Weekend Thread: Free Guy 28.4, Don't Breathe 10.6, Jungle Cruise 9, Respect 8.8, TSS 7.75

[Cooper Legion]

JC IM would take it to 28.5. Fri PS didn’t seem to be pointing there but I wouldn’t say it’s dead dead just yet.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Not too bad. A Jungle Cruise-like internal multiplier (which it shares with Ryan's very own Hitman's Bodyguard) gets it to $28M. The verified audience score is at 96% with 100+ votes, so word of mouth is looking promising. We'll see soon enough.

[Eric Deetz]

6 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Y'all. Really? For $200K? 

Not sure what your "really" is for. Most folks posting are mentioning that the previews are good. The only ones having a meltdown so far...are the posters who always have a meltdown for everything. 

[Felipe]

 

[Eric Deetz]

https://deadline.com/2021/08/ryan-reynolds-free-guy-weekend-box-office-1234814231/

 

Quote

Stage 6 Films and Screen Gems’ R-rated horror thriller Don’t Breathe 2 took in $965K last night off shows starting at 7 p.m. in 2,575 locations. The studio is eyeing $8M-$10M.

 

MGM/United Artists’ Respect had great Thursday night as well with $650K besting the preview night results of Harriet and Blackklansman which were $600K each.  A high single digit result is expected.

 

[RRA]

7 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

Do we count JC as original movie? 

It’s based off a theme park ride aka an IP so NAH.

[ThomasNicole]

Variety posted about the previews... Pointing to a disappointing $ 15-18M OW because of Delta.

 

Honestly i can't understand how big sites like this can be so bad in their work. Not only make the previews looks bad but also make an unreasonable prediction for the weekend blaming Delta and saying people are too afraid. How this helps the industry?

 

 

 

 

[Eric Deetz]

Gotta admit here that Don't Breathe's number was something I expected until yesterday, but the walk-ups I had yesterday for Don't Breathe were so otherworldly that I'm kind of confused and bummed that it just missed 1M.

 

Yes I know that this number is still fine and the film will be profitable and yadda yadda yadda.

[Madhuvan]

7 minutes ago, Free Eric said:

Not sure what your "really" is for. Most folks posting are mentioning that the previews are good. The only ones having a meltdown so far...are the posters who always have a meltdown for everything. 

Not you calling me out like this 

[Eric Deetz]

1 minute ago, ThomasNicole said:

Variety posted about the previews... Pointing to a disappointing $ 15-18M OW because of Delta.

 

Honestly i can't understand how big sites like this can be so bad in their work. Not only make the previews looks bad but also make an unreasonable prediction for the weekend blaming Delta and saying people are too afraid. How this helps the industry?

 

 

 

 

Because they're not actually projecting this stuff, but just talking about the tracking expectations prior to opening. Even before COVID, when the trades talk about a movie even after the previews drop, they just say what the movie's tracking projections were and don't adjust when previews land. Endgame could have earned $3 million in previews and Deadline would have still been all "The film is still tracking for a $300M opening weekend".

 

Don't ask me why they do it. Maybe they're only allowed to report what they were given or don't have a model to adjust or something along those lines.

[RamblinRed]

Seems like ok numbers for all 3 based on the environment we are in. I'd be happy if FG can get to mid 20's.

 

Will be interested to see where we stand on Sunday (also interested to see what the drop is for TSS this weekend).

 

[Krissykins]

$8-9m seems doable for Don’t Breathe 2 will a later start time than Escape Room 2 and today being Friday the 13th. Still a far cry from the original, but I bet it was cheap to make. 

[Cmasterclay]

Does the Respect number including the Fandango event?

[john2000]

great numbers all around , also yesterday i finally watched ss ... very average maybe 6/10

Edited August 13, 2021 by john2000

[Menor the Destroyer]

34 minutes ago, Lokis Legion said:

JC IM would take it to 28.5. Fri PS didn’t seem to be pointing there but I wouldn’t say it’s dead dead just yet.

Fri/Th ratio will be worse but Sat bump should be better. Still I think 24-25 is more likely. 

[Nikostar]

2 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Does the Respect number including the Fandango event?

No. That will be added to the weekend total 

[Alpha]

hey guys check out this new song i found on youtube

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

7-9M for Don't Breathe and Respect is why many theaters are starting to cut back hours and screens this week. It's better to have a weekend like July 23 where four titles are between 10-17M and the overall weekend is over 70M vs last week where everything was 4M or less aside from TSS and JC with a total box office of 65M. Cancelling empty showings of stuff like Black Widow/Green Knight/Stillwater for more showings of a 25-30M opener doesn't help much. This weekend might cross 70M, but it'll be the last one to do so in quite a while unless Shang-Chi opens over 50M. Hour/screen reductions will get worse next week since none of the new openers are guaranteed to hit 10M and Free Guy will be down to mid-teens.

Edited August 13, 2021 by WrathOfHan

[RRA]

22 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

Seems like ok numbers for all 3 based on the environment we are in. I'd be happy if FG can get to mid 20's.

 

Will be interested to see where we stand on Sunday (also interested to see what the drop is for TSS this weekend).

 

Anybody care to make TSS drop guesses? 
 

I’ll go spicy and say….55%. 

[Blankments]

FREE GUY SAVE THE BOX OFFICE PLEASE