Weekend Thread (9/22-24) | Weekend Estimates - DWD 19.35, Woman King 11, Avatar 10.5, Barbarian 4.8, See How They Run & Pearl 1.9

[Grebacio]

 

[DAJK]

Damn, much lower than I was expecting given how strong it was playing around here. Oh well, 20M give or take seems like where it's going.

[ThomasNicole]

Nice, should be enough to 20M unless it crumbles 

 

87% verified audience score on RT

[AJG]

Is this good?

 

Quote

In early Comscore/Screen Engine PostTrak figures, Don’t Worry Darling notched three stars with a 66% positive with women under 25 turning out big 

 

[filmlover]

Seems solid enough for a $20M start unless it ends up being crazy frontloaded thanks to Styles stans.

[Cmasterclay]

Fairly bad if it's as frontloaded as I'm expecting but kinda good if it isn't. Guess we'll see. Could reasonably go anywhere between 13 and 25 with that number tbh.

[ThomasNicole]

3 minutes ago, AJG said:

Is this good?

 

 

Not great but not bad either 

 

I would say decent

[Flopped]

Didn't Woman King do 1.7 from 4pm previews? Obviously this will be MUCH more front-loaded but these numbers seem fine. 

[WrathOfHan]

It's selling really well here tonight at higher grossing theaters. 20M should be safe even if WOM is meh.

 

8 minutes ago, AJG said:

Is this good?

 

 

Probably a B/B- Cinemascore

[WrathOfHan]

 

 

[Eric Prime]

10 minutes ago, AJG said:

Is this good?

 

 

No it’s not

[Valonqar]

Nervous about frontloadedness. I want it to go over 20M. 

[charlie Jatinder]

12 minutes ago, AJG said:

Is this good?

 

 

The worst I have seen. Anything below 80% isn't good.

 

Edit: Gonna check a few other bad WOM films

 

Morbius - 62% 

Venom 2 - 76%
Eternals - 75%
Thor 4 - 77%

Edited September 23, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[Krissykins]

9 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Fairly bad if it's as frontloaded as I'm expecting but kinda good if it isn't. Guess we'll see. Could reasonably go anywhere between 13 and 25 with that number tbh.

$13m from a 3.1m preview would be just 4.2x, that’s MCU territory only is it not? 
 

Hopefully $20m+. It cost $35m, so it’s solid either way. 

Edited September 23, 2022 by Krissykins

[snarkmachine]

87% verified audience when most of the preview audience would've been Harry Styles stans seems pretty bad?

 

Although there's some weird fandom dynamic in play where lots of HS stans seem to hate Olivia Wilde so maybe that's where it comes from? 

[Flopped]

LMAO at him calling it celebrity gossip and drama. The way the mods on this forum lost their shit when I called it PR. What a weird thing to fixate on and run around handing warning points over. 

 

 

[Deuce66]

If my tiny sample of theatres in my area are any indication of the Domestic market DWD will easily win the weekend however ticket sales drop off a cliff Fri to Sun. Avatar will finish second, sales are lot more stable and with higher ticket prices due to 3D/Imax is in the 70-75% range of DWD. The Woman King is a distant third. 

Edited September 23, 2022 by Deuce66

[CJohn]

3.1M is Thursday+IMAX live event? Sweet jesus the frontloadness is real. This won't hit 20M OW.

[Issac Newton]

3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

3.1M is Thursday+IMAX live event? Sweet jesus the frontloadness is real. This won't hit 20M OW.

$30M incoming (⁠゜⁠o⁠゜⁠;

 

#DontWorryDarling grossed strong 3.1M on THU previews at domestic #BoxOffice, close to #Scream5’s 3.3M and above #JungleCruise’s 2.7M, #TheLostCity’s 2.5M and #FreeGuy’s 2.2M.
That could put the film starring #FlorencePugh and #HarryStyles on track for a opening weekend over 30M. pic.twitter.com/APORnAZwRE

— Luiz Fernando (@Luiz_Fernando_J) September 23, 2022

[Cooper Legion]

Love this number

 

Spoiler

I went low in derby and 20 looks ~impossible