The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[MattW]

http://www.thewrap.com/it-box-office-preview/

Both studio and independent projections have the horror film making $60-65 million this weekend from 4,000 screens, blowing by the previous record of $48.4 million. But some trackers are expecting even bigger things for “It,” projecting results as high as $70-75 million.

Also opening this weekend is Open Road’s “Home Again,” .... The film is projected to make $10 million this weekend.

 

 

http://variety.com/2017/film/news/it-box-office-stephen-king-opening-preview-1202549186/

A $65 million opening is expected from 4,000 locations (3,500 spots for Thursday previews). Since early tracking pegged the movie at a $50 million opening in mid-August, the expected sum has only floated higher — some current tracking indicates an opening as high as $75 million. So all signs point to a major win for the R-rated horror pic, which was made for about an estimated $35 million.

 “Home Again.” The romantic comedy, which carries a price tag of about $15 million, is expected to make about $10 million from 2,940 locations.

 

 

http://www.latimes.com/business/hollywood/la-fi-ct-movie-projector-it-20170905-htmlstory.html

If “It” grosses the expected $55 million in domestic ticket sales Friday through Sunday in the U.S. and Canada, it will break the record for the biggest opening weekend in September (not adjusted for inflation).

Some bullish analysts who have read pre-release audience surveys say the film, directed by Andy Muschietti, could even hit the $70-million mark in its first weekend. 

“Home Again” is expected to gross roughly $10 million

[WrathOfHan]

Home Again has been on Pulse all day, though the market is dead. I'm still not sure what to predict. 10M is probably a bit optimistic. 

Edited September 6, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

BOP predictions for the weekend: http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-it-homeagain/

 

It: 81M

Home Again: 6.6M

THB: 4.8M

Wind River: 3.74M

Annabelle: 3.4M

Leap!: 2.91M

Dunkirk: 2.8M

LL: 2.51M

SMH: 2.1M

DM3: 1.28M

 

Maybe I'll plug these into my Derby  

Edited September 6, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[Boxofficerules]

Go on IT, hit $100 million!

[CJohn]

Won't the hurricanes in Florida and Texas affect the numbers? I mean, both those states were/will be fucking destroyed.

[Boxofficerules]

I thought they where going to use the technology from Geostorm and destroy the hurricane!

[Rumpot]

I defer to people in Florida in a situation that clearly can change anytime, but seems probability of Irma going up the east part of Florida (missing Tampa, etc) has gone up since yesterday.  Guess we'll see...

[WrathOfHan]

The forecast has gotten worse for a larger part of Florida, and the storm is going to affect basically the entire state. Maybe the end of the panhandle is unaffected, but this is a very wide storm that will hug the east coast.

[WrathOfHan]

Oh, and Inhumans is keeping the first showing of the day at pretty much every IMAX in Orlando. Gotta keep dat two week contract honored  

[We0uthere]

IT is now 59% sales on Movietickets.

 

I honestly think Fandango box meter is better because you can see what and how fast the tickets are selling - compare it to how fast tickets were selling for another movie 2 days before realse.. Whereas on Movetickets the % could just be really high because there's really no other movie people are buying tickets for, which is probably the case right now with how dry the box office is. 

[Rumpot]

38 minutes ago, We0uthere said:

IT is now 59% sales on Movietickets.

 

I honestly think Fandango box meter is better because you can see what and how fast the tickets are selling - compare it to how fast tickets were selling for another movie 2 days before realse.. Whereas on Movetickets the % could just be really high because there's really no other movie people are buying tickets for, which is probably the case right now with how dry the box office is. 

63.5% now and Fandango sales 93-94 per minute now (373 in 4 minutes...have to quickly eyeball a row, too fast to count individual)

[Hiccup23]

n/a

 

Edited September 7, 2017 by Hiccup23

[Hiccup23]

 

                                           Sold                 Available Total        Percent Sold

It

417

1,974

21.1%

 

1. IT is 10 seats behind Wonder Woman for most available total seats.

2. It has surpassed Dunkirk (371), Alien: Covenant (415), Annabelle: Creation (385), and Despicable Me 3 (412).

3. I don't think it will reach Wonder Woman height (1,270) but I think it will definitely hit or get close to Pirates 5 (778).

4. This is amazing for a horror film! 

5. Disclaimer: This is my theater....it may not reflect other theaters across the nation. 

[Rumpot]

10 minutes ago, Hiccup23 said:

 

                                           Sold                 Available Total        Percent Sold

It

417

1,974

21.1%

 

1. IT is 10 seats behind Wonder Woman for most available total seats.

2. It has surpassed Dunkirk (371), Alien: Covenant (415), Annabelle: Creation (385), and Despicable Me 3 (412).

3. I don't think it will reach Wonder Woman height (1,270) but I think it will definitely hit or get close to Pirates 5 (778).

4. This is amazing for a horror film! 

5. Disclaimer: This is my theater....it may not reflect other theaters across the nation. 

were the numbers from #2 final counts before show start?  

[HenryMeyers20]

Home Again may only open at $5 million

[Hiccup23]

49 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

were the numbers from #2 final counts before show start?  

Yes. I get the final total for each showing right before it starts

[WrathOfHan]

Update less than 24 hours out:

 

It:

 

7:00: 41/78

7:30: 18/124

8:00: 0/78

8:30: 14/78

 

Home Again:

 

7:00: 2/78

8:15: 0/67

[bcf26]

9 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

BOP predictions for the weekend: http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-it-homeagain/

 

 

IT

Pros:

•Clowns

 

Cons:

•Clowns

 

[FantasticBeasts]

63.5%

 

[titanic2187]

why all of the storm seem like to make their landing on weekend???