The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Barbie Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

157

839

18.71%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

180

789

22.81%

 

Wednesday: 774(+16)

Thursday:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
941	103	11318	8.31%	13	71

 

1.13

AtSV T-15

19.58M

0.929

JW Dominion T-15

16.72M

Barbie Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

183

839

21.81%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

190

789

24.08%

 

Wednesday: 809(+25)

Thursday:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1061	120	11275	9.41%	13	71

 

1.199	AtSV T-14	20.80M
0.765	Avatar 2 T-14	13.00M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Barbie Alamo Drafthouse

T-14 Wednesday	15 Showings	1906	+0	1914	ATP:	19.63
T-15 Thursday	142 Showings	10642	+331	18277	ATP:	16.25

0.794

Doctor Strange 2 T-15

28.58M

 

T-16 Friday

193 Showings

11587

+343

25723

ATP:

15.09

0.854

Doctor Strange 2 T-16

46.73M

 

T-17 Saturday

194 Showings

12432

+369

26356

ATP:

14.72

0.880

Doctor Strange 2 T-17

50.87M

 

T-18 Sunday

182 Showings

9015

+374

24134

ATP:

14.63

1.358

Doctor Strange 2 T-18

52.83M

Barbie Alamo Drafthouse

T-13 Wednesday	15 Showings	1906	+0	1914	ATP:	19.63
T-14 Thursday	142 Showings	10864	+222	18131	ATP:	16.22

0.798

Doctor Strange 2 T-14

28.74M

 

T-15 Friday

193 Showings

12099

+512

25443

ATP:

15.07

0.867

Doctor Strange 2 T-15

47.47M

 

T-16 Saturday

195 Showings

12955

+523

26493

ATP:

14.69

0.896

Doctor Strange 2 T-16

51.79M

 

T-17 Sunday

182 Showings

9489

+474

24134

ATP:

14.59

1.379

Doctor Strange 2 T-17

53.62M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Barbie Emagine Entertainment

T-14 Wednesday	4 Showings	454	+9	518
T-15 Thursday	89 Showings	1495	+145	10953

 

T-16 Friday

128 Showings

1766

+231

16940

 

T-17 Saturday

129 Showings

813

+138

17025

 

T-18 Sunday

134 Showings

303

+69

17236

Barbie Emagine Entertainment

T-13 Wednesday	4 Showings	457	+3	518
T-14 Thursday	89 Showings	1614	+119	10958

 

T-15 Friday

128 Showings

2115

+349

16945

 

T-16 Saturday

129 Showings

929

+116

17025

 

T-17 Sunday

134 Showings

342

+39

17236

[Shawn Robbins]

Big LRF update on Barbie coming later tonight or early tomorrow. What the regional ticket counters are seeing is happening in a ton of places.

 

Going (somewhat) bullish on Mutant Mayhem before sales start, as well.

[abracadabra1998]

On 7/3/2023 at 12:22 AM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Twin Cities Previews:

 

Posting these later than usual, but still pulled the numbers at the time I usually do (4 PM Central).

 

Insidious: Red Door (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 14 theaters	37	83	161	4770	3.38

 

Comps:

0.51x Smile: 1.02 Million

3.11x Beast: 2.88 Million

 

Smile was quite strong in Minneapolis area, but still, not a great look for Insidious. I'm seeing high teens for its OW personally.

 

Joy Ride (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 16 theaters	47	27	63	4134	1.52
Wednesday EA: 17 theaters	17	11	48	1637	2.93
TOTALS:	64	38	111	5771	1.92

 

Comp: 

0.84x No Hard Feelings: 1.8 Million (Just Thursday for both)

 

Oppenheimer (T-18):

Day: T-18	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	53	130	1085	9415	11.52

 

Barbie (T-18):

Day: T-18, T-17	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 17 theaters	66	174	888	10138	8.76
Wednesday EA: 6 theaters	6	51	806	1221	66.01
TOTALS:	72	225	1694	11359	14.91

 

Comp: 1.56x Oppenheimer (increasing against it)

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Oppenheimer (T-14):

Day: T-14	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	53	237	1322	9415	14.04

 

Comps:

1.4x Mission Impossible 7 (total)- ??

1.99x Indiana Jones- $14.3 Million

 

Barbie (T-14):

Day: T-14, T-13	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 17 theaters	66	371	1259	10138	12.42
Wednesday EA: 6 theaters	6	73	879	1221	71.99
TOTALS:	72	444	2138	11359	18.82

 

Comps:

2.26x Mission Impossible 7 (total)- ??

2.53x Indiana Jones- $18.24 Million

1.62x Oppenheimer

 

Great past four days for both! Barbie still outpacing Oppenheimer, as seen in other markets

 

Haunted Mansion (T-21):

Day: T-21, T-20	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 17 theaters	58	78	78	7222	1.08
Wednesday EA: 2 theaters	2	30	30	380	7.89
TOTALS:	60	108	108	7602	1.42

 

Don't have any real good comps for this tbh

[ZattMurdock]

1 minute ago, Shawn said:

Big LRF update on Barbie coming later tonight or early tomorrow. What the regional ticket counters are seeing is happening a ton of places.

 

Going (somewhat) bullish on Mutant Mayhem before sales start, as well.

Intrigued.

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, Shawn said:

Big LRF update on Barbie coming later tonight or early tomorrow. What the regional ticket counters are seeing is happening in a ton of places.

 

Going (somewhat) bullish on Mutant Mayhem before sales start, as well.

$100M+ let's gooooo!

[vale9001]

From what i'm reading on socials Barbie doesn't seem just a "girls night" movie as someone described but a lot of people from every target seems interested at this point. Certainly It will be female dominated but like 60-40 with also Kids and families and males. It will break out with chances for 130M.

Edited July 6, 2023 by vale9001

[Krissykins]

Barbie forecast up +54%, Oppenheimer staying where it was. 
 

Called it on The Meg 2 if it stays in that range too. 

[filmlover]

Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2023’s Upcoming Calendar
(as of 7/6/23)

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	5-Day (WTFSS) Opening Low/High Range	Domestic Total Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	Distributor
7/12/2023	Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One	$65,000,000 – $75,000,000		$90,000,000 – $110,000,000	$250,000,000 – $301,000,000	-6%	Paramount Pictures
7/14/2023	PSYCHO-PASS: Providence (Limited)						Sony / Crunchyroll
7/14/2023	Theater Camp (Limited)						Disney / Searchlight Pictures
7/21/2023	Barbie	$85,000,000 – $115,000,000	+54%		$215,000,000 – $319,000,000	+54%	Warner Bros. Pictures
7/21/2023	Oppenheimer	$45,000,000 – $57,000,000			$154,000,000 – $194,000,000		Universal Pictures
7/28/2023	The First Slam Dunk						GKIDS
7/28/2023	Haunted Mansion	$22,000,000 – $32,000,000			$73,000,000 – $113,000,000		Walt Disney Pictures
7/28/2023	Talk to Me						A24
8/2/2023	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem	$27,000,000 – $36,000,000		$37,000,000 – $49,000,000	$101,000,000 – $145,000,000		Paramount Pictures
8/4/2023	Meg 2: The Trench	$26,000,000 – $35,000,000			$70,000,000 – $105,000,000		Warner Bros. Pictures

Long Range Box Office Forecast: NINJA TURTLES: MUTANT MAYHEM and MEG 2 Early Prospects; BARBIE Tracking Soars - Boxoffice (boxofficepro.com)

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
96	1351	17427	7.8%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

48

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-15

 

(0.949x) of Fast X

~$7.1M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
96	1408	17427	8.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

57

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-14

 

(0.981x) of Fast X

~$7.4M THUR Previews

[Felandria]

Pirates of the Caribbean has sold 197 tickets for tomorrow at Disney Springs.

 

Impressive even for a theater on Disney property since it’s not even a $5 favorite. (Tickets are $9.79 after tax)

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/5/2023 at 6:40 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Tuesday

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
212	1601	43522	3.7%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

69

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

EA

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	641	2148	29.8%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

28

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

 

Mi7 Walmart+ Special 

 

MTC1 = 55 sold / 291 seats  (+6)

MTC2 = 39 sold / 114 seats  (+3)

 

COMPS

T-6

*Excludes any EA

 

(0.878x) of RoTB

~$7.7M TUES

 

(0.877x) of FAST X

~$6.6M TUES

 

COMP AVG: $7.2M TUES

 

No apparent review bump. Maybe tomorrow. 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Tuesday

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
221	1702	45215	3.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

101

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

EA

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	675	2148	31.4%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

34

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

 

Mi7 Walmart+ Special 

 

MTC1 = 61 sold / 291 seats  (+6)

MTC2 = 48 sold / 114 seats  (+9)

 

COMPS

T-5

*Excludes any EA

 

(0.856x) of RoTB

~$7.5M TUES

 

(0.885x) of FAST X

~$6.6M TUES

 

COMP AVG: $7.1M TUES

*NOT ADJUSTED DOWN FOR TUESDAY DISCOUNT 

 

Not really ramping up like I anticipated. Walmart+ special is definitely doing better now @Porthos

Edited July 6, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/5/2023 at 6:45 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
177	2656	31835	8.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

143

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

EA

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
9	1409	1747	80.6%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

5

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

6

 

 

COMPS

T-16

*Excludes any EA

 

(2.152x) of RoTB

~$18.9M THUR Previews

 

(1.865x) of Fast X

~$14.0M THUR Previews

 

(0.884x) of ATSV

~$15.3M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $16.1M THUR Previews 

 

Comps still on the uptick 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
177	2859	31835	9.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

203

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

EA

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
9	1415	1747	80.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

6

 

 

COMPS

T-15

*Excludes any EA

 

(2.219x) of RoTB

~$19.5M THUR Previews

 

(1.992x) of Fast X

~$14.9M THUR Previews

 

(0.889x) of ATSV

~$15.4M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $16.6M THUR Previews 

 

IF this pace continues, I could see comps near $20M by T-4

 

FYI, the above comps doesn't factor in any EA 

Edited July 7, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/5/2023 at 6:47 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY

 

T-22

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
111	1007	19452	5.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

17

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-22

 

(0.509x) of TLM

~$5.2M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY

 

T-21

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
111	1035	19452	5.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

28

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-21

 

(0.517x) of TLM

~$5.3M THUR Previews

[ZackM]

On 7/5/2023 at 9:41 AM, ZackM said:

 

 

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	257	122	0	3	6
Seats Added	32,517	18,393	0	341	1,876
Seats Sold	2,199	1,595	1,562	1,220	1,082
7/4/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	428	3,103	39,107	607,846	6.43%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	0	1	12	26
ATP	Gross
$18.86	$737,558

 

 

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days
7/4/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	204	216	22,512	52,936	42.53%
ATP	Gross
$21.23	$477,930

 

 

 

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	35	257	122	0	3
Seats Added	5,275	32,517	18,393	0	341
Seats Sold	3,710	2,199	1,595	1,562	1,220
7/5/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	428	3,138	42,817	613,121	6.98%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	1	2	11	35
ATP	Gross
$18.79	$804,531

 

 

 

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days
7/5/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	204	216	23,493	52,936	44.38%
ATP	Gross
$21.16	$497,112

 

[ZackM]

20 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

 

Oppenheimer Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	6	8	0	7	0
Seats Added	1,407	1,920	0	945	0
Seats Sold	1,491	1,060	1,170	1,052	1,067
7/4/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	425	1,328	44,693	261,029	17.12%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	8	24	47	77
ATP	Gross
$19.51	$871,960

 

Oppenheimer Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	6	8	0	7
Seats Added	0	1,407	1,920	0	945
Seats Sold	1,937	1,491	1,060	1,170	1,052
7/5/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	425	1,328	46,630	261,029	17.86%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	8	25	51	82
ATP	Gross
$19.45	$906,954

[ZackM]

20 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

 

Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	4	15	1	25	0
Seats Added	468	2,643	168	4,453	0
Seats Sold	2,472	2,210	2,294	2,571	2,319
7/4/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	413	1,965	48,057	324,327	14.82%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	4	25	59	110
ATP	Gross
$16.59	$797,266

 

 

 

Barbie Blowout Party: Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days
7/4/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	108	108	17,739	20,668	85.83%
ATP	Gross
$21.28	$377,486

 

 

 

 

Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	14	4	15	1	25
Seats Added	1,510	468	2,643	168	4,453
Seats Sold	3,470	2,472	2,210	2,294	2,571
7/5/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	413	1,979	51,527	325,837	15.81%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	5	27	66	118
ATP	Gross
$16.54	$852,257

 

 

 

Barbie Blowout Party: Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days
7/5/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	108	108	17,892	20,668	86.57%
ATP	Gross
$21.26	$380,384

 

[ThomasNicole]

Haunted Mansion sales looks quite good tbh, better than i was expecting 

 

I can see it 35-40M if it keeps going well (and it didn’t have awful reviews)

[filmlover]

13 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Haunted Mansion sales looks quite good tbh, better than i was expecting 

 

I can see it 35-40M if it keeps going well (and it didn’t have awful reviews)

Yeah, for what it is, the sales near me are also looking pretty good three weeks out. Still think it's going to do better than some here are expecting.