The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Rebeccas]

3 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Why is Solo the one getting so much hate? Personally I’ve never really cared for Star Wars so I have no feelings either way but it looks like the other movies and the reviews are decent (yes 71% on RT is decent.) so why is this one getting so much flak and potentially bombing?

Box office junkies love a good meltdown and there’s some bad blood with LF now.

[TwoMisfits]

12 minutes ago, Nova said:

The forum gets really extra either when they see a film is about to overperform or when they see a film is about to underperform. 

 

And by extra i mean they start to throw out these wacky numbers like Solo going under $100M for the 4-day which is pretty much impossible. 

The last 12 months should have taught us that nothing is ever impossible in box office...it's why it's so much fun to follow:)...

[Nova]

32 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Why is Solo the one getting so much hate? Personally I’ve never really cared for Star Wars so I have no feelings either way but it looks like the other movies and the reviews are decent (yes 71% on RT is decent.) so why is this one getting so much flak and potentially bombing?

I think the better question you should be asking is why is it getting so much attention that it's flopping. Plenty of films have bombed or flopped just this year alone. But the difference is they're not franchise films. When you've got a franchise film potentially not doing well you're gonna have more attention laid on it as opposed to the $15M budget comedy that no one really cared about to begin with. 

 

I do think that some folks are taking it a little far (they know who they are) but this tends to happen with all franchise films when they don't perform or it might seem like they won't perform up to expectation. 

 

The reverse is true when a franchise film overperforms. BOT just likes to go into this mode when a film doesn't perform within the line of expectations.  

 

I mean less we forget that just last week the conversation in the weekend thread was about Deadpool 2 and what went wrong for it. I saw Super hero fatigue being thrown around by trades. And that movie only opened $4.5M below it's tracking and is no where nearly as popular as Star Wars is (the character....not the Marvel brand ) 

Edited May 24, 2018 by Nova

[Biggestgeekever]

For those looking for comparisons:

 

 

That graph in that post seems to suggest Thor: Ragnarok was $10-12M around the same time as Solo now.

[TalismanRing]

Fandango (Eye Count 5-10 min avg)

 

THUR

 

• WW: 46 (10am), 125 (5pm)
• SM:HC: 49avg (9am), 110 (12pm), 138( 1pm) 174 (3:50pm), 216 (5:20pm)
• IT: 25 (8:20am) 41(9am) 102 (12:20pm) 140 (1pm) 186 (4:50pm)
• THOR:R: 103 (12:15) 112 (1:15pm), 145 (4pm) 175 (4:50)
• JL: 45.2 (10am), 78 (12pm), 92 (1:30pm), 103 (3:30pm), 124 (4:15pm), 145 (5:30pm), 156 (7:45)
• TLJ: 275 (10:45am)
• BP: 244 (2:30)
• AIW: 240 (11:15am), 305 (3pm)
• DP2: 55 (9:30 am), 60 (10am), 98.75 (12pm), 165.5 (3:20pm), 204 (5:20pm)

 

Solo: 45 (10:10am), 57 (10.30am), 73 (12:30pm), 89 (3:30pm), 92.6 (4pm)

 

Right now it's pacing behind JL which did $13m in previews (also had a 7.215 multi - better than the usual DC films with the exception of WW - and w/o a holiday.   Solo hopefully should also benefit from a better multiplier than usual with the lower previews + holiday w/e.  It's going to need it)

 

@Deep Wang do you have pre-sale comps  for JL and Thor:R?

 

EDIT:  Solo:  45 (10:10am), 57 (10.30am), 73 (12:30pm), 89 (3:30pm), 92.6 (4pm), 134 (5:45pm)

 

Picking up a bit, still pacing a bit behind JL and ahead of WW

 

Right, now I'd say previews at about $12m 

 

 

Edited May 24, 2018 by TalismanRing

[Stewart]

1 hour ago, Deep Wang said:

6.2m

 

Which is less than R1 did in it's first 24 hours.

 

So yeaaaahhhhhh....

 

This shit be floppin'.

 

Thanks for making me choke on my fucking water... always appreciated -.-

[MovieMan89]

1 hour ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango (Eye Count 5-10 min avg)

 

THUR

 

• WW: 46 (10am), 125 (5pm)
• SM:HC: 49avg (9am), 110 (12pm), 138( 1pm) 174 (3:50pm), 216 (5:20pm)
• IT: 25 (8:20am) 41(9am) 102 (12:20pm) 140 (1pm) 186 (4:50pm)
• THOR:R: 103 (12:15) 112 (1:15pm), 145 (4pm) 175 (4:50)
• JL: 45.2 (10am), 78 (12pm), 92 (1:30pm), 103 (3:30pm), 124 (4:15pm), 145 (5:30pm), 156 (7:45)
• TLJ: 275 (10:45am)
• BP: 244 (2:30)
• AIW: 240 (11:15am), 305 (3pm)
• DP2: 55 (9:30 am), 60 (10am), 98.75 (12pm), 165.5 (3:20pm), 204 (5:20pm)

 

Solo: 45 (10:10am), 57 (10.30am), 73 (12:30pm), 89 (3:30pm), 92.6 (4pm)

 

Right now it's pacing behind JL which did $13m in previews (also had a 7.215 multi - better than the usual DC films with the exception of WW - and w/o a holiday.   Solo hopefully should also benefit from a better multiplier than usual with the lower previews + holiday w/e.  It's going to need it)

 

@Deep Wang do you have pre-sale comps  for JL and Thor:R?

 

EDIT:  Solo:  45 (10:10am), 57 (10.30am), 73 (12:30pm), 89 (3:30pm), 92.6 (4pm), 134 (5:45pm)

 

Picking up a bit, still pacing a bit behind JL and ahead of WW

 

Right, now I'd say previews at about $12m 

 

 

If it actually does less than JL's 13m previews as a Star Wars movie, then it officially will have exceeded even the lowest of lowball predictions. 

[Porthos]

Solo: A Star Wars Story GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE:  PREMIERE NIGHT - FINAL REPORT [4pm-5pm]

(sellouts for THIS REPORT ONLY includes ALL theaters with six or less seats left)

 

Sellouts: 

5/143 (+3/+1) [R1: 35/144]

 

2D:  5/107 (+3/+1) [R1: 31/98]

3D:  0/36   (nc)       [R1: 3/46]

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 109 showings [R1: 48]>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

0 (-2) [R1: 1]

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

3 (+2) [R1: 6]

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

22 (+7) [R1: 8]

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

0 (-2) [R1: 1]

 

Weekend Showings

Fr:   0/292 

St:   0/293 

Su:  0/288   

Mo: 0/272 

 

---

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (109/143 showings):

100%:      5 (+3)

90-99%:   3 (nc)

80-89%:   8 (+1)

70-79%:  11 (-1)

60-69%:  13 (+4)

50-59%:    8 (+3)

40-49%:    9 (-1)

30-39%:    6 (-3)

20-29%:    7 (-4)

10-19%:  16 (+4)

0-9%:     23 (-5)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	5	143	7732	13521	42.81%

 

Total Shows Added Since Mid Day:    1

Total Seats Added Since Mid Day:    68

Total Seats Sold So Far Today:       486

----

.4398x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at final report**.
.7143x as many tickets sold as Black Panther at final report**.
.7118x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2* at at final report**. 

 

* NOTE:  DP2 is also playing in 4 more theaters locally and had 14 more screens tracked at the same point in time.  

** SECOND NOTE:  Final Report for Solo was compiled approx 80 to 90 minutes before the final reports for the above three films.

 

====

 

For the record, three showings for a total of nine tickets that were manually adjusted for showings with six seats or left.  Before the adjustment, the count was as follows:

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	143	7741	13521	42.75%

[Porthos]

Got a couple of seconds for a super quick compare-contrast:

 

 

Next to last MT update of the day:

2018-05-25 00:01:03.224824 UTC
1	52.1%	Solo: A Star Wars Story
2	24.2%	Deadpool 2
3	7%	Book Club
4	6.4%	Avengers: Infinity War
5	1.4%	Life of the Party

Same Time Last Week:

2018-05-18 00:02:10.345449 UTC
1	61.9%	Deadpool 2
2	10.6%	Avengers: Infinity War
3	8.4%	Book Club
4	4%	Solo: A Star Wars Story
5	2.3%	Life of the Party

 

I'll leave it to others to read the entrails there.

 

C y'all later.

Edited May 25, 2018 by Porthos

[Cap]

As always, thank you @Porthos for the reports. 

[Eastwood47]

In just one theater alone we have 14 showings tonight for Solo (Tinseltown - Louisville). The last seven shows have sold a total of 23 tickets combined. Incredible. There's not even a pulse. In another theater, there's only one showing in IMAX at 10:15 and it's three quarters empty at the time of this post.  

[Cooper Legion]

9 hours ago, Boxofficerules said:

Why is Solo the one getting so much hate? Personally I’ve never really cared for Star Wars so I have no feelings either way but it looks like the other movies and the reviews are decent (yes 71% on RT is decent.) so why is this one getting so much flak and potentially bombing?

Well, we don’t have any way to say for sure. And it is probably due to a variety of interrelated factors.     

 

But the “TLJ did real damage to the Star Wars brand as a whole, at least in the short term” thesis certainly seems to be in a better supported place now than it was  a month ago.

[dxmatrixdt]

Solo seems to be doing well on the East coast right now off Fandango pulse.  It is almost 7:30 am there, shows could be as early as 8am.  I would not be surprised if a lot of those tickets are people skipping work in the morning to see a showing of Star Wars.  Well, maybe a decade ago.

[dxmatrixdt]

I skimmed through about ten theaters (reserved seating), fifteen showings on the West Coasts around 430am west coast time.  

the ten earliest showings around 8am-930am all are averaging around 20 purchases.  about half of them were premiums.

the other five showings were the latest showings at those theaters, around midnight or after.  Some sold around 5, some were empty.

[dxmatrixdt]

The Book Club is showing up at 8am on the East coast.  Theaters are probably opening right now because of Solo.  I wonder how many walk ups at 8am right now are going to DP2 vs Solo.  Solo will be getting that boosted up super early showing though.  the second earliest showing might be a better indicator.  

[KeepItU25071906]

1) I saw the couple pop-ups of "Oceans 8"

 

2) 160 mln opening for Incredibles 2? Do you also feel that?

Edited May 25, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[Rumpot]

MT been slowly rising for Solo so far today. 56.2%

[Lordmandeep]

 

[Rumpot]

Whoa...is MT top 10 gone?

[Porthos]

12 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

Whoa...is MT top 10 gone?

You mean that Top Five thing?

 

*checks site*

 

*checks mobile site*

 

*checks the ak scraper*

 

Well, fudge puddles.

 

And the reason for me to think about Movie Tickets Dot Com ever again just disappeared in a puff of smoke. 

Edited May 25, 2018 by Porthos