The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Unfitclock]

@abracadabra1998 is that a good sign for next weekend?

[abracadabra1998]

13 minutes ago, Unfitclock said:

@abracadabra1998 is that a good sign for next weekend?

I mean, it can’t be a bad sign? But EA that is its own thing, a few days before previews, and on a weekend night, is a different beast. Ungentlemanly Warfare for example had pretty decent Saturday EA and that didn’t mean much for its previews/BO gross. But again, it can’t hurt. Maybe WOM is really good and it sparks something, we shall see

[keysersoze123]

On 6/29/2024 at 2:55 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 5417/66111 116656.41 291 shows +1282

Previews(7/18) - 12037/551302 234407.47 2709 shows +2265

Friday - 9483/768345 178263.33 3781 shows

 

Ouch almost no pace. it barely grew in a week. 

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 7619/65862 162776.95 290 shows +2202

Previews(7/18) - 16520/552766 320446.56 2717 shows +4483

Friday - 13918/771167 261481.69 3790 shows +4435

 

+7 days of sales. Main action would be only in the release week for sure. 

[Flip]

On 6/30/2024 at 5:35 PM, Flip said:

Twisters (T-18) 

 

14 showtimes/63 tix sold (+4)

 

Meh

Twisters (T-12) 6 days of sales

 

14 showtimes/73 tix sold (+10)

 

Still crawling along.

 

1.06x Bad Boys 4 (T-12) [5.94m]

[Flip]

On 6/25/2024 at 8:18 PM, Flip said:

Deadpool 3 (T-30) twelve days of sales

 

36 showtimes/1206 tix sold (+130) good growth for this far out.

 

1.23x Inside Out 2 T-0 [16m]

1.66x Bad Boys 4 T-0 [9.28m]
26.2x Twisters T-30 [???]

 

more comps should come into play around T-24 on. I think Bad Boys is the best of all these, but I don’t have that until T-12

Deadpool 3 (T-19) 11 days of sales

 

36 showtimes/1375 tix sold (+169) 

 

1.9x Bad Boys 4 (T-0) [10.59m]

22.54x Twisters (T-19) [???]

10.5x Quiet Place Day One (T-19) [71.37m]

 

 

None of these comps are good so take them with a grain of salt

[Flip]

On 7/3/2024 at 9:50 PM, Flip said:

Longlegs (T-8)

 

4 showtimes/144 tickets sold (+12)

3.13x Watchers (T-8) [3.13m]

.66x AQP Day One (T-8) [4.51m]

 

Another strong day. Hopefully more shows will be added because otherwise growth will stagnate

Longlegs (T-5)

 

4 showtimes/212 tickets sold (+68)

4.24x Watchers (T-4) [4.24m]*

.75x AQP Day One (T-4) [6.8m]*

 

It’s growing very well, but with two caveats: the show count is still very low and probably won’t go past 8 in the end, and there’s definitely a fair amount overindexing 
 

* unfortunately missed T-5 for both my comps

[keysersoze123]

On 7/5/2024 at 6:15 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-20) - 207704/1283692 3812578.48 7889 shows +2390

MTC2 Previews - 93432/521157 1365605.71 3856 shows

 

Obviously it did not sell much yesterday evening and so the pace would be still down. I am not expecting a ramp up over the weekend. Next surge should start from Monday onwards. 

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-19) - 210294/1283848 3856994.12 7890 shows +2590

 

This had zero effect from July 4 holiday. So the sales are steady at the moment. Where would the movie be in an week's time. I would say target for 240K to keep 275K(T-7) as Charlie has predicted. 

[keysersoze123]

On 7/5/2024 at 8:27 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Longlegs MTC1

Previews - 11381/64157 172602.01 660 shows

Friday - 7610/157223 111192.68 1672 shows

 

Its previews sales are robust but very small release. I think it will hit double digits but how far it can go will depend on  how many shows it will add in final week. 

Longlegs MTC1

Previews - 13973/66319 211375.32 679 shows +2592

Friday - 10013/161435 146230.31 1710 shows +2403

 

Almost 2 days of run. I think its going for 1.5-2m in previews at this point. May be OW in low teens?

[DAJK]

Being in Vancouver this past week it’s kinda crazy how EVERYWHERE the marketing for Deadpool & Wolverine is here. It’s everywhere, and people love it. I expect it to do very well in my neck of the woods.

[Cooper Legion]

23 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Being in Vancouver this past week it’s kinda crazy how EVERYWHERE the marketing for Deadpool & Wolverine is here. It’s everywhere, and people love it. I expect it to do very well in my neck of the woods.

Do your remember if past 2 DPs overindexed in Canada? 

[DAJK]

6 minutes ago, Joyous Legion said:

Do your remember if past 2 DPs overindexed in Canada? 

They definitely did. At least where I live (I only tracked my locals back then, I didn’t have my full handful of comps). 

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-19) - 210294/1283848 3856994.12 7890 shows +2590

 

This had zero effect from July 4 holiday. So the sales are steady at the moment. Where would the movie be in an week's time. I would say target for 240K to keep 275K(T-7) as Charlie has predicted. 

Seems about right, though more important will be if it can be ~4.5-5K increase that day than 240K. Thor had I think reactions drop around that day which gave it some bump. BP2 did 4.3K.

 

A 5K increase with 235K be better than a <4K increase with 242K.

[charlie Jatinder]

On 7/1/2024 at 4:47 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Deadpool 3 MiniTC2 T-25 Days

Previews - 10409/86722 (333 showings)
Friday - 6536/135836 (543 showings)
Saturday - 5350/137701 (544 showings)

 

Comps

Black Panther 2 - $41M, $69M & $81M

Thor 4 (T-17) - $32.5M & $53M

Deadpool 3 MiniTC2 T-19 Days

 

Previews - 11344/86868 (334 showings)
Friday - 7631/135798 (543 showings)
Saturday - 6082/137661 (544 showings)

 

Comps

Black Panther 2 - $40M, $70M & $78M

Thor 4 - $38.3M

GoTG 3 ~ $39M & $70M
 

Thor 4 (T-17) - $35.5M & $61M

[Krissykins]

Fly Me To The Moon looking promising, then. It was #4 here in the UK yesterday on previews alone. 

[Porthos]

On 7/6/2024 at 2:37 AM, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-20 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	27299	33607	6308	18.77%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

117

 

T-20 Comp

	%		Sold T-20	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	68.08		132	9266		0/329	31642/40908	22.65%		21117	29.87%		24.51m
L&T	114.17		234	5525		0/228	26075/31600	17.48%		16962	37.19%		33.11m
BP2	101.55		114	6212		1/294	30810/37022	16.78%		16800	37.55%		28.43m
AM3	152.70		63	4131		0/235	28425/32556	12.69%		10475	60.22%		26.72m
GOTG3	198.18		76	3183		0/206	26483/29666	10.73%		10750	58.68%		34.68m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1425/12916  [11.03% sold]
Matinee:    394/4466  [8.82% | 6.25% of all tickets sold]
3D:             699/6790  [10.29% | 11.08% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        3157/11526  [27.39% | 50.05% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold     93 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold     99 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS
 

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.64391x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-20 [40.05m]   

 

====

 

Very nice rebound today. 👍

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-19 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	27176	33607	6431	19.14%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

123

 

T-19 Comp

	%		Sold T-19	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	67.99		193	9459		0/329	31449/40908	23.12%		21117	30.45%		24.48m
L&T	113.22		155	5680		0/228	25920/31600	17.97%		16962	37.91%		32.83m
BP2	101.85		102	6314		1/294	30708/37022	17.05%		16800	38.28%		28.52m
AM3	154.15		41	4172		0/235	28384/32556	12.81%		10475	61.39%		26.98m
GOTG3	196.67		87	3270		0/206	26377/29647	11.03%		10750	59.82%		34.42m
Bats	189.59		157	3392		0/248	28906/32298	10.50%		11757	54.70%		40.95m
Dune 2	340.63		39	1888		0/171	22828/24716	7.64%		6001	107.17%		40.88m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1454/12916  [11.26% sold]
Matinee:    405/4466  [9.07% | 6.30% of all tickets sold]
3D:             720/6790  [10.60% | 11.20% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        3192/11526  [27.69% | 49.63% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold       97 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold     117 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS

 

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.63489x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-19 [39.83m] [ATP adj'ed by 118%]

[vafrow]

On 7/6/2024 at 8:43 AM, vafrow said:

 

Twisters, T-13 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 19

New Sales : 10

Growth: 111%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.1

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA sales: 62

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 3/5

Early Evening: 16/6

Late Evening: 0/6

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/0

Dolby: 13/8

IMAX: 5/6

4DX: 1/3

 

Previews Comps

1.462x Fall Guy for $4.6M

0.432x KOTPOTA for $2.2M

0.594x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $3.5M

0.198x HG: BoSS for $1.1M

0.559x Furiosa for $2.0M

 

Comps with EA rolled into previews 

1.842x KOTPOTA for $9.2M

2.531x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $12.7M

0.844x HG: BoSS for $4.2M

2.382x Furiosa for $11.9M

 

EA Comp

1.476x Fall Guy for $1.2M

 

It finally had some sales on previews. Hopefully it's the start of some steady sales volume.

 

 

 

Twisters, T-12 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 19

New Sales : 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.1

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA sales: 62

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 3/5

Early Evening: 16/6

Late Evening: 0/6

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/0

Dolby: 13/8

IMAX: 5/6

4DX: 1/3

 

Previews Comps

1.188x Fall Guy for $3.7M

0.463x KOTPOTA for $2.3M

0.528x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $3.1M

0.161x HG: BoSS for $0.9M

0.422x Furiosa for $1.5M

 

Comps with EA rolled into previews 

1.976x KOTPOTA for $9.9M

2.250x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $11.3M

0.686x HG: BoSS for $3.4M

1.800x Furiosa for $9.0M

 

EA Comp

1.476x Fall Guy for $1.2M

 

Zero sales day.

[filmlover]

9 hours ago, DAJK said:

Being in Vancouver this past week it’s kinda crazy how EVERYWHERE the marketing for Deadpool & Wolverine is here. It’s everywhere, and people love it. I expect it to do very well in my neck of the woods.

[AniNate]

I'd like to get on the Fly Me to the Moon hype train but I'm really not seeing it here. Still zero Friday or Saturday sales in Canton

[emoviefan]

50 minutes ago, AniNate said:

I'd like to get on the Fly Me to the Moon hype train but I'm really not seeing it here. Still zero Friday or Saturday sales in Canton

Would love to see it break out. Just not sure what a break out for this type of movie is anymore. Anything above 15 and then hope good WOM and legs?

[JonathanMB]

11 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Longlegs MTC1

Previews - 13973/66319 211375.32 679 shows +2592

Friday - 10013/161435 146230.31 1710 shows +2403

 

Almost 2 days of run. I think its going for 1.5-2m in previews at this point. May be OW in low teens?

 

How is it comparing to MaXXXine? Despite being an original I worry a little about it having similarly frontloaded sales due to the cinephile appeal.

 

I did attend a Fly Me to the Moon preview on Friday that was over half full, and the movie went over quite well. Still not sure the marketing has been strong enough yet for a good opening, but hopefully legs are decent at least. I had a lot of issues with the movie itself, but it's a fun throwback-y time.