The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Porthos]

On 10/13/2021 at 11:36 PM, Porthos said:

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-21 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	96	14322	15543	1221	7.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

148

 

Day Three Unadjusted Comp

	%		Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
SC	144.33		120	846		0/101	16156/17002	4.98%		12.70m

 

Day Three Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	75.83		185	1498		0/104	16688/18186	8.24%		10.48m
Eternals (adj)	---		129	1136		0/87	13074/14210	7.99%		---

COMP NOTE: The Eternals comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in BW's track.

 

Regal: 270/4570 [5.91% sold] [+46 tickets]

 

===

 

Will switch over to T-x comps on Friday.

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-22 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	96	14206	15543	1337	8.60%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

116

 

Day Four Unadjusted Comp

	%		Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
SC	138.26		121	967		0/101	16035/17002	5.69%		12.17m

 

Day Four Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	77.42		105	1603		0/104	16583/18186	8.81%		10.70m
Eternals (adj)	---		105	1241		0/87	12969/14210	8.73%		---

COMP NOTE: The Eternals comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in BW's track.

 

Regal: 284/4570 [6.21% sold] [+14 tickets]

Edited October 16, 2021 by Porthos

[CJohn]

11 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

Another weekend where I got excited for nothing numbers.

Nothing numbers are the law now.

[Legion Again]

90-55-45-40 first place followed by 90+ is nothing numbers now? That’s not a bad fall stretch pre-covid…

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

On line of @Porthos Quick and Dirty Check, 

 

Halloween Kills had 1480 sold at 4 Harkins in Phoenix and 1880 in 4 CA theaters at 19:00. All of them having strong occupancies, and will probably add another 20% or so in walk ins.

 

Problem is HK dont have PLFs so comps are bit iffy. SC had 2872 and 3480 sold in these theaters. HK will reach 63-65% of SC, so round about $5.25-5.75M representative, but SC over indexed in Canada, so cut to $5-5.5M may be.

A little cleaner

 

Halloween Kills Harkins Final

 

Mountain Grove - 783 (55.2%)

Cerritos - 799 (50.4%)

Chino Hills - 415 (32%)

Morena Valley - 490 (23.4%)

Arizona Mills - 403 (59.8%)

Arrowhead Fountain - 334 (43%)

Chandler Fashion - 384 (63%)

Estrella Falls - 689 (73% )

 

Total - 2487 in CA & 1810 in Phoenix.

 

72% of Shang Chi in CA & 63% in Phoenix. Phoenix is lower because of lack of PLFs that drive a huge demand, but regardless 63% of SC is no low, that too when occupancy are over 50%. These 8 theaters suggest $5.75-6M Approx, but minus CAN over indexing of Shang Chi, probably ~$525-5.5M. 

 

Other misc theaters.

 

Tucson Specturum - 357 (102% of Shang Chi)

Yuva Palms - 308 (73% of Shang Chi)

Edited October 15, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

12 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

Another weekend where I got excited for nothing numbers.

come on! $45M+ and may be $50M for HK is not nothing.

[Krissykins]

11 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

come on! $45M+ and may be $50M for HK is not nothing.

Thank you! Especially with pandemic, delay, piracy and an at-home option.

[riveredge]

Any news of Last Night in Soho?

[Krissykins]

34 minutes ago, riveredge said:

Any news of Last Night in Soho?

I went to see Last Night in Soho last weekend and I can’t imagine america clicking with it. I’d guess an opening sround $4m. I enjoyed it though. 

[Legion Again]

We should get Soho tracking from BOP later today (along with Eternals). Personally I am expecting maybe 8M. Seems like there are some advanced shows Wednesday like with bond.

[TwoMisfits]

5 hours ago, Let There Be Legion said:

90-55-45-40 first place followed by 90+ is nothing numbers now? That’s not a bad fall stretch pre-covid…

 

Now, I've heard of being high on Last Night in Soho, but dang, $90+:)...

 

(PS - You may have forgotten to add the down weekend for Halloween:)...

[cookieleeann]

DUNE Thursday October 21st

AMC Sunset Place 24

 

Dolby

6pm- 64/174

9:45pm- 57/174

 

IMAX

6:30pm- 93/443

10:15pm- 35/443

 

REAL D 3D

7:30pm- 3/238

 

DIGITAL

8:30pm 2/410

 

Total 254/1882

 

 

 

 

[Legion Again]

46 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

Now, I've heard of being high on Last Night in Soho, but dang, $90+:)...

 

(PS - You may have forgotten to add the down weekend for Halloween:)...

Nah, there’s a reason I didn’t write it 90-55-45-40-90

[filmlover]

Been thinking Last Night in Soho is opening with around $8-10M for a while now. No blockbuster but there's a youthful audience (the crowd that's been powering the box office throughout the pandemic era) that's been awaiting its release and will show up opening weekend.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 10/8/2021 at 10:35 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

US showtimes sample for 10/1 weekend if anyone else wanted to track these.

 

Movie	Theaters	Showtimes	Standard	PLF
Venom 2	3,273	137,474	124,452	13,022
Addams Family 2	3,204	68,219	68,219	0
Shang-Chi	2,879	34,635	34,559	76
Many Saints	2,807	32,703	32,703	0
Dear Evan	2,952	29,485	29,485	0
Free Guy	2,169	23,092	23,072	20
Candyman	1,472	11,068	11,068	0
Jungle Cruise	1,214	8,711	8,711	0
Cry Macho	918	6,365	6,365	0
Titane	521	6,186	6,186	0
The Eyes of Tammy Faye	871	4,031	4,031	0
Malignant	497	2,693	2,693	0
Paw Patrol	491	2,672	2,672	0

 

US showtimes sample for 10/8 weekend

 

Movie	Theaters	Showtimes	Standard	PLF
No Time to Die	3,529	112,174	105,949	6,225
Venom 2	3,327	90,182	86,866	3,316
Addams Family 2	3,236	44,697	44,697	0
Many Saints of Newark	2,835	26,023	26,023	0
Shang-Chi	2,374	24,810	24,810	0
Free Guy	1,353	10,840	10,840	0
Dear Evan Hansen	1,644	10,049	10,049	0
Lamb	541	6,740	6,740	0
Candyman	705	4,838	4,838	0
The Jesus Music	269	2,718	2,718	0
Cry Macho	348	2,430	2,430	0
Jungle Cruise	373	2,374	2,374	0
Titane	429	2,087	2,087	0

 

Future previews show counts

 

Halloween Kills - 4,644

The Last Duel - 2,796

Dune - 5,906

Ron's Gone Wrong - 1,353

US showtimes sample for 10/15 weekend

 

Movie	Theaters	Showtimes	Standard	PLF
Halloween kills	3,143	92,661	92,661	0
No Time to Die	3,446	62,946	59,009	3,937
Venom 2	3,214	60,099	59,358	741
Addams Family 2	2,984	35,537	35,537	0
The Last Duel	2,731	32,124	32,124	0
Shang-Chi	1,954	19,839	19,839	0
Lamb	749	7,003	7,003	0
The Rescue	541	6,423	6,423	0
Free Guy	828	6,014	6,014	0
Dear Evan Hanson	641	3,545	3,545	0
Candyman	471	3,091	3,091	0
Many Saints of Newark	354	1,759	1,759	0
Jungle Cruise	189	1,193	1,193	0

 

Future previews show counts

 

T-1 Week

Dune - 7,088

Ron's Gone Wrong - 3,049

French Dispatch - 100

 

T-2 Weeks

French Dispatch (expansion) - 506

Last Night in Soho (Wed shows) - 153

Last Night in Soho (Thu shows) - 2,315

Antlers - 1,045

 

T-3 Weeks

Eternals - 8,959

[Krissykins]

The number 1 film will have zero PLF’s. Ridiculous. 

[Tinalera]

21 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I will not say a previews close to 4m is not possible. With meh walkups its possible. But with MTC2 so strong and good walkups its likely to be close to 5 than 4. 

 

@DAJK how will Halloween kills do in Canada. 

Im about to do a Friday for Toronto. Going into the Thursdays from my view I wasn't seeing a huge rush for tickets. Ill get some Friday numbers and see what comes of them and what assumptions (if any) can be made

 

[keysersoze123]

12 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

The number 1 film will have zero PLF’s. Ridiculous. 

That is not true. It has Dolby at many AMC locations. https://www.amctheatres.com/movies/black-widow-66056/showtimes/halloween-kills-67399/2021-10-15/amc-empire-25/all/95716977

 

I guess NTTD has Imax contract for few weeks but Dolby is generally busier minus the mega screen Imax theaters. Liemax do way worse than Dolby for sure. 

Edited October 15, 2021 by keysersoze123

[Krissykins]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

That is not true. It has Dolby at many AMC locations. https://www.amctheatres.com/movies/black-widow-66056/showtimes/halloween-kills-67399/2021-10-15/amc-empire-25/all/95716977

 

I guess NTTD has Imax contract for few weeks but Dolby is generally busier minus the mega screen Imax theaters. Liemax do lot worse than Dolby for sure. 

Ah, I was responding to Katniss post that said 0 PLF’s. 

[filmlover]

15 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

The number 1 film will have zero PLF’s. Ridiculous. 

Halloween? It's taken over all the non-IMAX PLF screens near me this weekend.

[katnisscinnaplex]

15 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

That is not true. It has Dolby at many AMC locations. https://www.amctheatres.com/movies/black-widow-66056/showtimes/halloween-kills-67399/2021-10-15/amc-empire-25/all/95716977

 

I guess NTTD has Imax contract for few weeks but Dolby is generally busier minus the mega screen Imax theaters. Liemax do way worse than Dolby for sure. 

 

Sorry, I guess I never said what I'm counting as PLFs.  The method I have of pulling only has it broken down into three categories: standard, 3D and IMAX.  PLF for this report only refers to 3D + IMAX shows.  Sorry for the confusion!