Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice | 532m overseas | 851m Worldwide

[lupinw45]

Suicide Squad will easily do more than most Marvel movies. It's getting more hype than BVS, I think. 

[lupinw45]

Btw, one insider speculated that SS might make more than BVS. IF it has better legs, I wouldn't be surprised. 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

With that opening, I think 1B is gone ?.

 

NA 390m

C 100M

OS-C 500 (2.5x from a 197m OW)

 

wont be easy

[The Dark Alfred]

1 billion is happening.

[Quigley]

3 hours ago, firedeep said:

With that opening, I think 1B is gone ?.

 

NA 390m

C 100M

OS-C 500 (2.5x from a 197m OW)

 

wont be easy

 

I guess it could happen, but it would have to be very frontloaded.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

I dunno.....with that huge WW-opening....$1B WW is not even dead.

 

Even POTC4, TF3 & TF4 got there with similar critical reception.

[Ent]

$1B isn't dead at all.  I personally think it will end up around $1.01B - $1.02B if it doesn't suddenly crash in one or two of the most important markets and keep its BO trajectory.

 

That said, it should do its best to retain any revenues and show decent legs during the next two weeks.  

 

Next weekend will already tells the story, if the wom is enough to get there.

 

I got a feeling that Jungle Book may break out and limit its legs in some important markets (it already opens in Russia, on April the 7th) while Civil War is round the corner as it opens in four weeks in many overseas markets.

[Ent]

49 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

I dunno.....with that huge WW-opening....$1B WW is not even dead.

 

Even POTC4, TF3 & TF4 got there with similar critical reception.

 

I kinda agree with you however, when it comes to the genre, there are no $1b CBM that has been rotten yet. Hell, there are no CBM in the $1b club that isn't certified fresh.

 

We really are in unchattered territory and it will all depend on how it can retain the momentum it gained on opening weekend in a maximum of key territories.

 

It is feasible but it won't be easy.  Those movies you mentioned got there backed heavily by at least two out of three of the key asian markets (China, Japan, South Korea).  

 

The Transformers franchise was alreday doing around $150M in China when the highest CBM were doing a fifth of that.  Pirates is one of those franchise that do $100M in Japan.  Those franchises doat least well in every single territory while exploding in others, mainly asian ones.

 

So without the heavy backing of those markets, BvS really needs to perform bigger in South America and Europe, and keeps its advance on the domestic market where its trajectory is still $350+M.

 

 

[peludo]

1 hour ago, Ent said:

 

I kinda agree with you however, when it comes to the genre, there are no $1b CBM that has been rotten yet. Hell, there are no CBM in the $1b club that isn't certified fresh.

 

We really are in unchattered territory and it will all depend on how it can retain the momentum it gained on opening weekend in a maximum of key territories.

 

It is feasible but it won't be easy.  Those movies you mentioned got there backed heavily by at least two out of three of the key asian markets (China, Japan, South Korea).  

 

The Transformers franchise was alreday doing around $150M in China when the highest CBM were doing a fifth of that.  Pirates is one of those franchise that do $100M in Japan.  Those franchises doat least well in every single territory while exploding in others, mainly asian ones.

 

So without the heavy backing of those markets, BvS really needs to perform bigger in South America and Europe, and keeps its advance on the domestic market where its trajectory is still $350+M.

 

 

Pretty agree. Yesterday I was more convinced, but analyzing data more deeply, it is going to be hard to reach the billion, as other people have already said here. It remembers me Hobbit's run. I think Hobbit trilogy is the possible range: between 950-1.02b. It all depends on legs. We will have to wait until next weekend to know better.

 

It is hard to compare with MoS because of holidays, but for the moment we have these:

 

Country: MoS opening vs BvS opening (MoS total gross) BvS total proj.

Australia: $8.1m vs $10.0m ($22.3m) $30m

Brazil: $4.0m vs $12.2m ($16.0m) $40m

China: $25.9m vs $57.3m ($63.4m) $100m

France: $8.0m vs $8.4m ($20.9m) $20m

Germany: $3.5m vs $8.2m ($9.8m) $20m

Hong Kong: $2.0m vs $4.35m ($4.3m) $10m

Italy: $2.4m vs $5.8m ($6.1m) $10m

Japan: $2.7m vs $4.4m ($9.0m) $18m

Mexico: $9.7m vs $18.6m ($21.1m) $35m

Russia: $5.7m vs $8.5m ($10.4m) $16m

South Korea: $7.3m vs $10.6m ($15.0m) $20m

Spain: $3.9m vs $6.3m ($10.0m) $15m

UK: $17.6m vs $21.9m ($46.2m) $50m

Total: $100.8m vs $176.55m ($254.5m) $384m

 

*Increases in local currencies have been quite higher given that ER were quite more favorable in 2013 than now.

 

The projected figures would mean about a 50% increase relative to MoS, what would mean $565.5m total OS and maybe $950-$965m WW (asuming 385-400 in US). What do you think about these data? do you think that each country figure is reasonable?

[Heretic]

Could do $55-60m in the UK. 4 day will be over $25m, I doubt it'll only make $25m more over 2 weeks of holidays unless it completely collapses.

 

 

 

 

Edited March 28, 2016 by Heretic

[Ent]

17 minutes ago, peludo said:

Pretty agree. Yesterday I was more convinced, but analyzing data more deeply, it is going to be hard to reach the billion, as other people have already said here. It remembers me Hobbit's run. I think Hobbit trilogy is the possible range: between 950-1.02b. It all depends on legs. We will have to wait until next weekend to know better.

 

It is hard to compare with MoS because of holidays, but for the moment we have these:

 

Country: MoS opening vs BvS opening (MoS total gross) BvS total proj.

Australia: $8.1m vs $10.0m ($22.3m) $30m

Brazil: $4.0m vs $12.2m ($16.0m) $40m

China: $25.9m vs $57.3m ($63.4m) $100m

France: $8.0m vs $8.4m ($20.9m) $20m

Germany: $3.5m vs $8.2m ($9.8m) $20m

Hong Kong: $2.0m vs $4.35m ($4.3m) $10m

Italy: $2.4m vs $5.8m ($6.1m) $10m

Japan: $2.7m vs $4.4m ($9.0m) $18m

Mexico: $9.7m vs $18.6m ($21.1m) $35m

Russia: $5.7m vs $8.5m ($10.4m) $16m

South Korea: $7.3m vs $10.6m ($15.0m) $20m

Spain: $3.9m vs $6.3m ($10.0m) $15m

UK: $17.6m vs $21.9m ($46.2m) $50m

Total: $100.8m vs $176.55m ($254.5m) $384m

 

*Increases in local currencies have been quite higher given that ER were quite more favorable in 2013 than now.

 

The projected figures would mean about a 50% increase relative to MoS, what would mean $565.5m total OS and maybe $950-$965m WW (asuming 385-400 in US). What do you think about these data? do you think that each country figure is reasonable?

 

yep, i think you are spot on.

 

What will be interresting also is to see how it behaves once Jungle Book is released, if that movie impacts its BO trajectory significantly or not.

Edited March 28, 2016 by Ent

[TalismanRing]

5 hours ago, peludo said:

Pretty agree. Yesterday I was more convinced, but analyzing data more deeply, it is going to be hard to reach the billion, as other people have already said here. It remembers me Hobbit's run. I think Hobbit trilogy is the possible range: between 950-1.02b. It all depends on legs. We will have to wait until next weekend to know better.

 

It is hard to compare with MoS because of holidays, but for the moment we have these:

 

Country: MoS opening vs BvS opening (MoS total gross) BvS total proj.

Australia: $8.1m vs $10.0m ($22.3m) $30m

Brazil: $4.0m vs $12.2m ($16.0m) $40m

China: $25.9m vs $57.3m ($63.4m) $100m

France: $8.0m vs $8.4m ($20.9m) $20m

Germany: $3.5m vs $8.2m ($9.8m) $20m

Hong Kong: $2.0m vs $4.35m ($4.3m) $10m

Italy: $2.4m vs $5.8m ($6.1m) $10m

Japan: $2.7m vs $4.4m ($9.0m) $18m

Mexico: $9.7m vs $18.6m ($21.1m) $35m

Russia: $5.7m vs $8.5m ($10.4m) $16m

South Korea: $7.3m vs $10.6m ($15.0m) $20m

Spain: $3.9m vs $6.3m ($10.0m) $15m

UK: $17.6m vs $21.9m ($46.2m) $50m

Total: $100.8m vs $176.55m ($254.5m) $384m

 

*Increases in local currencies have been quite higher given that ER were quite more favorable in 2013 than now.

 

The projected figures would mean about a 50% increase relative to MoS, what would mean $565.5m total OS and maybe $950-$965m WW (asuming 385-400 in US). What do you think about these data? do you think that each country figure is reasonable?

 

Looks about right

 

$254m O/S:

Wed - Thur -  $48.1

China - Fri-Sun: $57.3m

Non China (Fri-Sun) =  $148.6

 

China is on pace to make maybe $50m more = $304m O/S

Non China O/S would need a 3 multiplier off the $148.6m w/e to reach $600m. 

[Purple Minion]

Deadline

 

The full international weekend grosses on Warner Bros’ Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice show the superheroes capturing a final tally of $254M on 40K screens in 66 markets for its international opening. That makes BvS the No. 5 best opener ever at the overseas box office. Coupled with the record-breaking domestic number this frame, the worldwide total is $420.1M; that’s good for 4th place all-time global opener and the second-biggest studio opener of all time behind Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2. The worldwide number dropped a bit because Sunday’s domestic was lower than anticipated

 

Among the records shattered offshore are: The biggest superhero opening weekend of all time; biggest March opening ever; WB’s biggest China bow ($57.2M); and WB’s biggest IMAX opening ($18M). BvS also marks the top bows for stars Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill, and director Zack Snyder.

 

http://deadline.com/2016/03/batman-v-superman-dawn-of-justice-opening-box-office-results-international-1201725677/

[fmpro]

1B is going to be really tough to reach IMO

Its going to need 625-650 mill OS and with china only in for 100 mill its next to impossible..

 

IMO ofcourse

[stoffe]

It looks like Asia is not that fond of the movie, that -83 % Monday drop in South Korea dont look so good.

[Purple Minion]

CinemaScore does matter sometimes. And this was before Sunday got revised down to $33M.

 

'Batman v Superman' Sets Record With Worst Friday-Sunday Drop For A Superhero Pic via @forbes https://t.co/tqkRN8gDsW#BvS #AoU #boxoffice

— Robert Cain (@robcain)

28 March 2016

 

Edited March 28, 2016 by Purple Minion

[MrFanaticGuy34]

If BvS doesn't get to $1B WW......will it join Hobbit: DOS, Hobbit: BOTFA & Spectre.....along the group of "Movies that had advantages to the $1B-club but didn't get there?" kinda group?

 

I personally don't think so.

Edited March 28, 2016 by MrFanaticGuy34

[Heat Vision]

4 hours ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

If BvS doesn't get to $1B WW......will it join Hobbit: DOS, Hobbit: BOTFA & Spectre.....along the group of "Movies that had advantages to the $1B-club but didn't get there?" kinda group?

 

I personally don't think so.

 

I think it will reach 960 million at least. Warner Bros is making a lot from merchandise as well.

[DeeCee]

It's opening day was about AUD0.1m higher then FF7 but after 5 days BvS is now $2m behind FF7

Edited March 29, 2016 by DeeCee

[Jonwo]

Pirates of the Carribbean: At World's End was another film that was coming off a $1bn grosser but ended up making with $963m. high $900m is a realistic figures where it'll end up but a billion wouldn't surprise me.