked” because it always, always seems to come back and bite us in the ass. It is as if we’re tempting fate.

Edited July 3, 2019 by TServo2049

[cdsacken]

15 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Not entirely true.  We've never really had a movie open with the same pattern as FFH.  Most films that fall on the 4th do so because they have the 4th fall on a Monday or a Sunday.  

 

For example, Hancock had the 4th fall on a Friday and it went up 8%.

And if you want to look at a comparable...The Legend of Tarzan made 56 mill after 6 days and went on to make 126 mill, or a 2.2X.  If FFH does 170 after 6 days and follows the same path, it gets to 374 million.

 

Even if you follow Terminator Genisys, it still gets to 335 million.  

 

So I don't where all the doom and gloom is.  Just more over reaction from this site like usual.  

 

Transformers 3 the 4th was a Monday

Spider-man 2 the 4th was a Sunday

War of the Worlds the 4th was a Sunday

Twilight Eclipse was a Monday.

 

So there isn't a lot to go on here.  There is a possibility, and a good one that FFH sees a small increase or a small decrease on Thursday.  

Seriously. Oh no it might only make 1.1b. Dear God what a horrible result.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

1 billion is locked. 

[RamblinRed]

11 minutes ago, a2k said:

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	new	Spider-Man: Far From Home	Sony Pictures	$39,250,000		4,634	$8,470	$39,250,000	1
-	(2)	Annabelle Comes Home	Warner Bros.	$2,755,000	+8%	3,613	$763	$36,417,397	7
-	(6)	Men in Black: International	Sony Pictures	$800,000	-15%	3,663	$218	$66,907,511	19
-	(11)	Godzilla: King of the Monsters	Warner Bros.	$150,000	-54%	1,370	$109	$107,141,678	33
-	(14)	Shaft	Warner Bros.	$125,000	-26%	947	$132	$19,144,975	19
-	(15)	The Other Side of Heaven 2:…	ArtAffects	$88,083	-19%	205	$430	$650,853	5
-	(-)	The Last Black Man in San F…	A24	$61,679	-5%	155	$398	$2,124,579	26
-	(-)	UglyDolls	STX Entertainment	$7,430	+59%	82	$91	$20,138,236	61
-	(-)	The Souvenir	A24	$3,398	-16%	27	$126	$960,873	47

 

God KOTM Disc Tue drop ... usually it should be +45-50%

 

I expected it to drop, was just a matter of how far. The movies outside the top 5 took large hits in theater counts yesterday around me.

KOTM went from 18 showings to 6.

Theaters had to take screens from somewhere - it wasn't from TS4, which in general lost 1 screen per theater. Aladdin, Yesterday, Annabelle all kept their screens (and will all see Tuesday increases)

 

That meant it was largely movies outside the top 5 or 6 that lost screens. I expected every one of them to post drops on Tuesday. SLOP2 and MIB were going to be the ones that might go either way. Everything else was going to see significant drops.

 

This is why I thought 110 would not happen for KOTM. it was simply losing too many screens too quickly to get there.

 

[baumer]

Record Tuesday:

 

OH MY GOD THIS MOVIE IS DOOMED.  SONY DROPPED THE BALL.  

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, john2000 said:

if i had a coin, everytime i heard ''there is no way ,that this will happen" ,i would be rich by now

 

ps do i say that 400 dom is locked ? far from it, but i am not saying that it cant happen either

Are you saying movies released in 2019 can have better legs than 15 years back with greater competition(SM2 faced nothing like TLK that takes away all IMAX/PLF) and having SATURATED releases unlike movies of 15 years back!!!!!

[john2000]

1 minute ago, baumer said:

Record Tuesday:

 

OH MY GOD THIS MOVIE IS DOOMED.  SONY DROPPED THE BALL.  

[john2000]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

Are you saying movies released in 2019 can have better legs than 15 years back with greater competition(SM2 faced nothing like TLK that takes away all IMAX/PLF) and having SATURATED releases unlike movies of 15 years back!!!!!

no, i am saying dont be so sure, bc everything can change and every movie is something special in terms of its run, and stop yelling 

[That One Girl]

.

Edited March 2, 2022 by That One Guy

[Deja23]

Wow it’s like I’m back in July 2017 when people were predicting $250m or less for SMH off the OD and OW.  Just that it’s different people this time. The second weekend drop had people losing their minds. And then the movie legged it to $330m+. Was hoping this would be a fun run to follow, but it’s becoming clear that won’t be the case like it was in 2017 and like it’s been for Endgame and pretty much every movie that this forum decides to pile up on. At this point, all I care about is enjoying the movie so will ignore all the noise. 

[cax16]

Seated for FFH, 53/336 seats sold. Looking forward to seeing this. 

[nguyenkhoi282]

Just come back from the movie and see all the fire here. Can anyone tell me that is this because of the 39M OD or some newly disastrous Wed projection?

 

If the former, hell yeah cry, only 1.1B.

[john2000]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

Maybe this site was a mistake

not exactly, there are also many people here, that you can have conversations and etc

[john2000]

1 minute ago, Deja23 said:

Wow it’s like I’m back in July 2017 when people were predicting $250m or less for SMH off the OD and OW.  Just that it’s different people this time. The second weekend drop had people losing their minds. And then the movie legged it to $330m+. Was hoping this would be a fun run to follow, but it’s becoming clear that won’t be the case like it was in 2017 and like it’s been for Endgame and pretty much every movie that this forum decides to pile up on. At this point, all I care about is enjoying the movie so will ignore all the noise. 

july seems to be the month of the meltdowns when it comes to mcu movies

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

Just come back from the movie and see all the fire here. Can anyone tell me that is this because of the 39M OD or some newly disastrous Wed projection?

 

If the former, hell yeah cry, only 1.1B.

bc of the od

[cdsacken]

2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

Maybe this site was a mistake

Lol it depends. When it's things like this it just amuses me. I always think of the DONT DROP THE BALLOON gif. So fitting for the extreme premature anxiety. 

[TServo2049]

4 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

Just come back from the movie and see all the fire here. Can anyone tell me that is this because of the 39M OD or some newly disastrous Wed projection?

 

If the former, hell yeah cry, only 1.1B.

It’s because of the early-Tues-morning $55M with previews projection. People are acting like it’s C R U M B L I N G because it “dropped” to $39M even though Charlie admitted he incorrectly modeled it based on Friday openings.

 

(Speaking of...can anyone remind me what movie coined the “crumbling” meme?)

Edited July 3, 2019 by TServo2049