The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Nova]

9 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

ASIB without Wednesday from midnight Central to 2 pm Eastern: 7,861

 

Venom: 7,697

 

Its already begun sneaks be damned 

[James]

10 hours ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

ASIB without Wednesday from midnight Central to 2 pm Eastern: 7,861

 

Venom: 7,697

 

Its already begun sneaks be damned 

The fact that this is beating Venom even in presales... 

[Cooper Legion]

Even if they’re neck and neck in presales, I’m sure Venom can pull it out in the end.    

 

 

After all, adult-targeted romances with a musical component and Oscar buzz are notoriously frontloaded 

[MaxAggressor]

19 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

ASIB without Wednesday from midnight Central to 2 pm Eastern: 7,861

 

Venom: 7,697

 

Its already begun sneaks be damned 

 

I knew that you have some concrete info otherwise you wouldn't go IN on ASIB OW >> Venom OW  

 

      

Edited October 3, 2018 by MaxAggressor

[DAJK]

Imagine if both opened to over 60. Doubtful, but has that ever happened before?

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Imagine if both opened to over 60. Doubtful, but has that ever happened before?

June 21-23, 2013: Monsters University and World War Z.

[Pinacolada]

52 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

ASIB without Wednesday from midnight Central to 2 pm Eastern: 7,861

 

Venom: 7,697

 

Its already begun sneaks be damned 

This isn't including Venom other formats tho

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

6 minutes ago, Pinacolada said:

This isn't including Venom other formats tho

The source I’m using does collect all of the formats together. If you don’t believe that, here is the past 24 hours separated out as a check http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/fandango_past24hours.txt

[filmlover]

Bohemian Rhapsody is now selling tickets for opening weekend and The Nutcracker has showtimes up but aren't on sale yet for that weekend. Former starts at 7:00 (FYI it has already sold 6 tickets for that first showing on Thursday night) while the latter begins at 6:00.

[La Binoche]

MT 

 

1. ASIB 

 

Pretty sure it's clearing the 25-30m predictions now. 

[Poseidon]

10 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

MT 

 

1. ASIB 

 

Pretty sure it's clearing the 25-30m predictions now. 

 

Was this even a question after the trailer hit a couple of month earlier? 
 

 

[La Binoche]

4 minutes ago, Poseidon said:

 

Was this even a question after the trailer hit a couple of month earlier? 
 

 

The trailer views online are low key underwhelming, though. 

[DAJK]

11 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

MT 

 

1. ASIB 

 

Pretty sure it's clearing the 25-30m predictions now. 

40 is the floor at this point I would say

[Damianport1]

i think low to mid 40s are most likely for ASIB and then historic legs to 280-300

Edited October 3, 2018 by Damianport1

[WrathOfHan]

[Nova]

A Star Is Born is going over $50M. I wouldnt even hesitate to say that $55-60M is on the cards. My theater is giving it 5 showtimes for Thursday night. A theater that held showtimes tonight in my area sold out the 7PM show time. 

 

Just a comparison: Ocean's 8 only got 2 showtimes for Thursday night and was about 25% full for the Wednesday early preview. But the way A Star Is Born is selling, I don't even know that Ocean's 8 is a valid comp anymore. I have no idea what a valid comp is for it anymore to be honest. 

[filmlover]

Just now, Nova said:

A Star Is Born is going over $50M. I wouldnt even hesitate to say that $55-60M is on the cards. My theater is giving it 5 showtimes for Thursday night. A theater that held showtimes tonight in my area sold out the 7PM show time. 

 

Just a comparison: Ocean's 8 only got 2 showtimes for Thursday night and was about 25% full for the Wednesday early preview. But the way A Star Is Born is selling, I don't even know that Ocean's 8 is a valid comp anymore. I have no idea what a valid comp is for it anymore to be honest. 

Yeah, it's blowing Ocean's 8 out of the water here with an additional screen (this is getting 4 screens instead of 3 like that did). Really can't see it opening below that movie at this point.

[MrGlass2]

There will be only one winner this weekend... The box office.

 

[Poseidon]

12 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

The trailer views online are low key underwhelming, though. 

I'm doing research in that department for a couple of years now. A Star is Born will be huge with older females.
The source to watch here is Facebook and Trailerclicks are double the clicks of YT. That's a very encouraging sign.

 

Book Club had like 1m klicks on YT, but 25m on FB for Example. 
ASIB won't skew THAT old though...

 

 

[Cooper Legion]

MT lead for ASIB has grown from .6 (18.3 vs 17.7) to 2.0 (21.4 vs 19.4). It’s pretty hard to interpret that thanks to the Wednesday showings though.

 

Edit: 6PM Pacific, +2.4 (24 vs 21.6)

Edited October 4, 2018 by Thanos Legion