THE BATMAN WEEKEND THREAD | 134M OW DOM, 258.2M WW | Biggest WB opening since BvS. First non Disney-affiliated 100M OW since 2018

[Boxofficerules]

Batman is going to drop a big Bat Bomb this weekend.

[Elessar]

I'm watching this on the biggest IMAX screen in the world on Sunday. Jealousy ensues... 

[CJohn]

Are we fucking with 150M or is RPATZ destined for arthouse European porn?

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Are we fucking with 150M or is RPATZ destined for arthouse European porn?

We’ll have to see just what these walkup hype posts amount to when the preview number hits. It’s not impossible, doesn’t seem very likely to me atm. Not much has happened since last night 😛 

[AJG]

Some of the posts on here -

 

[john2000]

...

[Liiviig 1998]

36 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Are we fucking with 150M or is RPATZ destined for arthouse European porn?

Will wait for previews and especially Friday no . But nah don't think So. Maybe 140 at best

[excel1]

Batman #2 trend in US

[fmpro]

Walk ups here in Denmark were fantastic on OD. Presales was so so but it ended up being a great OD. I don`t have any numbers though

[CJohn]

All of your negativity made me drop my Derby prediction from 155M to 145M.

[XXR & Friends]

**comes in to see @hw64’s vicious assault on the defenseless tracking thread**
 

[Krissykins]

On 3/1/2022 at 9:05 PM, Krissykins said:

$131,159,923

Sticking with this prediction 

[TwoMisfits]

4 hours ago, hw64 said:

 

If this ends up being true, then let it be a lesson for certain people in the tracking thread who have gotten high off of their own numbers over the past few weeks. There's been way too much self-confidence bordering on cockiness about the data, which some seem to think is infallible and the be-all and end-all for opening weekend predictions.

 

I think some people seem to have forgotten, in the face of the last 9 months where a lot of the big domestic blockbusters were well-behaved and predictable Marvel movies, that despite the increased prevalence of presales, unpredictable and highly variable walkups still make up a big percentage of the opening weekend, especially for movies which aren't as presales-driven as Marvel movies (i.e. pretty much all movies except Star Wars movies).

 

I feel like this needs to be said regardless of whether The Batman exceeds presales-based expectations or not, because relying so heavily on presales data is going to eventually bite people hard anyway. Hopefully it is The Batman that gets to knock people down a peg, because the lesson is best learned sooner rather than later.

 

Right, that's why you were supposed to go with the contest people - I mentioned a week ago, 4 of us were between $159-$160M total DOM OW:)...you know random WAGs are always gonna be better than actual data:)...

 

_{(please may people recognize sarcasm, please may people recognize sarcasm:)...}

[cax16]

Honestly I don’t think it’s an issue at all with how the discussions went about this movie leading up to preview night in the tracking thread(I’ve followed it daily). They can only go by numbers they’ve seen (and have) and make educated guesses based on that. We all know that any movie can explode with walk ups but it’s not like you’d expect that with Batman. Of course with the release being so big anything can happen but again, they’re usually pretty great in there with numbers they have.

 

We should have a better idea today when a preview number comes out with how close they were in there. The range was basically 19-23m which seems like the range it “should” fall in. 
 

Also, I just wanna add. The real issue is people overreacting to comments in the thread like when someone gives an opening weekend range of 100-130, everyone just looks at the lower number and freaks out. I didn’t see anyone saying this was definitely opening to 100m. 

Edited March 4, 2022 by cax16

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

Right, that's why you were supposed to go with the contest people - I mentioned a week ago, 4 of us were between $159-$160M total DOM OW:)...you know random WAGs are always gonna be better than actual data:)...

Cannot believe you would make such outlandish statements in a 100% serious manner like this, but I just don’t see any other possible interpretation.

[cax16]

Gotta head into work but I’m sure when I check back in about 8 hours this thread will be fine. 

[YM!]

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

Are we fucking with 150M or is RPATZ destined for arthouse European porn?

Now hear me out, Robert Pattinson and Iggy Azelea in a pornographic film directed by Bella Thorne.

[John Marston]

Amazing how Joker made 740m overseas sans China. Even in complete normal times, The Batman wouldn’t have touched that 

[YM!]

6 hours ago, grey ghost said:

Well while we wait for numbers anyone who saw The Batman care to rank their top 5 Batman movies?

The Batman

The Dark Knight

Returns

Begins

Phantasm 

Batman 89

Rises/Lego Batman

BvS

Forever

Batman and Robin

 

 

Not a bad Batman movie out of these. All but Forever and Robin are 3/5 or higher (the other two are bad but so entertainingly bad)

[CJohn]

22 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Now hear me out, Robert Pattinson and Iggy Azelea in a pornographic film directed by Bella Thorne.

Day one.