charlie Jatinder Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 (edited) 29 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Something weird about wakanda. I dont remember Charlie being so off with his morning number. Could it be that its over indexing somewhere that is causing over estimation. Well I didn't look numbers personally. Lemme check. Edit: Yeah so last update was 13M reported with some 700 locs to report. Should be around 13.6. Probably comScore had any hiccup or Deadline is on crack. Edit 2: It seems former. Comscore has corrected it now. Happens time to time some manual entry error adding one/two extra digit. Edited November 16, 2022 by charlie Jatinder 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikostar Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 (edited) 33 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Well I didn't look numbers personally. Lemme check. Edit: Yeah so last update was 13M reported with some 700 locs to report. Should be around 13.6. Probably comScore had any hiccup or Deadline is on crack. Well deadline always wrong in their early numbers Edited November 16, 2022 by Nikostar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 Were there any major storms anywhere in the country yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Verrows Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Well I didn't look numbers personally. Lemme check. Edit: Yeah so last update was 13M reported with some 700 locs to report. Should be around 13.6. Probably comScore had any hiccup or Deadline is on crack. Edit 2: It seems former. Comscore has corrected it now. Happens time to time some manual entry error adding one/two extra digit. Well that clears that up. Not as strong a Tuesday as one would have liked but I also can't say I'm surprised because I knew that Tuesday bumps are more muted than they were before covid. All in hoping for is really strong weekends. Hopefully it doesn't drop 43% today like Ragnarok did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 As I said before, Tuesday don't really matter. Wednesday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Factcheck Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 12 minutes ago, stripe said: Nope 72M puts WF to 290M+ after 10 days. No way it just grosses 160M after that, even more with Thanksgiving and Christmas. Next week we should see strong numbers. I expect that WF will be over 380M+ after 17 days. That's more than enough to approach 500M DOM. Ragnarok did $103M more after doing $57 million in the 2nd weekend, and the WOM of WF seems the same as Ragnarok, so can it do $200M or more after the 2nd weekend(72M) to reach $500M? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 Civil War was at $294M after a $72M second weekend and ended with $408M. I don't see WF making $500M. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tokugennumataka Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, Factcheck said: Ragnarok did $103M more after doing $57 million in the 2nd weekend, and the WOM of WF seems the same as Ragnarok, so can it do $200M or more after the 2nd weekend(72M) to reach $500M? Better than that. WF has Thanksgiving earlier in its run and no competition like Justice League. Also I believe it'll have a more rewarding run than Ragnarok through Christmas, new year. (Maybe Avatwo will be bigger than TLJ, jumanji and TGS combined, but I highly doubt it). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 14 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Initially I had it at 130 or so, still have but those 3 had either a big release opening, in case of Ragnarok Justice League, or Eternals had bad WOM. Won't be surprised with 150+ or even 160 But a good portion of that new release (and WOM) effect is already baked into the Thursday number, -14/15/17% for each. I could see maybe +150, but 160 just seems like a stretch for this Friday. Also should continue to be more backloaded into Sat/Sun (+70/-30 or better) than comps (+65/-33) but I don’t foresee Friday topping $20M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tokugennumataka Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: Civil War was at $294M after a $72M second weekend and ended with $408M. I don't see WF making $500M. Thanksgiving, Christmas/new year holidays and a dearth of competition except for a major tentpole till February vs CW which was bombarded by new releases left and right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tokugennumataka Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, M37 said: But a good portion of that new release (and WOM) effect is already baked into the Thursday number, -14/15/17% for each. I could see maybe +150, but 160 just seems like a stretch for this Friday. Also should continue to be more backloaded into Sat/Sun (+70/-30 or better) than comps (+65/-33) but I don’t foresee Friday topping $20M You're expecting Thursday to come in below 8m? That seems harsh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Loves Rey Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 18 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: As I said before, Tuesday don't really matter. Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said: You're expecting Thursday to come in below 8m? That seems harsh. Didn’t say that? Rather it shouldn’t drop as much as those others on Thur because of lack of competition and keeping PLFs - but the Th/Fr ratio should be close to comps, not outrun them. A ~10% drop from Wed, maybe less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Verrows Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 21 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: Civil War was at $294M after a $72M second weekend and ended with $408M. I don't see WF making $500M. Civil War did not have good legs, especially for that time when MCU legs were generally better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thajdikt Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 Sub 9M today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikostar Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 So is deadline number real or fake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
exomassey Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 I’m thinking 8 -8.5 Wednesday. Weekdays haven’t been that strong. Maybe it can recover on the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed121 Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 Some of you need to calm down. Black Panther 1 didn’t have strong weekdays but very good Friday jumps and humongous Saturday jumps in its 2nd, 3rd and 4th weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Reynolds Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 meh for BP2 , not many people have time to go to theater for 3 hours on a workday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 The old guy watching all the younger followers panicking.... you will learn in time, just relax. BP is doing fine for the time of year. Nothing out of the ordinary so far, and certainly not bad. Also, for the one asking about Deadlines number being real or fake, its not an either or. Charlie noted earlier that Comscore apparently had an issue with their data which skewed the overnight. Charlie's was correct for the data given, Deadlines was correct for the data correctly given. Deadline doesnt make up numbers in the morning of. Early Thursday and Friday stuff, sure to a point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
