The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[CJohn]

16 minutes ago, filmlover said:

But haven't you received the memo? Paraflop is no more (unless you're Babylon lol)! Watch them work their newfound magic on this like they just did with Scream and are looking to do with Dungeons & Dragons in two weeks.

Transformers doesn't look fresh and different from everything else around it. It looks like Shazam. There is no saving that.

[ThatWaluigiDude]

7 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Transformers doesn't look fresh and different from everything else around it. It looks like Shazam. There is no saving that.

Difference is, I know quite a few people excited for Transformers just for how long it have been since the last movie. I can't say that for Shazam.

[charlie Jatinder]

Everybody, get out

[SchumacherFTW]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Everybody, get out

[MrPink]

3 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

Difference is, I know quite a few people excited for Transformers just for how long it have been since the last movie. I can't say that for Shazam.

 

But really though, there's only like a 6 month gap difference since Bumbleebee is gonna be about 4.5 years to Rise of the Beasts while Shazam was 4 years in between releases.

 

I know, time is fucked up

Edited March 15, 2023 by MrPink

[BadOlCatSylvester]

4 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

Difference is, I know quite a few people excited for Transformers just for how long it have been since the last movie. I can't say that for Shazam.

There's also astronomically more hype for it, no doubt helped by the goodwill of Bumblebee, which this new movie is continuing from.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Everybody, get out

Holy shit, is it actually going below 20M? 

[filmlover]

The new Transformers feels like a test of the overall brand after Bumblebee restored some goodwill to the IP following too many trash sequels (and the diminishing box office returns that came with them). It doesn't seem to be in the same predicament as Shazam! seems to have found itself in since the franchise continues to sell merchandise. Obviously won't do as well as the Bay movies did in their late 2000s/early 2010s prime but if the reviews are good I can see it catching on despite the intense competition surrounding it.

Edited March 15, 2023 by filmlover

[Menor the Destroyer]

5 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

Holy shit, is it actually going below 20M? 

I think what he's referring to (which I agree with) is that a lot of the last couple pages is cluttering up the tracking thread. 

[The GOAT]

28 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Transformers doesn't look fresh and different from everything else around it. It looks like Shazam. There is no saving that.

Wrong, It's going to be the only billion Dolla movie of the year. You better Baylieve it. 

Edited March 15, 2023 by The GOAT

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, SchumacherFTW said:

I know what reaction we need. @Cap @Shawn

 

We need this 🥴

 

[Tinalera]

John Wick 4

Thurs Mar 23 and Fri Mar 24 (t-9)

Toronto and Montreal Canada

 

Toronto		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
	Thurs	4	38	413	8571	8984	0.0459
	Fri	4	21	708	5172	5880	0.1204
Montreal		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
	Thurs	4	30	296	9634	9930	0.0298
	Fri	3	12	354	3927	4281	0.0826

 

 

Note Drop in montreal percentage is them adding a truckload of shows on Thurs (from 15-30) 

[GOGODanca]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-shazam-fury-of-the-gods-paces-for-a-soft-open/

[screambaby]

Mojo only has it  at 24  plus and thats still optomistic imo. Call that being negative I call it reality.

Edited March 15, 2023 by screambaby

[John Marston]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

The new Transformers feels like a test of the overall brand after Bumblebee restored some goodwill to the IP following too many trash sequels (and the diminishing box office returns that came with them). It doesn't seem to be in the same predicament as Shazam! seems to have found itself in since the franchise continues to sell merchandise. Obviously won't do as well as the Bay movies did in their late 2000s/early 2010s prime but if the reviews are good I can see it catching on despite the intense competition surrounding it.

 

 

Bumblebee is kind of like the first Shazam. Entertaining but forgettable and doesn't excite anyone for future stuff. 

[Mulder]

3 hours ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

Nope, not after GvK.

GvK didn't make that much money and left like no impact. You're not going to have lightning strike twice contrary to what WB and Legendary seem to think.

[ky02121]

This weekend’s thread is going to be EPIC 

[SnokesLegs]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

The new Transformers feels like a test of the overall brand after Bumblebee restored some goodwill to the IP following too many trash sequels (and the diminishing box office returns that came with them). It doesn't seem to be in the same predicament as Shazam! seems to have found itself in since the franchise continues to sell merchandise. Obviously won't do as well as the Bay movies did in their late 2000s/early 2010s prime but if the reviews are good I can see it catching on despite the intense competition surrounding it.

Transformers looks like a step back from Bumblebee and back into Bayhem territory, which is something that got old over a decade ago. Anecdotally, I loved Bumblebee but this new one isn’t even on my radar, so I wouldn’t count on the goodwill from Bumblebee translating into too much. 

[AJG]

51 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

Bumblebee is kind of like the first Shazam. Entertaining but forgettable and doesn't excite anyone for future stuff. 

Bumblebee also came out 4-5 years ago and the franchise has been pretty dormant since then (I’m not counting what ever animated shows I’m sure there’s been somewhere).

[GOGODanca]

Rise of the Beasts is gonna be reliant on China like the last couple transformers movies, if it doesn't get 200m+ from that market then I think its cooked