narniadis Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 31 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Most of XMAS release dropped 65-67% in 4th FRI from Dec 29-30. FRI jump has been all over the place from 50-90%. Your worst examples going back to 2016 are notoriously skewed films like TLJ and ROS though? Or in the case of Aquaman, way too close to the holiday proper to be a good fit. The week has played out already quite similar to 2011 and the next best calendar match is 2016 and in both cases the best matches (Tron Legacy and SW7) are in the 70-80% range and most other films are over 100%. As much as I play the down card, I'm surprised that I feel like I'm pushing for better behavior than one of the BOGods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
infamous5445 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 10 hours ago, Tokugennumataka said: 4.6 Wed 4.3 Thu 8.4 Fri 14 Sat 9.1 Sun 31.5 FSS 667.8 after 24 days. You're a prophet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 15 minutes ago, EmpireCity said: $4.6m or so Right inline with 2011/2016(ish) should be another drop tomorrow or at best a flatish hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 (edited) @WrathOfHan happy new year: 16x: The King’s Man: Good Boys, Apocalypse Now: Final Cut IMAX, Hustlers, Ford v Ferrari Dolby, The New Mutants IMAX, F9 Dolby, Black Widow Dolby, Free Guy Dolby, Candyman Dolby, Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings IMAX, Venom: Let There Be Carnage IMAX, The Last Duel, Eternals Dolby, The French Dispatch Round 2, West Side Story Dolby 12x: Morbius: The Gentlemen, Bloodshot IMAX, The New Mutants IMAX, Tenet Round 3 IMAX, The Last Duel, Eternals Dolby, Spider-Man: No Way Home IMAX, The Matrix Resurrections, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 2, Nightmare Alley, The Matrix Resurrections Round 2, A Journal for Jordan 10x: Sing 2: F9 Dolby, The Boss Baby: Family Business, Jungle Cruise Dolby, Dear Evan Hansen Dolby, Eternals Dolby, The Addams Family 2, Ron’s Gone Wrong, The Mitchells vs. the Machines, Belfast, Encanto Dolby Atmos 7x: Jackass Forever: Old, The Suicide Squad IMAX, Candyman Dolby, Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings IMAX, Malignant, Titane, No Time to Die Dolby The 355: Honest Thief Dolby, Mank, Dear Evan Hansen Dolby, No Time to Die Dolby, The French Dispatch, Spencer, Belfast The Matrix Resurrections: Malignant, Titane, The Last Duel, Dune Dolby, King Richard, West Side Story Dolby, Spider-Man: No Way Home IMAX 6x: Rumble: Sonic the Hedgehog Dolby, The Personal History of David Copperfield, Coco Round 7, The Addams Family 2, The Mitchells vs. the Machines, Encanto Dolby Atmos The Batman: Dune Dolby, Eternals Dolby, The Matrix Resurrections, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 2, Nightmare Alley, The Matrix Resurrections Round 2 Death on the Nile: Tenet Round 3 IMAX, Honest Thief Dolby, Synchronic, Nightmare Alley, The Matrix Resurrections Round 2, A Journal for Jordan 5x: Top Gun: Maverick: Gemini Man Dolby HFR120fps3D, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Dolby, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Round 2 IMAX, A Quiet Place Part II IMAX, Snake Eyes: G.I. Joe Origins IMAX American Underdog: The Last Duel, The Addams Family 2, Ron’s Gone Wrong, King Richard, West Side Story Dolby A Journal for Jordan: Dear Evan Hansen Dolby, Spencer, Belfast, King Richard, West Side Story Dolby Ambulance: Dune Dolby, Spider-Man: No Way Home IMAX, The Matrix Resurrections, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 2, The Matrix Resurrections Round 2 4x: Hotel Transylvania: Transformania: Spirit Untamed, In the Heights Round 3, Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway, Cruella Turning Red: The Addams Family 2, Ron’s Gone Wrong, Encanto Dolby Atmos, West Side Story Dolby Moonfall: Malignant, No Time to Die Dolby, Dune Dolby, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 2 Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man, Spider-Man: No Way Home IMAX, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 2 Scream: The Last Duel, Dune Dolby, House of Gucci, Nightmare Alley Lightyear: Encanto Dolby Atmos, The Matrix Resurrections, Nightmare Alley, The Matrix Resurrections Round 2 Uncharted: Dune Dolby, Spider-Man: No Way Home IMAX, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 2, A Journal for Jordan 3x: Minions: The Rise of Gru: The Call of the Wild Dolby, Onward Dolby, The Croods Round 2Spider-Man: No Way Home: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man, Venom: Let There Be Carnage IMAXNightmare Alley: The French Dispatch, tick, tick… BOOM!, C’mon C’monThe Tragedy of Macbeth: Lamb, C’mon C’mon, West Side Story Dolby Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore: The Matrix Resurrections, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 2, The Matrix Resurrections Round 2 2x: The Comeback Trail: Tenet Round 3 IMAX, Honest Thief Dolby Thor: Love and Thunder: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man Black Panther: Wakanda Forever: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man The Marvels: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man Fantastic Four: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of ManCyrano: Belfast, House of Gucci DC League of Super-Pets: The Mitchells vs. the Machines, King Richard The Northman: The Matrix Resurrections, The Matrix Resurrections Round 2 The Lost City: The Matrix Resurrections, The Matrix Resurrections Round 2 1x: Parallel Mothers: Small Engine Repair The Duke: The Lost Leonardo The Black Phone: The Last Duel Redeeming Love: SpencerThe Worst Person in the World: SpencerFor the Love of Money: The French Dispatch Round 2 Downton Abbey: A New Era: BelfastRed Rocket: C’mon C’monThe Lost Daughter: Don’t Look Up Munich: Edge of War: Don’t Look Up Dog: The Matrix Resurrections Sonic the Hedgehog 2: Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 2 The Outfit: Nightmare Alley The Devil’s Light: Nightmare Alley The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent: The Matrix Resurrections Round 2The Scary of Sixty-First: The Tragedy of Macbeth Strawberry Mansion: The Tragedy of Macbeth The Unbreakable Boy: A Journal for Jordan Marry Me: A Journal for Jordan Edited January 6, 2022 by Blankments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Coulda been worse I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Movies4Life Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 29 minutes ago, EmpireCity said: $4.6m or so Alright. So, it's at $632M so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moses Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 I think from now to the end of its run it will be performing at 70% of TFA So we can expect around 740 million end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tokugennumataka Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 TFA is a weird case. It was still pulling in massive numbers in Jan but its Fri jumps were underwhelming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 9 hours ago, Product Driven Legion said: Coulda been worse I guess. The drops this week are normal if you consider the weekly drops. They are right in line with TFA which also had 73-78% weekly drops on the weekdays after new years weekend. NWH had better than expected drop on Monday due to lieu holiday but Tue/Wed has been right in line. Thursday should stay relatively flat or a small swing either way. Also the weekend should be around 26-28m which would again be right in line with TFA. 31 million seems very optimistic though I hope it happens. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 9 hours ago, EmpireCity said: $4.6m or so 4,6 is good for 660-665 bu Sunday and 720-740 final run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 anyway you slice it, NWH is going to be #2 Marvel movie dom (behind only Endgame) and #3 movie WW (behind Endgame and IW) only because it didn't get China release. Otherwise it would have challenged IW WW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonahVex Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Where do you guys think NWH will end domestically in terms of tickets sold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 14 minutes ago, JonahVex said: Where do you guys think NWH will end domestically in terms of tickets sold? ~62-65M depending on exact ATP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 37 minutes ago, Valonqar said: anyway you slice it, NWH is going to be #2 Marvel movie dom (behind only Endgame) and #3 movie WW (behind Endgame and IW) only because it didn't get China release. Otherwise it would have challenged IW WW. Is it just me that it hurt the legacy of Marvel success a little bit ? There was no brilliant build up, not a single particularly good spider man movie since Spider Man 2, yet a Jon Watts movie of all peoples, with those trailers of all trailers open like that just by throwing a lot of beloved figure in it ? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
infamous5445 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 17 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said: ~62-65M depending on exact ATP Wouldn't that be behind The Dark Knight and Spider-Man (2002) for solo movies, what a flop /s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, infamous5445 said: Wouldn't that be behind The Dark Knight and Spider-Man (2002) for solo movies, what a flop /s Likely, yes. SM1 did around 68-70M. TDK 73-76M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 23 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said: ~62-65M depending on exact ATP Assuming it reach 725M, 67M ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Just now, charlie Jatinder said: Assuming it reach 725M, 67M ish. Hmm, I figured with the Q3/Q4 2021 inflation push it would be a bit lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonahVex Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 I think NWH will be an unreachable total for any future "solo" superhero movie especially without China Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 22 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said: Hmm, I figured with the Q3/Q4 2021 inflation push it would be a bit lower. ticket prices in non fancy theaters barely go up. Definitely behind inflation. not to mention its so damn easy to get a deal on amc movies without trying hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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