FROZEN II WEEKEND THREAD | 130.26M OW | BLACK FRIDAY WEEK SALE: Gold Accounts 25% OFF | I like warm hugs and I cannot lie | No Knives Out Spoilers :)

[Menor the Destroyer]

Just now, cannastop said:

Can someone just tell me what Frozen II's previews mean for its weekend?

Very little. Let us wait for today's numbers.

[Sunny Max]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Can someone just tell me what Frozen II's previews mean for its weekend?

$115 to $125 M OW ..

 

Edit :- only estimate .. wait for Fri figure.. than we can get an idea about OW 

Edited November 22, 2019 by Sunny Max

[kitik]

Quote

Last night’s audience for Beautiful Day was 48% females over 25, 38% males over 25, 8% females under 25 and 6% males under 25.

 

 

No kids showing up for ABDITN. Somewhat ironic considering it's about a kids show.

[a2k]

27 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

What’s the precedent on that Sun drop?   
 

For Survivor I went 

9

41.5

60

40

 

Cautiously optimistic still.

didn't check for one. felt that big sun follows a big sat and with some people having monday off sun will be strong.

[Lordmandeep]

The film will likely have stronger legs then TLK and TS4.

 

I would say 400 million is likely a done deal and likely another near billion overseas. 

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

lol, when even Disney movies are underperforming I think we can oficially say that cinema (as we know) is dead and buried. 

[lorddemaxus]

 

[RealLyre]

anywhere between 125M and 150M. 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Anywhere between 100M and 200M.

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 minutes ago, Menor said:

Very little. Let us wait for today's numbers.

Expanding on this. If you read the tracking thread 8.5 million was entirely predictable, but Friday ps was way ahead of Thursday and then Saturday was far ahead of even that. It's not going to play like any mega opener we've seen before.

[Cap]

5 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Can someone just tell me what Frozen II's previews mean for its weekend?

It means we wait to Saturday. 

[kitik]

explain this (from the deadline weekend numbers article):

 

Quote

Anything above $100M is most appreciated as exhibitors are hit starved in this tentpole dry November marketplace with Seeking Alpha reporting this morning that key exhibition stocks have hit new 52 week lows this morning with Cinemark (CNK -1.8%), AMC Entertainment (AMC -4.4%) and Marcus Corporation (MCS -4.9%). 

 

 

Are these theater stocks just hitting a low today? This week? Due to underperforming sequels lately, or due to the fact that Paramount and Disney and Warner can now open their own theaters?

[a2k]

Am going higher on preview to od multiplier than before and toning the true Fri bump from high 50% to 50%.

 

8.5

34.0 (42.5 od, 5x * 8.5)

51.0 (+50%)

38.25 (-25%)

= 131.75 ow (15.5x)

[Zakiyyah6]

I wish I could come into these weekend threads and discuss box office but it is always the same song and dance. The constant whining and melodrama about how theaters are dead is utterly embarrassing. Oh well, I guess I could start using the block button again.

 

I'm going to actually wait to see what the film heading towards Children does on Friday and Saturday. Strange I know. You'd think some people would stop the hyperbole after they were proven wrong about Toy Story 4 flopping but they won't. 

[lorddemaxus]

5 minutes ago, kitik said:

Are these theater stocks just hitting a low today? This week? Due to underperforming sequels lately, or due to the fact that Paramount and Disney and Warner can now open their own theaters?

They have always been able to do that though. https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/thr-esq/real-impact-getting-rid-paramount-consent-decrees-1134938

[jedijake]

10 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

lol, when even Disney movies are underperforming I think we can oficially say that cinema (as we know) is dead and buried. 

Well that's hyperbole.

 

Sunday isn't going to play out like a normal Sunday. A lot of people are off next week so Sunday's hold will be much better than normal.

Edited November 22, 2019 by jedijake

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

I wish I could come into these weekend threads and discuss box office but it is always the same song and dance. The constant whining and melodrama about how theaters are dead is utterly embarrassing. Oh well, I guess I could start using the block button again.

 

I'm going to actually wait to see what the film heading towards Children does on Friday and Saturday. Strange I know. You'd think some people would stop the hyperbole after they were proven wrong about Toy Story 4 flopping but they won't. 

hey 120 is a flop, its not even close to 200 ow, there is no way to make this look good :d

[TwoMisfits]

15 minutes ago, kitik said:

 

 

No kids showing up for ABDITN. Somewhat ironic considering it's about a kids show.

It does seem like it cut into Frozen 2...that female turnout number of 48% over 25 had to hurt Frozen 2's previews a little...wonder if that keeps happening all weekend...

 

Edited November 22, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[HeadShot]

I really thought this was going to demolish Incredibles 2. Damn 120 would be a disaster. 

Edited November 22, 2019 by HeadShot

[Webslinger]

Yeah, I wouldn't read too far into that preview number just yet. Frozen II has cross-demo appeal for sure, but we're still talking about a film aimed primarily at families whose preview night was also a school night.