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Weekly Thread 6/20/22 - JWD $8.5m, TGM $8.0m, LY $6.8m

By EmpireCity, in Numbers and Data

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Cheddar Please Indie Sensation

Cheddar Please

Posted
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

And will get the 2nd biggest 5th weekend - with for example 31m.

Neids 30.02m to beat Titanic's 5th weekend (though to be honest Titanic's 5th weekend was slightly larger than it Opening Weekend).

 

Coming set of weekdays will be way harder as Pre Christmas Blockbusters have MLK Day and Thanksgiving releases enter the Christmas holiday period and early August releases have Labor Day and Late April releases Memorial Day.

None the less Tuesday-Thursday probably will be top 3.

 

Monday - TG will probably place 14-10th place (4-4.8m)

Finding Nemo (I think its currently #26 or a bit further to the back) is currently the highest non holiday 5th Monday with 2.522m

#1 Avatar: 11.615m (MLK Day) 

#2 Frozen: 7.898m (30th December)

#3 TFA: 6.678m (MLK Day)

#4 The sixth Sense: 6.374m (Labor Day) 

#5 Titanic: 6.023m (MLK Day)

#6 Guardians of the Galaxy: 5.824m (Labor Day)

#7 Avengers: Infinity War: 5.159m (Memorial Day)

#8 Avengers: Endgame: 4.863m (Memorial Day)

#9 Moana: 4.841m (Boxing Day)

#10 Toy Story 2: 4.763m (27h December)

TG:M 4.6m?

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Best 5th Tuesday - Probably #2 / #3 place (4.3m-5.5m):

#1 Frozen: 7.076m (New Year’s Eve)

TGM 5m

#2 Moana: 4.844m (27th December)

#3 Toy Story 2: 4.823m (27th December)

#4 Toy Story: 4.818m (Boxing Day)

#5 Avatar: 4.191m

#6 Wonder Woman: 4.064m (Independence Day)

#7 A Bug’s Life: 3.565m (28th December)

#8 Frozen II: 3.455m (Christmas Day)

#9 Incredibles 2: 3.409m

#10: Toy Story 4: 3.301m

 

Best 5th Wednesday - Probably #2-#5 (3.6m-4.6m)

#1 Frozen: 6.354 (Christmas Day) - Wednesday Release

TGM 4.2m

#2: Frozen II: 4.147m (Christmas Day)

#3 Avatar: 3.792m

#4 Knives Out: 3.650m (Christmas Day) - Wednesday Release

#5 Toy Story 2: 2.669m (22nd December) - Wednesday Release

#6: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire: 2.528m (Christmas Day)

 

Best 5th Thursday - Probably #3-5 (3.4m-4.3m)

#1 Frozen: 9.109m (Boxing Day) - Wednesday Release

#2 Frozen II: 5.542m (Boxing Day)

TGM 4.0m

#3 Avatar: 3.945m

#4 Toy Story 2: 3.458m (23rd December) - Wednesday Release

#5 Knives Out: 3.189m (Boxing Day) - Wednesday Release

#6: SW I: TPM: 3.183m - Wednesday Release

#7 The Hunger Games: CF: 3.040m (Boxing Day)

#8 Shrek 2: 2.841m - Wednesday Release

#9 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay I: 2.686m (Christmas Day)

 

6th weekend 24m : #3 needs 17.1m for that - #2 would need 25.3m (Titanic) - #1 would need 35m

7th weekend 16m: #3 is 15.2m (Passion of Christ) - #2 Titanic 25.9m and #1 Avatar 31.3m

 

 

 

 

 

 

Nice thorough analysis here, though its 6th weekend will likely be almost flat from its 5th due to July 4th and PLF expansion, though I can see it dropping sharply to 17m in its 7th weekend due to Thor taking away all of its PLF screens yet again

Edited by Cheddar Please
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LegendaryBen Sleeper Hit

LegendaryBen

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, EmpireCity said:

A really early number for today is $4.7m for TG2, but with it adding some PLF screens back, let's see what the real impact is with the new openers.  

How about JWD and Lightyear? My guesses for them, 4.5m and 3.5m, respectively?

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VanillaSkies Box Office Gold

VanillaSkies

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Regardless of how Elvis does, I think WB will be wanting to work with Baz Luhrmann on his next film although given the huge gaps between films, I'm not expecting another Baz film until 2029 or 2030.


sometimes I ask myself what he does between movies, then I remember his awful song he released in the 90s called “everyone’s free (to wear sunscreen)” and think he must have a bunch of bizarre hobbies….

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Jonwo Global Phenomenon

Jonwo

Posted
Posted
Just now, VanillaSkies said:


sometimes I ask myself what he does between movies, then I remember his awful song he released in the 90s called “everyone’s free (to wear sunscreen)” and think he must have a bunch of bizarre hobbies….

TBF between Gatsby and Elvis, he was involved in The Get Down so it's not like he was doing nothing. 

 

 

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Chaz Box Office Gold

Chaz

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, VanillaSkies said:


sometimes I ask myself what he does between movies, then I remember his awful song he released in the 90s called “everyone’s free (to wear sunscreen)” and think he must have a bunch of bizarre hobbies….

He did have a one season TV show on Netflix in 2015.

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CoolioD1 Global Phenomenon

CoolioD1

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Chaz said:

He did have a one season TV show on Netflix in 2015.

good show! gone too soon. one of the earliest "we spend $100mil+ on this wacky auteur project that nobody watched" netflix things.

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VanillaSkies Box Office Gold

VanillaSkies

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Chaz said:

He did have a one season TV show on Netflix in 2015.

Y’all… I really just wanted the opportunity  to bring up his god awful song. I have very little interest in what he is actually up to in his life 😅😇

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Chaz Box Office Gold

Chaz

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

Y’all… I really just wanted the opportunity  to bring up his god awful song. I have very little interest in what he is actually up to in his life 😅😇

Well you gon LEARN TA-DAY

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