Weekend Thread: Estimates BB 34, 1917 15.8, Dolittle 12.5, Gentlemen 11, Jumanji 7.9, Turning 7.3 | Bad Boys and 1917 cross 100M, Star Wars 500M

[cdsacken]

3 minutes ago, PenguinHyphy said:

 

unassuming run, its global gross might not even surpass Hidden Figure’s domestic numbers.  

It's a decent run. Downton Abbey was similar but cost a lot less. I think also it did 190m

[DAJK]

4 minutes ago, PenguinHyphy said:

 

Unassuming run, its global gross might not even surpass Hidden Figure’s domestic numbers. The people hyping up its box office performance were just trying to have it appear as some juggernaut that the Oscars cannot ignore. 

um idk, yes I think there are a few people in the minority hyping it as the box office run to save the box office (hyperbole a little in there), when in reality it's pretty much doing what an adult-oriented awards-contender coming out at Christmas with great reviews and an A-list cast should be doing.  

[a2k]

TLJ had a 6.56 6th weekend (also post MLK weekend). Added 2.425x that to the cume.

Same gives TROS 5.17*2.425 = 12.54 more for 514.1 dom (2.9x)

Targeting 1075 ww.

 

TROS>TS4>Joker on ww charts in the end, all within 5 of each other.

 

Joker without China though  

[Boxofficerules]

Gretel And Hansel shall revive horror box office.

[Blaze Heatnix]

51 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Gretel And Hansel shall revive horror box office.

 

Not sure. The Grudge and The Turning burned a lot of hype for this kind of movie.

 

Besides, this one has had almost zero marketing and the embargo lifts only on Thursday ( day of release ). It's obvious this is also getting dumped 

 

At least the clip is cool. 

[Pinacolada]

10 hours ago, Firepower said:

What's up with The Gentlemen international gross?

How do you mean? Do you mean overall, or for the weekend?

[keysersoze123]

I am seeing BB3 sunday around 10.5m based on MTC1. So the actuals should increase again by a bit. I dont have any other numbers. 

[AdrianL]

I just saw BB3, pretty impressed how they revived the series. This one was leagues better than the previous ones. Think the next one could be big, especially if they add some big names.

[DAJK]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am seeing BB3 sunday around 10.5m based on MTC1. So the actuals should increase again by a bit. I dont have any other numbers. 

I just have to say you've taken theatre tracking to a whole new level. From years ago when Han would use comps from his theatre, and I'd come up with comps from the theatre I worked at, we all walked so that you could run. Thank you for all of this work you do for us box office nerds. 

[1Robert1]

14 hours ago, a2k said:

TLJ had a 6.56 6th weekend (also post MLK weekend). Added 2.425x that to the cume.

Same gives TROS 5.17*2.425 = 12.54 more for 514.1 dom (2.9x)

Targeting 1075 ww.

 

TROS>TS4>Joker on ww charts in the end, all within 5 of each other.

 

Joker without China though  

1075-514.1 - 544.6 = 16.3

After 5.5m international weekend(almost - 50%) 16.3 is very optimistic assumption. Although dom especially sunday should be better. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Boring Sunday. Top 5 drop 37-38% barring Jumanji 40%.

Edited January 27, 2020 by Jedi Jat

[MrFanaticGuy34]

Good job for SW: TROS hitting $500M+ DOM. 👩🏻‍💼👍🏻

[a2k]

JUM2 updated estimates

 

Jan 24, 2020

5

$7,700,000

-21%

3,121

$2,467

$283,245,800

7

 

Jan 24, 2020	6	$1,720,000	+237%	-21%	3,121	$551	$277,265,800	43
Jan 25, 2020	5	$3,735,000	+117%	-10%	3,121	$1,197	$281,000,800	44
Jan 26, 2020	5	$2,245,000	-40%	-33%	3,121	$719	$283,245,800	45

[sfran43]

 

[titanic2187]

24 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

This level of PTA is enough to sustain another round of expansion, the PTA barely drop from last week holiday. 

 

I won't be surprise if this pass Pan Labyrinth 

[ZackM]

11 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am seeing BB3 sunday around 10.5m based on MTC1. So the actuals should increase again by a bit. I dont have any other numbers. 

Interesting.  That's way higher than my Sunday number.

 

These are my weekend numbers:

Friday	$9,133,424
Saturday	$14,996,480
Sunday	$9,467,365

[sfran43]

 

Edited January 27, 2020 by sfran43

[a2k]

PARASITE  / Gisaengchung (2019)

 

Theatrical Performance
Domestic Box Office	$30,912,644	Details
International Box Office	$126,500,000	Details
Worldwide Box Office	$157,412,644

 

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Week
Oct 11, 2019	14	$393,216		3	$131,072	$393,216	1
Oct 18, 2019	11	$1,208,629	+207%	33	$36,625	$1,798,271	2
Oct 25, 2019	12	$1,826,424	+51%	129	$14,158	$4,090,229	3
Nov 1, 2019	9	$2,539,484	+39%	461	$5,509	$7,440,035	4
Nov 8, 2019	13	$2,591,765	+2%	603	$4,298	$11,318,741	5
Nov 15, 2019	14	$1,861,256	-28%	620	$3,002	$14,419,619	6
Nov 22, 2019	15	$1,255,325	-33%	433	$2,899	$16,498,762	7
Nov 29, 2019	16	$1,017,171	-19%	382	$2,663	$18,281,214	8
Dec 6, 2019	13	$701,954	-31%	333	$2,108	$19,355,689	9
Dec 13, 2019	13	$632,485	-10%	306	$2,067	$20,357,203	10
Dec 20, 2019	12	$481,485	-24%	227	$2,121	$21,226,894	11
Dec 27, 2019	17	$569,267	+18%	170	$3,349	$22,344,939	12
Jan 3, 2020	15	$838,276	+47%	222	$3,776	$23,850,889	13
Jan 10, 2020	14	$954,309	+14%	345	$2,766	$25,357,041	14
Jan 17, 2020	14	$1,711,988	+79%	843	$2,031	$27,700,633	15
Jan 24, 2020	12	$1,973,639	+15%	1,060	$1,862	$30,912,644	16

[keysersoze123]

2 hours ago, ZackM said:

Interesting.  That's way higher than my Sunday number.

 

These are my weekend numbers:

Friday	$9,133,424
Saturday	$14,996,480
Sunday	$9,467,365

Should have overindexed big time. Anyway I am bored tracking these movies. Hopefully we see a big movie that makes tracking interesting. 

[sfran43]

 

Edited January 27, 2020 by sfran43