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Weekend Thread: Estimates BB 34, 1917 15.8, Dolittle 12.5, Gentlemen 11, Jumanji 7.9, Turning 7.3 | Bad Boys and 1917 cross 100M, Star Wars 500M

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The Gentlemen definitely not performing comparably with its US/Aus openings, which would’ve suggested $20m. 
 

STX did buy this way back in January 2019 and released in 2,000 theatres. 

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Not a surprise for these preview numbers. The Gentlemen looked appealing but after Bad Boys breakout, and majority of the stars won’t bring in major box office for a minor film.

 

The Turning reminded me a lot of The Prdogy from last year. Marketing for both looked dry. a TV Star  from Netflix is one of the main draws Finn Wolfard(Stranger Things) and Taylor Schilling(Orange Is The New Black), which some Netflix star won’t sell your horror movie. A reason for this underperformance(If it’s considered one), Universal had no marketing for it whatsoever until Last Minute that’s a bad sign. 

Universal is more aiming towards The Invisible Man as their next big movie. For horror films anything can happen, Fantasy Island could breakout or die as well. 
 

and weirdly enough I didn’t see a trailer for The Turning until last night on the HDNet Movie channel right when the movie Showgirls ended(which is actually not a bad movie). 

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24 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

With several Horror movies underperforming lately, I think The Invisible Man is going to break-out HUGE, it only needs good reviews for it. 

It’s all really what the audience want to see. The Invisible Man could be an appealing horror film considering how lackluster this year has been. But the biggest flaw of these past few horror films not doing squat are due to studios dumping them to theaters. 

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20 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

It’s all really what the audience want to see. The Invisible Man could be an appealing horror film considering how lackluster this year has been. But the biggest flaw of these past few horror films not doing squat are due to studios dumping them to theaters. 

What about Fantasy Island

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https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-tracking-a-quiet-place-part-ii/

 

8-Week Tracking and Forecasts

Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor
1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $4,000,000 – $9,000,000 $5,000,000 -10% $8,000,000 – $16,000,000 $10,000,000 -10% United Artists Releasing
1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $8,000,000 – $13,000,000 $10,000,000 -17% $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000 -21% Paramount
2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000   $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000   Warner Bros.
2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $12,000,000 – $17,000,000 $15,500,000 -9% $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $40,000,000 -10% Sony / Columbia
2/14/2020 The Photograph $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $13,000,000 -13% $25,000,000 – $35,000,000 $30,000,000 -14% Universal
2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $30,000,000 – $35,000,000 $33,000,000 27% $90,000,000 – $130,000,000 $115,000,000 34% Paramount
2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000   $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000   STX
2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000   $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000   Fox
2/28/2020 The Invisible Man $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000   $60,000,000 – $105,000,000 $80,000,000   Universal
3/6/2020 Onward $50,000,000 – $70,000,000 $60,000,000   $175,000,000 – $250,000,000 $227,000,000   Disney / Pixar
3/6/2020 The Way Back $12,000,000 – $17,000,000 $13,000,000   $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $43,500,000   Warner Bros.
3/13/2020 Bloodshot $12,000,000 – $17,000,000 $14,000,000   $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $36,000,000   Sony / Columbia
3/13/2020 I Still Believe $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $14,500,000   $44,000,000 – $59,000,000 $49,000,000   Lionsgate
3/13/2020 My Spy $8,000,000 – $13,000,000 $10,000,000   $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $36,000,000   STX
3/13/2020 Untitled Blumhouse Productions Project   n/a     n/a   Universal
3/20/2020 A Quiet Place Part II $60,000,000 – $80,000,000 $72,000,000 NEW $140,000,000 – $190,000,000 $168,000,000 NEW Paramount
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5 minutes ago, Eric Dolittle said:

Those legs for Quiet Place 2 seem kind of low. Not expecting the first movie's obviously, but I would think at least 2.5x

Agreed; if it's going to open on par with Us, it's going to have better legs than Us. IMO 75/200 wouldn't surprise me if the movie is at least "good".

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