The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[filmlover]

Sales for Scream slowing down makes sense since it's bound to be quite frontloaded and, being a horror movie, sales during the day are bound to be relatively slow compared to later shows. Still thinking it hits $40M though.

[keysersoze123]

John Wick 4 Previews

MTC1 - 24610/417897 455083.86 2071 shows

MTC2 - 13690/284109 201876.55 1716 shows 

 

its steady state pace until next catalyst. 

[TigerPaw]

15 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

John Wick 4 Previews

MTC1 - 24610/417897 455083.86 2071 shows

MTC2 - 13690/284109 201876.55 1716 shows 

 

its steady state pace until next catalyst. 

Donnie Yen is invited to present an award at the Oscar, he is the co-lead of John Wick 4. Some suspect he might be presenting Best Female Actress to Michelle Yeoh (his close friend and someone who worked closely together for many years) - am sure he will talk about John Wick 4 on stage. Might be a catalyst here.

[ThomasNicole]

3 hours ago, TigerPaw said:

Donnie Yen is invited to present an award at the Oscar, he is the co-lead of John Wick 4. Some suspect he might be presenting Best Female Actress to Michelle Yeoh (his close friend and someone who worked closely together for many years) - am sure he will talk about John Wick 4 on stage. Might be a catalyst here.

I don´t think he will anymore, he had a profile for QG recently where he basically defends Chinese government, there´s a quite strong petition now asking for him to be removed from the presenters at Oscar and quite a strong backlash against him as well. 

 

Personally i couldn´t care less but there is this situation, he can be uninvited in the next days if Academy decides to avoid bad publicity.

[Eric Prime]

Quorum Updates

Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves T-25: 42.54% Awareness, 5.33 Interest

Beau is Afraid T-46: 9.01%, 4.5

Chevalier T-46: 14.23%, 4.72

Strays T-95: 17.5%, 5.38

Elemental T-102: 30.54%, 5.45

The Meg 2: The Trench T-151: 30%, 5.47

Blue Beetle T-165: 21.3%, 5.27

 

65 T-4: 31.88% Awareness, 5.92 Interest

Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 70% chance of 10M

Original - High Awareness: 20% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 50% chance of 10M

 

Champions T-4: 28.7% Awareness, 5.4 Interest

Final Awareness: 18% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 42% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 44% chance of 5M, 22% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 60% chance of 5M, 40% chance of 10M

 

Scream VI T-4: 63.41% Awareness, 6.18 Interest

T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 89% chance of 70M

T-60 Interest: 67% chance of 40M, 47% chance of 50M, 33% chance of 60M, 27% chance of 70M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 30M

Horror Interest: 75% chance of 30M, 50% chance of 40M

[Porthos]

Super Mario Bros. showtimes starting to populate.  All Day Wed and as far as I can tell no Tuesday previews (so far).

 

...

 

Have fun storming the castle, folks. 👍

 

(on a related note, D&D showtimes also populating — 3pm previews)

[TheFlatLannister]

On 3/5/2023 at 6:30 AM, Boxofficerules said:

How’s Scream VI looking now?

THURSDAY PREVIEWS GREATER ORLANDO AREA 

 

T-3

 

SCREAM VI

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
33	982	5253	18.7%

 

3D SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
21	313	2076	15.1%

 

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Selling very strong here, although Disney Springs AMC is over-indexing a lot 

[cooldude97]

So when Mario tracking starts, should it be compared to other video game movies like sonic or other illumination movies?

Edited March 7, 2023 by cooldude97

[ThatWaluigiDude]

6 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

So when Mario tacking starts, should it be compared to other video game movies like sonic or other illumination movies?

IMO the only videogame movie worth a comparison is Sonic 2.

[GOGODanca]

18 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

So when Mario tracking starts, should it be compared to other video game movies like sonic or other illumination movies?

Sonic 2 and Minions Rise of Gru are best comps 

[Cooper Legion]

Won't really be compared to anything if it's a wed opening with no previews 

[TwoMisfits]

Mario is getting a starting single hero MCU supers set, not an animated one, at my Cinemark locals...right now, I can see all the PLF used for Mario at my 1st local - 18 showings - 12 PLF/6 Reg (2 XD 3d, 3 3d, and 7 XD) (4 screens) and 15 showings (3 3d, 12 reg) at my 2nd local (3 screens).  

 

This is HUGE for an animated set.  And they are giving it this many planned showings even with the strong March, so March movies are gonna be fighting for the space into that Easter weekend...

 

 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 3/4/2023 at 10:07 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

AMC FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS - GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

SHAZAM!

 

T-12

 

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
17	144	3139	4.5%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
9	0

 

 

 

CINEMARK FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS - GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

SHAZAM!

 

T-12

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	18	1780	1.0%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
0	0

 

 

MISCELLANEOUS CHAINS IN THE GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

T-12

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
21	57	3793	1.5%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
0	0

AMC FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS - GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

SHAZAM!

 

T-11

 

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
17	161	3139	5.1%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
17	0

 

 

 

CINEMARK FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS - GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

SHAZAM!

 

T-11

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	18	1780	1.0%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
0	0

 

 

MISCELLANEOUS CHAINS IN THE GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

SHAZAM!

 

T-11

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
21	57	3793	1.5%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
0	0

 

AMC sales picked up nicely thanks to Disney springs, but other chains still seeing no growth. 

[poweranimals]

When do the review embargos for Scream and 65 lift?

[TigerPaw]

7 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

I don´t think he will anymore, he had a profile for QG recently where he basically defends Chinese government, there´s a quite strong petition now asking for him to be removed from the presenters at Oscar and quite a strong backlash against him as well. 

 

Personally i couldn´t care less but there is this situation, he can be uninvited in the next days if Academy decides to avoid bad publicity.

LOL. You think the Academy cares about some keyboard warriors and agrees to cancelculture? If the Academy does that - what signal are they giving?

 

Petition is by some Hong Kongers, which is not even a key market for Hollywood... while Donnie Yen represents US-China relations noting he is now a political party member in the arts division. You know how much more viewership and how clips can be trending on weibo if he attends? Especially noting Oscar was banned last year in China due to Chloe Zhao.

Edited March 7, 2023 by TigerPaw

[ThomasNicole]

21 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

LOL. You think the Academy cares about some keyboard warriors and agrees to cancelculture? If the Academy does that - what signal are they giving?

 

Petition is by some Hong Kongers, which is not even a key market for Hollywood... while Donnie Yen represents US-China relations noting he is now a political party member in the arts division. You know how much more viewership and how clips can be trending on weibo if he attends? Especially noting Oscar was banned last year in China due to Chloe Zhao.

Of course they could care, there´s a very aggresive cold war between China and US right now, US discourse is obviously very against China regime, it´s not just cancel culture, we all see what happened with Mulan for this exact same statement coming from it´s lead actress. 

 

If the petition is from Hong Kongers only and not from americans then great for him, it certainly won´t impact anything if his quote doesn´t blow out of proportion on US. If it does, of course it can have some negative impact, the very last thing the academy wants after last year is another backlash. 

 

Anyway, this is not the thread for this discussion and you said the petition isn´t coming from americans so with this in mind, yeah he´s probably fine then.

[ThomasNicole]

33 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

When do the review embargos for Scream and 65 lift?

Scream on early wednesday, 65 i think it´s right after the first shows starts so it´s probably about to get awful reviews

[filmlover]

1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

Scream on early wednesday, 65 i think it´s right after the first shows starts so it´s probably about to get awful reviews

Apparently word on the street is 65 isn't being screened for critics at all. We know what that means.

 

 

Edited March 7, 2023 by filmlover

[noobmaster69]

65 alraedy released in some markets, its early imdb score only 5.7 with 400+ votes

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	88	12454	13330	876	6.57%

 

Total Showings Added Today	2
Total Seats Added Today	366
Total Seats Sold Today	104

 

T-18 Comps

	%		Sold T-18	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TGM	27.69		307	3164		0/257	33053/36217	8.74%		11474	7.63%		5.33m
JWD	40.44		99	2166		0/184	22643/24809	8.73%		4456	19.66%		7.28m
BA	145.27		53	603		0/146	21460/22063	2.73%		4494	19.49%		11.04m
A2	36.32		142	2412		0/142	18926/21338	11.30%		8986	9.75%		6.17m
Scream 6	184.81		8	474		0/67	7261/7735	6.13%		????	????		????

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     169/3784  [4.47% sold]
Matinee:    23/1253  [1.84% | 2.63% of all tickets sold]

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	88	12361	13330	969	7.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

93

 

T-17 Comps

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TGM	28.61		223	3387		0/261	33007/36394	9.31%		11474	8.45%		5.51m
JWD	43.77		48	2214		0/188	22929/25143	8.81%		4456	21.75%		7.88m
BA	132.92		126	729		0/146	21338/22067	3.30%		4494	21.56%		10.10m
A2	38.64		96	2508		0/142	18830/21338	11.75%		8986	10.78%		6.57m
Scream 6	197.76		16	490		0/68	7399/7889	6.21%		????	????		????

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     192/3784  [5.07% sold]
Matinee:    27/1253  [2.15% | 2.79% of all tickets sold]