ChD Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 15-18M midnights ? 15.6, announced by Disney 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 15-18M midnights ? 15.6 M 9 PM onwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChD Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 That seems pretty meh. Was thinking 20M at least. Higher than Avengers? No chance.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I still don't buy that it's completely related to Aurora. This gives the studios more money upfront because they get a bigger cut of the opening weekend gross. It's debatable as to how much it really adds, but, it's an advantage for them to do it this way. Hopefully exhibitors push back if they try to start opening any earlier. I agree with you on your theory. They used the Aurora situation as a loophole to boost the number of showtimes during the "weekend." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 I don't think that's best case. Could go higher. Well, maybe not "best" but in the upper end. A $70m Friday would give it a 22.3% preview share. That's lower than Avengers, which didn't even have pre-midnight shows. In theory, that share should increase for IM3 (Avengers had a little over 23%). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Friday should be over 65 million, remember Friday day business all has to come in and we all know with Marvel films, most of action happens Friday night and Saturday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Higher than Avengers? No chance..I think this movie has more off a rush factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenithtim Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 That's a best case scenario, though. I think $60m Fri is more likely than $70m. You might be right, buy I think it should do 50M+ today without the midnights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Does Mojo also club it together. I am assuming with access to Rentrak its possible to know exactly what the pre-midnight gross is? Anyway start is rock solid but OW record aint happening. Probably looking at 160-180M based on how friday goes. Subers has not been splitting it out. If Brandon Gray was still running BOM, we might have a decent chance of a split. He was the one who pushed back against WB and actually got them to cough up a split estimate for the Matrix Reloaded previews. But I will also say that despite the infamous asterisk on TF2's opening, he still reported it the same as the studio instead of splitting it out. He just put the funniest asterisk ever at the end of the article reporting the numbers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 while number of show can be increased they cannot play 9Pm like a midnight as its tough to finish all existing shows before 9Pm. So they just keep adding lots of show between 9-12. But post midnight shows are also reduced. A true midnight monster plays at all screens in most major markets. Once I see a movie(may be CF) do much better with midnights I will change my mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I think this movie has more off a rush factor. Where did you get that silly idea? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I said in last Friday's thread that I expected this one to be at 50 pages by 7 EST tonight. I now expect 100 pages. Get to work, gentlemen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I can't wait for CF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Well, maybe not "best" but in the upper end. A $70m Friday would give it a 22.3% preview share. That's lower than Avengers, which didn't even have pre-midnight shows. In theory, that share should increase for IM3 (Avengers had a little over 23%)."in theory" yeah.... but midnights are not as popular as they were 1 year earlier.I was referring more to the Saturday hold though. Should see an increase IMO (from Friday minus previews).70m Friday would be indeed very good but I can see it getting 170m from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 'Iron Man 3' has already earned $345.4M overseas, which is more than either of the first two 'Iron Man' movies https://twitter.com/boxofficemojo/status/330357503927934978 That's just amazing. IRON MAN lll's final overseas gross is gonna be higher than the combined totals of the first two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 Every site clubs it together in the data because if we don't, the studios wouldn't be so keen to report to them/us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I can't wait for CF. no1currs atm. IM3 or GTFO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Subers has not been splitting it out. If Brandon Gray was still running BOM, we might have a decent chance of a split. He was the one who pushed back against WB and actually got them to cough up a split estimate for the Matrix Reloaded previews. But I will also say that despite the infamous asterisk on TF2's opening, he still reported it the same as the studio instead of splitting it out. He just put the funniest asterisk ever at the end of the article reporting the numbers. That site has really gone to dogs for a while :-( I dont even go to the site anymore ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 70M!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I think my $175m prediction is looking pretty decent right now. IM3's Thursday/midnight total was 83.42% of Avengers' midnight total. That would give it a $173m total after Sunday if the trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...