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Eric the Fall Guy

FROZEN II WEEKEND THREAD | 130.26M OW | BLACK FRIDAY WEEK SALE: Gold Accounts 25% OFF | I like warm hugs and I cannot lie | No Knives Out Spoilers :)

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Just now, TwoMisfits said:

Walk ins won't match TLK...TLK had a much higher African American audience %, and that % tends to be a lower prebuying audience...

 

TLK also predates the Regal subscription plan, so all those Regal folks couldn't prebuy...but they can now...

 

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/lion-king-all-box-office-records-broken-1225928

Regal would not matter from my perspective as I am only looking at final number from MTC I am tracking. But F2 previews was insanely frontloaded. Worse that even what Joker did whos potential previews kept going up.

 

Even China OD has been front loaded as I thought it would have better PSM. But I would wait for friday estimates this evening. Morning numbers could be all over the place.

 

My morning data

MTC1 OD - overall 5914 shows 220178/1101171 3003448.15 2468005.01 post 6PM 2672 shows 128686/508282 1871708.41 1499870.96 715AM
MTC2 OD - overall 6506 shows 229536/996586 2348448.00 post 6PM 2347 shows 112797/366052 1335627.00  745AM

 

So about high 50's % of tickets are post 6PM shows while MTC2 is tad under 50%. Let us see how things build. I want to see this number triple by end of the day.

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Just now, Lordmandeep said:

Could this beat the Age of Ultron Record for highest grossing disappointment at 1.4 billion? 

 

I thought that title belonged to Lion King now after it failed to reach the lofty $2 billion WW predictions.

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Going for $43mn Approx True Friday for now.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Dory had done 9.2m previews and 135.06 ow for a 14.7x multi.

 

On one hand that was summer where previews are heavier than Nov, but on the other hand it's been 3.5 years and front-loading has increased. Also don't know if Dory started as early as 6pm. These factors could cancel out each other and 14.5-15.5x is a fair multi to use for F2 imo. Gives 123.25-131.75 ow.

 

Edit: But if true Friday is in 40s then it should easily make it to 135-140+.

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2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:
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Going for $43mn Approx True Friday for now.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Admittedly, I do take a grain of salt with these kinds of numbers this early.

 

But that would be crazy good. It would even be slightly higher than Moana's OD/preview ratio

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2 minutes ago, lor15 said:

$51.5 is huge already 🙄

I didn’t say it wasn’t lol Also if it sticks means that the movie is looking to be back loaded as mentioned in the tracking thread. 

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6 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:
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Going for $43mn Approx True Friday for now.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

this early? Come on now

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