IronJimbo Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 odds of this beating TFA are now 1 in 4 I think 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephemeris Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 6 minutes ago, Mike Hunt said: Before Weekend: $895.7M OS-China/$240.3M China/$566.4M DOM/$1,702.4 Weekend 4: $33.8M OS-China/$50M China/$30M DOM (Still adding $113.8M in weekend 4) $929.5M OS-Chinal/$290.3M China/$596.4M DOM/$1,816M Final: $975M-1.025B/$350M/$660-675M/$1.985-2.05B Even if it collapses, Avengers: Infinity War has done more than what it was supposed to, even taking away China the film will have made more than the Original Avengers with $1,525.7M Worldwide-China. By the end of its run it will be $1.635-1.7B WW-China. $240.3M was China's total after Wednesday, not Thursday. OS-China after Thursday was $887.6M, with China at $248.9M according to Disney. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulbalarezo Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 I just want it to cross $2 Billion , I don't care about TFA 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 7 hours ago, Fake said: Why does one daily gross result in such extreme reactions? One good number and TFA is going down... one bad nunber and 2B is gone? Right since the OW... 1.9-2.1B was the range. 2B was never locked and still isn't. 2B was never out of question, and still isn't. This weekend will give a fairly good estimate. IW is almost exactly at 1700M after weekdays (~3M will be counted towards OS weekend). Whatever the respective weekend grosses are, 3.25-3.5x may be expected from DOM, 2.75-3x may be expected from OS, and 1.8-2x may be expected from China. To lock 2B... 30M DOM, 40M OS and 50M China is required. Even with 90% of these numbers, 2B will still be possible, although a bit difficult. Update: DOM looking at 28M weekend whereas China looking at 52-53M, which means 660M DOM and 350M China finish. So around 105-110M required from OS-China, which would mean 38-40M OS-China weekend is required. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 TOP4 movies ALL-TIME in Singapore #1 IW 14.8M SGD #2 TA 13.7M SGD #3 AOU 13.1M #4 IM3 12.64M 5 1 2 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 1 hour ago, Proxima Olive said: TOP4 movies ALL-TIME in Singapore #1 IW 14.8M SGD #2 TA 13.7M SGD #3 AOU 13.1M #4 IM3 12.64M Obviously A4 will make it as well. Any movies that look like they could pass IM3 before then to prevent the 5/5? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 5 hours ago, raulbalarezo said: I just want it to cross $2 Billion , I don't care about TFA If TA4 manages 2B too that would be the first time in history to have a franchise that did it twice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 (edited) It has made 1.7 billion worldwide. There's no way it won't make another 290 million. It'll make 2 billion worldwide, at least. Edited May 19, 2018 by Blaze Heatnix Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepItU25071906 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 (edited) 26 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said: It'll make 2 billion worldwide, at least. Still isn't close. OS-China daily too low now (thanx to Deadpool). Edited May 19, 2018 by KeepItU25071906 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RthDeadWov Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 13 hours ago, Mike Hunt said: Before Weekend: $895.7M OS-China/$240.3M China/$566.4M DOM/$1,702.4 Weekend 4: $33.8M OS-China/$50M China/$30M DOM (Still adding $113.8M in weekend 4) $929.5M OS-Chinal/$290.3M China/$596.4M DOM/$1,816M Final: $975M-1.025B/$350M/$660-675M/$1.985-2.05B Even if it collapses, Avengers: Infinity War has done more than what it was supposed to, even taking away China the film will have made more than the Original Avengers with $1,525.7M Worldwide-China. By the end of its run it will be $1.635-1.7B WW-China. yeah OS WE something around 80m probably where its looking 6 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 (edited) 80M OS means 30M OS-China weekend. That’s a 62% drop. Yikes, got hit hard by DP2. Would be the first weekend where OS hold is significantly worse than domestic. Edited May 20, 2018 by Sam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 23 minutes ago, Sam said: 80M OS means 30M OS-China weekend. That’s a 62% drop. Yikes, got hit hard by DP2. Would be the first weekend where OS hold is significantly worse than domestic. Looks like a double whammy from both Deadpool 2 and the Royal Wedding. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrylos 7 Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 I really doubt that Deadpool had much to do with IW drop. It was bound to eventually have some kind of competition and it was at almost 890 million before the weekend, there was a limit to what it could do , Deadpool shaved at the most 30 million from its total os- China. Fan-driven films drop faster os (when they open almost everywhere at the same time obviously) than they do in the u.s (where they can crawl for months). I am surprised this lasted that long doing better os (always minus China) than in the u.s after its first week. So around 920 million with a few million left, extremely close to 1 billion at the end of its run. China locking 350 million after this weekend. Unfortunately this will fail to pass TFA, will probably still do 2 billion. It did fine os, the slightly smaller than expected Chinese and u.s (after its 258 ow) gross killed its chances at better things. With a u.s gross of 730 million (normal after its ow, nothing crazy like TFA) and a Chinese gross of 400 million (the floor of the predictions based on its pre sales), this would easily have passed TFA and possibly touch titanic. Avengers 4 , with the mindshare the brand has in the fast emerging markets, will do better , I believe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
expensiveho Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 (edited) So 1.81b this Sunday. It just needs: 70m DOM (670m total) 60m China (360m total, see thread) 60m OS-China (970m total) All of them sound reachable. TFA is dead unless Solo doesn't hit it and start getting better legs OS (700m Dom, 370m China, 1b OS-China) Edited May 20, 2018 by expensiveho 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REC Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 On 5/19/2018 at 2:54 AM, Thanos Legion said: Chances for TFA do look pretty grim now Oh well, we’ll take another shot in less than 50 weeks. I wouldn't count this out, no matter what the doom and gloom crowd here say. It can edge out TFA still, the OS numbers are overall fantastic. Better than TFA at a much faster rate. DP will not take that big of a chunk (frontloaded, lower BO than DP1), and Solo will do nothing to it in these markets. I'll admit it may come just under TFA, but it could just as easily go slightly over. It's hard to tell right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 -62% for OS-Chi -73% for china 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KJsooner Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said: Great result. Anything from here on out is icing on the cake 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said: 11 hours ago, Rthanos said: yeah OS WE something around 80m probably where its looking Excellent @Rthanos! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oMeriMombatti Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR$1.21B Overseas Total / 55 Markets$1.81B Global Total #Avengers #InfinityWar #Marvel #MCU #BoxOffice— Boxoffice (@BoxOffice) May 20, 2018 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...