charlie Jatinder Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 (edited) 17 minutes ago, M37 said: Maybe more later evening East Cosst time, but in the weekend thread by Rth, yours for Sunday and even EC’s number up top. Not a significant discrepancy, but a consistent shading under. Just thought it was notable I gave a SUN number? lemme check... I did. Yeah I was basing that of SAT 56.5M given by Disney. Not much diff and at times DIS SUN and MON numbers are bit lower than what they look. RTH SAT felt off when he gave, probably had some calculation error. It looked like around 55M throughout day, ended up at around 56. Pretty normal performance for it so far. Edited November 15, 2022 by charlie Jatinder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PlatnumRoyce Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 18 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: So checking 2021 THEME report, it has two ethnicity datas. One has caucasian survey average 45% while other is 57% from other agency The diff is huge. Not sure which is right, I guess 2nd one looks better. I really think this is a pandemic story. 2017-2019 shows 2,3, and 5 point gaps in the two different surveys versus 2021's 12 point gap. So is this capturing biases introduced into posttrak or are people overrepresenting theatergoing post-pandemic in telephone polls? Looking at asian/other numbers makes my gut suggest there's something wonky in posttrak. I know movio produces some stuff like this from time to time so that would be an interesting third source to get a sense of what's going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Verrows Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 I'm pretty sure I know the answer here, but just checking... Looking at the list of biggest November openings, most of their first Mondays drop around 65%. Is this because of their proximity to Thanksgiving? All the biggest November openings land on the weekend before Thanksgiving. The biggest November opening that doesn't land on that particular weekend, and the one that resembles WF's Monday drop, is indeed another MCU film (Thor: Ragnarok). I suppose the "November always has soft weekdays and strong weekends" rule applies to releases from roughly the first half of the month then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 BA dropped 78%($445K). Maybe only was a bad Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GOGODanca Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 1 (1) Black Panther: Wakanda Fo… Walt Disney $11,125,499 -73% 4,396 $2,531 $192,465,260 4 2 (2) Black Adam Warner Bros. $450,573 -78% -66% 3,603 $125 $151,024,136 25 3 (3) Ticket to Paradise Universal $434,670 -67% -41% 3,633 $120 $56,748,015 25 - (7) The Banshees of Inisherin Searchlight … $168,341 -60% -20% 960 $175 $5,903,118 25 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Tomorrow TTP is going to pass Black Adam tomorrow. Quite some achievment. TTP will sit around $62m going into Thanksgiving week and probably at around $67m after TG (I looked at Hacksaw Ridge as a 2016 comparison) off a $2,6m weekend. Should be on its way to finish between $75m and $80m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 (edited) Media's trying to do their part in giving BP2 great staying power. I keep seeing positive articles come up. That's a good thing. This is one instance where I like what they are doing. Sure beats them idolizing Nick Cannon for having babies with 20 women at the same time!!! Edited November 15, 2022 by jedijake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Loves Rey Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, jedijake said: Media's trying to do their part in giving BP2 great staying power. I keep seeing positive articles come up. That's a good thing. This is one instance where I like what they are doing. Sure beats them idolizing Nick Cannon for having babies with 20 women at the same time!!! …what are you even talking about? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Eric Killmonger said: …what are you even talking about? LOL-talking about the good articles that keep popping up about BP2. It's nice to see good things rather than what kinds of things the media tends to obsess with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Thor Ragnarok dropped 74% first Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thajdikt Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Are we expecting WF to gross more or less today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GOGODanca Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, thajdikt said: Are we expecting WF to gross more or less today? its gonna increase 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 4 hours ago, Verrows said: I'm pretty sure I know the answer here, but just checking... Looking at the list of biggest November openings, most of their first Mondays drop around 65%. Is this because of their proximity to Thanksgiving? All the biggest November openings land on the weekend before Thanksgiving. The biggest November opening that doesn't land on that particular weekend, and the one that resembles WF's Monday drop, is indeed another MCU film (Thor: Ragnarok). I suppose the "November always has soft weekdays and strong weekends" rule applies to releases from roughly the first half of the month then. Yes, thanksgiving mon is soft since there is some level of formal school break for the entire week and some level of people informally taking off monTues to get a 9day off period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 5 hours ago, Verrows said: I'm pretty sure I know the answer here, but just checking... Looking at the list of biggest November openings, most of their first Mondays drop around 65%. Is this because of their proximity to Thanksgiving? All the biggest November openings land on the weekend before Thanksgiving. The biggest November opening that doesn't land on that particular weekend, and the one that resembles WF's Monday drop, is indeed another MCU film (Thor: Ragnarok). I suppose the "November always has soft weekdays and strong weekends" rule applies to releases from roughly the first half of the month then. Yes. BP will be dropping in low 60s that Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 Yeah Mon that week is like 60% bigger than otherwise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 So O/U 80M for WF this weekend? Thanksgiving is going to be dire with how low everything is tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 6 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: So O/U 80M for WF this weekend? Thanksgiving is going to be dire with how low everything is tracking. Way under. Probably right around $70 million. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikostar Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 6 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: So O/U 80M for WF this weekend? Thanksgiving is going to be dire with how low everything is tracking. Right at 80. Probably a little over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 (edited) 80 would be excellent. Following Rag % of sat sun, would be 72 — but Rag 2nd wknd was vet boosted! Personally I’d take anything over 70 as a pretty good drop. Edit: DS1 would take to 79, but that was even more vet boosted (fri instead of sat) and is a 1st entry/much smaller opening. Edited November 16, 2022 by Legion By Night 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 80M would mean around 55-56% drop 70M would mean around 61-62% drop Given reception and lack of competition, I would say 58% drop, slightly better than BA. That's 76M, close to AoU 2nd weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
