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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Cap Summer Tentpole

Cap

Posted
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

When do Solo tickets go on sale?

The rumor is May 4

Edited by captainwondyful
JINX!
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Lordmandeep Global Phenomenon

Lordmandeep

Posted
Posted (edited)

https://www.wsj.com/articles/avengers-infinity-war-on-track-for-heroic-opening-1524130321?mod=e2tw

 

The third “Avengers” movie has already sold more than $50 million worth of advance tickets, behind only “The Force Awakens” and December’s “Star Wars: The Last Jedi” in all-time presales, said people familiar with the matter

 

 

 

Considering that all of the presales are for 1st weekend lol. 

Edited by Lordmandeep
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The Mad Titan Indie Sensation

The Mad Titan

Posted
Posted
29 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

I was just pointing out why I personally find it - not to be rude, but here it goes - pretty dumb that anyone would be disappointed by that of all reasons. Kind of an observation too, structured as an argument of sorts.

Fair enough. Maybe disappointed isn’t the right word for me. Surprised? I’m looking for it to do $40 million. In my head that’s the target number based on the hype surrounding the film and just the anecdotal evidence I see online. 

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The Mad Titan Indie Sensation

The Mad Titan

Posted
Posted
23 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/avengers-infinity-war-on-track-for-heroic-opening-1524130321?mod=e2tw

 

The third “Avengers” movie has already sold more than $50 million worth of advance tickets, behind only “The Force Awakens” and December’s “Star Wars: The Last Jedi” in all-time presales, said people familiar with the matter

 

 

 

Considering that all of the presales are for 1st weekend lol. 

 

Does the article say anything else of interest? I can’t get around the paywall. 

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MCKillswitch123 Summer Tentpole

MCKillswitch123

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, The Mad Titan said:

Fair enough. Maybe disappointed isn’t the right word for me. Surprised? I’m looking for it to do $40 million. In my head that’s the target number based on the hype surrounding the film and just the anecdotal evidence I see online. 

Yeah, I'd say O/U 35M seems like a good range for it to hit, given the same reasons you have (anecdotal evidence + juggernaut waves of hype that bring me Force Awakens deja-vus). And if it hits 40 or higher - which would guarantee at least a 90M OD, probably closer to or over 100 - I'm pretty sure that any other MCU FSS internal multiplier would get it over The Last Jedi. MCU seems more walkup driven than Star Wars, after all.

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Stewart Box Office Gold

Stewart

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Previews tonight at my theater:

 

Super Troopers: 15/78

I Feel Pretty: 2/78

Traffik: 1/78

 

IFP is running behind Blockers and Game Night quite a bit.

Is that one ticket you by any chance? 

:hahaha:

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75Live Global Phenomenon

75Live

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

How the hell has it sold a single ticket then :huh:

 

probably someone is dumb enough to think that getting a ticket to Traffik is paying off an actual traffic ticket

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MovieMan89 Global Phenomenon

MovieMan89

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Lordmandeep said:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/avengers-infinity-war-on-track-for-heroic-opening-1524130321?mod=e2tw

 

The third “Avengers” movie has already sold more than $50 million worth of advance tickets, behind only “The Force Awakens” and December’s “Star Wars: The Last Jedi” in all-time presales, said people familiar with the matter

 

 

 

Considering that all of the presales are for 1st weekend lol. 

Holy shit. I didn't even expect it to get anywhere near $50m in pre-sales considering nothing outside of SW ever has. And both TFA and TLJ were spread out over the holidays. As you said, that's almost certainly all first weekend. I definitely think 50m+ previews are happening now, in which case the OW record is toast. 

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Barnack Global Phenomenon

Barnack

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:

As you said, that's almost certainly all first weekend.

To give an idea of the 267 last Avengers sales on fandango, non first weekend sales:

 

5 that monday

9 that tuesday

2 that wednesday

1 thursday

1 for 2018-05-08

18 totals (maybe some I didn't saw, but probably very little more than that....)

 

93% of the sales were for the OW.

 

 

Edited by Barnack
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The Mad Titan Indie Sensation

The Mad Titan

Posted
Posted (edited)
15 minutes ago, Barnack said:

To give an idea of the 267 last Avengers sales on fandango, non first weekend sales:

 

5 that monday

9 that tuesday

2 that wednesday

1 thursday

1 for 2018-05-08

18 (maybe some I didn't saw, but....)

 

93% of the sales were for the OW.

 

 

 

Means we still have 7 more days of presale correct? So the final number will probably be $70 million or more. 

 

I wonder what the % of presales to OW were for TFA and TLJ?

Edited by The Mad Titan
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Eric the Minion Global Phenomenon

Eric the Minion

Posted
Posted

Super Troopers 2 130 1366 9.52%
Traffik 101 994 10.16%

 

ST2 Comps:

49% of Bad Moms Christmas' 3-Day ($8.2M)

52% of Daddy's Home 2 ($15.5M)

 

Traffik Comps:

28% of Proud Mary ($2.8M)

65% of Den of Thieves ($9.9M)

78% of Red Sparrow ($13.1M)

 

Feel like the Bad Moms and Proud Mary comps will be the most accurate come the end of the weekend.

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fabiopazzo2 Summer Tentpole

fabiopazzo2

Posted
Posted
31 minutes ago, Barnack said:

To give an idea of the 267 last Avengers sales on fandango, non first weekend sales:

 

5 that monday

9 that tuesday

2 that wednesday

1 thursday

1 for 2018-05-08

18 totals (maybe some I didn't saw, but....)

 

93% of the sales were for the OW.

 

 

Another HP7 part 2!? 

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