Spider-Man: No Way Home | December 17, 2021 | The More Fun Stuff Version (yes, that's what it's called) comes to theaters September 2nd!

[Legion Again]

22 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

No biggie, I don’t think anyone expected THIS.

 

Even I faltered I dropped my previews to a paltry $30.5M in the contest 😓

What a loser 😏  

 

Who has the highest previews for the prediction anyway, I think my 36 is toast

[XXR vs XXR]

11 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

What a loser 😏  

 

Who has the highest previews for the prediction anyway, I think my 36 is toast

 

I believe it's @CloneWars with $45M. 

[WittyUsername]

If this movie performs as well as the ticket sales suggest, it will inevitably be blamed for any potential spread in the Omicron variant. 

Edited November 30, 2021 by WittyUsername

[Knights of Ren]

I predicted 40.5M previews and feel like a I was peer pressured into not going higher.  Those trailer views and Twitter trending were not for nothing! 

[XXR vs XXR]

17 minutes ago, Menor said:

I need to look through the contest at this point. I am almost sure my 35m prediction will be way too low at this point, unless the movie totally tanks in the final week. In fact I now think IW is in serious trouble for the full weekend.

 

That's crazy to think, and you're right (as long as audience reception is on par with the previous 2 MCU SM films). Right now I'm putting the following % on it...

> TROS OW = 99% (could possibly have horrible WOM and fall below it)
> Avengers OW = 75% (the early numbers definitely point to it, but again WOM could be bad)
> TLJ OW = 60% (same as Avengers, just a bit higher)
> TFA OW = 35% (perhaps NWH will be much more front loaded than even IW, or WOM isn't quite enough to get it there)
> IW OW = 30% (only a $9M difference between TFA and IW, so same idea just a bit higher)
> $275M OW = 15% (we would need at least $45M previews and 6x IM. Doable numbers but getting up there!)
> $300M OW = 5% (I mean this would still be about 25% fewer ticket sales than Endgame, given increased ATP).
> Endgame OW = 1% (Not going to seriously entertain this but hey, it's the record). 

[CJohn]

Omicron will make sure 150M won't be touched. Remember when Eternals pointed to a 100M OW? Lol.

[cheesypoofs]

I'm glad I bought my tickets when I woke up this morning. Opening day is filling up fast at the theater I'm going to.

[XXR vs XXR]

10 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Omicron will make sure 150M won't be touched. Remember when Eternals pointed to a 100M OW? Lol.

 

Willing to bet your account on that? 🤣

 

Edited November 30, 2021 by VenomXXR

[Legion Again]

14 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Omicron will make sure 150M won't be touched. Remember when Eternals pointed to a 100M OW? Lol.

0/10 quality analysis… but if this misses what PS suggests by as much as Eternals missed 100M, it will still get — 175M or so

[Legion Again]

16 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Omicron will make sure 150M won't be touched. Remember when Eternals pointed to a 100M OW? Lol.

I’ll bet any amount up to $250 that it opens over TA if you wanna get spicy 

[Knights of Ren]

On 10/6/2021 at 4:17 PM, Knights of Ren said:

$225M OW

 

On 10/6/2021 at 4:21 PM, cdsacken said:

 

Entire week? Doable

 

Weekend? Not a chance in hell.

 

 

 

 

nOt A cHaNcE iN hElL

[XXR vs XXR]

2 minutes ago, Knights of Ren said:

 

nOt A cHaNcE iN hElL

 

Welcome to hell @cdsacken!!

[cheesypoofs]

13 hours ago, LPLC said:

I stay on my $30M previews / $180M-$200M OW / $450M final predictions even taking Christmas into account.

I think the only way that happens is if some certain characters really aren't in the movie and the movie gets toxic wom.

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, Eternal Legion said:

What a weak goal, why not endgame

Okay, okay, I’ll quit my meming… we want an Avatar club, right? Maybe a bonus from you @VenomXXR?

[XXR vs XXR]

3 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

Okay, okay, I’ll quit my meming… we want an Avatar club, right? Maybe a bonus from you @VenomXXR?

 

I wouldn't want to do a direct "over" bonus, but what about NWH > HC + FFH DOM Bonus? 

[charlie Jatinder]

36 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Omicron will make sure 150M won't be touched. Remember when Eternals pointed to a 100M OW? Lol.

Yeah but like sales are pointing to 350M weekend. 🤷‍♂️

[Darth Lehnsherr]

35 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Welcome to hell @cdsacken!!

Well tbf we are kinda in one atm lol

 

But in all seriousness really happy to see these numbers. I still think there is a lingering covid affect in general for moviegoing but with event films like these it's enough to overcome them. 

[dominick1216]

Is there any chance of this getting delayed?

 

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/omicron-fears-box-office-film-tv-1235053812/

[Macleod]

3 hours ago, SpiderByte said:

 

 

Let's have some sympathy for the theater employees who will be asked (i.e. "required") to work that night...and probably not paid anything extra beyond what they would normally get.  

 

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

Omicron will make sure 150M won't be touched. Remember when Eternals pointed to a 100M OW? Lol.

 

Or...things could uptick in a positive way in two weeks, and Omicron could turn out to be Unicron's never heard-of younger cousin, PewDieCron.  We just don't know what's going to happen.  

 

32 minutes ago, dominick1216 said:

Is there any chance of this getting delayed?

 

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/omicron-fears-box-office-film-tv-1235053812/

 

Or...we could be screwed again.  😂  No.  My gut feeling is: SPIDER-MAN will stick and do well -- but everything else (Matrix, West Side Story, etc.) will suffer.  

Edited November 30, 2021 by Macleod

[YM!]

Huh, I’ll admit I might have been wrong during these past few months in terms of numbers. Not sure how high it’ll go or if anything is locked but 200m OW seems likely.