The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[titanic2187]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Dune MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 47497/249345 863382.95 1235 shows.

Friday(T-5) -52271/539292 930386.03 2666 shows.

 

Another meh day. I would wait until tuesday to spell doom as early PS was so strong. Still overall numbers are not bad. But I hope to see show count bump up by tuesday at latest but PS has to improve soon. 

 

Where is North korea and Russia hacker when you need them??

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	96	14064	15543	1479	9.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

55

 

T-19 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-20	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	68.40		61	2003		0/105	16615/18618	10.76%		9.45m
Eternals (adj)	---		51	1370		0/87	12840/14210	9.64%		---

COMP NOTE: The Eternals comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in BW's track.

PRE-SALE NOTE: Black Widow's tickets have been on sale for three more days than Eternals' tickets have been on sale.

 

 

Regal: 312/4570 [6.83% sold] [+9 tickets]

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	96	13991	15541*	1550	9.97%

* NOTE:  A theater adjusted the seat maps of a couple of showings, resulting in two fewer seats available region-wide.

 

Total Seats Sold Today

71

 

T-18 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-18	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	68.59		92	2095		0/117	17035/19130	10.95%		9.48m
Eternals (adj)	---		67	1437		0/87	12771/14208	10.11%		---

COMP NOTE: The Eternals comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in BW's track.

PRE-SALE NOTE: Black Widow's tickets have been on sale for three more days than Eternals' tickets have been on sale.

 

 

Regal: 317/4570 [6.94% sold] [+5 tickets]

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Dune Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	11124	12328	1204	9.77%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

63

 

T-5 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-5	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
NTTD	77.88		119	1546		0/145	20907/22453	6.89%		4.83m
SC	56.13		183	2145		0/113	15466/17611	12.18%		4.94m
V2	59.96		183	2008		0/173	26190/28198	7.12%		6.96m

 

T-5 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-5	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	69.99		113	1606		0/89	11878/13484	11.91%		5.20m
Dune (adj)	---		61	1124		0/69	9788/10912	10.30%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal: 298/4758 [6.26% sold] [+19 tickets]

 

====

 

Not a great day in Sacto, either, I'm sad to say.

 

Dune Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	10936	12270*	1334	10.87%

* Noticed an error in my charts where I was double counting some DBOX seats.  Removing them has reduced the Total Seats by 58, but did not affect the seats sold as I was already accounting for them at the time.

 

Total Seats Sold Today

130

 

T-4 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
NTTD	78.33		157	1703		0/145	20757/22460	7.58%		4.86m
SC	55.44		261	2406		0/113	15205/17611	13.66%		4.88m
V2	54.21		453	2461		0/183	26301/28762	7.12%		6.29m

 

T-4 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	68.60		200	1806		0/89	11678/13484	13.39%		5.10m
Dune (adj)	---		115	1239		0/69	9615/10854	11.42%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: DUNE (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal: 338/4758 [7.10% sold] [+40 tickets]

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 10/14/2021 at 10:38 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-21	Eternals	Jacksonville	6	47	7,996	356	18	4.45%
		Phoenix	6	35	5,949	298	34	5.01%
		Raleigh	7	26	3,094	331	47	10.70%
	Eternals Total		19	108	17,039	985	99	5.78%
T-7	Dune	Jacksonville	7	39	6,545	328	40	5.01%
		Phoenix	6	20	3,168	273	9	8.62%
		Raleigh	8	21	2,915	221	30	7.58%
	Dune Total		21	80	12,628	822	79	6.51%

 

Dune

Venom 2 - .96x (11.11m)

F9 - .852x (6.05m)

No Time to Die - 1.2x (6.23m)

 

Average - 7.8m.  Not much movement here either; improved against Venom and F9, but not against NTtD.  

 

Eternals (day 3 comps)

BW - 1.11x (14.67m)

SC - 1.549x (13.63m)

 

Average - 14.15m.  Had a chance to look at ticket prices as well finally.  Here's where it stands so far in my areas:

 

Movie	Tickets	Sales	ATP
Eternals	985	$14,778.95	$15.00
Shang-Chi	636	$8,722.40	$13.71
Black Widow	886	$11,857.30	$13.38

 

Annnd breakdown by format, because why not?

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales*	% Sold
T-17	Eternals	Jacksonville	6	47	7,996	419	63	5.24%
		Phoenix	6	35	5,949	369	71	6.20%
		Raleigh	7	26	3,094	396	65	12.80%
	Eternals Total		19	108	17,039	1,184	199	6.95%
T-3	Dune	Jacksonville	7	39	6,545	427	99	6.52%
		Phoenix	6	22	3,588	400	127	11.15%
		Raleigh	8	21	2,915	352	131	12.08%
	Dune Total		21	82	13,048	1,179	357	9.04%
T-3	Ron's Gone Wrong	Jacksonville	4	6	852	1	1	0.12%
		Phoenix	6	10	1,303	3	3	0.23%
		Raleigh	6	8	991	13	13	1.31%
	Ron's Gone Wrong Total		16	24	3,146	17	17	0.54%

*New sales since Thursday morning

 

Dune comps

Venom 2 - .739x (8.57m)

F9 - .814x (5.78m)

 

Average - 7.17m

 

I don't really have anything this low for kids movies.  Addams had 39 at this point, but with 4pm start which would be 240k.

 

Eternals comps

BW T-17 - .718x (9.48m)

Shang-Chi hadn't even gone on sell yet and day 7 would be t-10 so I'm not sure about using that comp until a few more days have passed.

 

[el sid]

Dune counted today at 10am EST for Thursday, October 21:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 143 (2 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 297 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): still no showtimes
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): still no showtimes
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 63 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 636 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 719 (10 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 5 theaters: 1.858.

Comps: Ad Astra (1.5M from previews) had on the same day = Monday of its release week 821 sold tickets for Thursday in 7 theaters = 3.4M.
NTTD (5.2M without Wednesday) had also on Monday of its release week 1.584 sold tickets for Thursday in 7 theaters = 6.1M+ (I forgot to subtract the 2 theaters which Dune doesn't have so far, so it would be even a bit more than 6.1M for Dune).
And TSS (4.1M) had on the same day 1.385 sold tickets for Thursday = 5.5M+ (again 7 vs 5 theaters).

Dune counted today at 10am EST for Friday, October 22:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 213 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): (10 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): (8 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 17 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 43 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 1.159 (7 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 888 (8 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 2.621.

Comps: Ad Astra (5.6M true Friday) had on the same day = Monday of its release week 708 sold tickets for Friday in 7 theaters = 20.7M true Friday for Dune.
NTTD (17M true Friday) had on the same day 1.666 sold tickets for Friday in 7 theaters = 26.7M.
And TSS (8.0M true Friday) had 940 sold tickets for Friday = 22.3M.
So at the moment every comp points to more than 20M on Friday, not bad at all.
But of course I also wonder if this can go on. TSS had poor jumps in its last week but NTTD had at least good jumps till Wednesday. OTOH NTTD had 2.715 sold tickets on Thursday for Friday (= the last time I counted it) and TSS had only 1.560 sold tickets so it's impossible for Dune to not look good in my comps even if it doesn't sell any ticket in the next days (I mean because Dune has already reached a high level). Maybe Dune overperforms in my theaters due to the many IMAX shows?

Edited October 18, 2021 by el sid

[Tinalera]

The Eternals

Toronto Ontario

Taken oct 18 for Thurs Nov 4

11 Theatres

32 shows

 

Total Sold 1057

Total Available 8185

percent 11.53

 

 

11 percent for previews for a movie almost 3 weeks away, that's pretty good I would think. Yes its Marvel, and maybe this is the post covid theatres opening to full capacity, but thats pretty good I think for a new IP.

 

[Tinalera]

Dune

Toronto Ontario

Taken Oct 18 for Thurs Oct 21

11 Theatres

41 shows

 

Total Sold 1943

Total Available 9681

 

percent 20.07

 

(note extra theatre has been added, also numbers will show increased seat available due to fact that Cineplex is now allowed full capacity, so seat restrictions have been removed, essentially seats got added)

 

Torontonians seems to be responding, like Eternals, with gusto (for Toronto) due to lifting of covid restrictions and theatre capacity it seems

 

 

 

 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

313

606

51.65%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

327

1319

24.79%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1589	100	10391	15.29%	15	55

 

AMCs sold	1015
Cinemarks sold	165
Regals sold	370
Harkins sold	39

 

Shang-Chi comp: 9.15M

Black Widow comp: 7.45M

 

Hopefully it really starts accelerating today

Dune Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

338

606

55.78%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

367

1319

27.82%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1765	176	10391	16.99%	15	55

 

AMCs sold	1118
Cinemarks sold	183
Regals sold	418
Harkins sold	46

 

Shang-Chi comp: 8.68M

Black Widow comp: 7.47M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Megaplex

 

T-4 days Thursday(53 showings): 2324(+133)/14967 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 13.35M

Black Widow comp: 8.92M

 

T-5 days Friday(85 showings): 2814(+183)/29930 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 51.59M

Black Widow comp: 25.72M

 

T-6 days Saturday(82 showings): 1648(+131)/28944 in 14 theaters

 

T-7 days Sunday(71showings): 500(+68)/24452(+480) in 13 theaters

Dune Megaplex

 

T-3 days Thursday(58 showings): 2664(+340)/15734(+767) in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 13.00M

Black Widow comp: 9.31M

 

T-4 days Friday(120 showings): 3245(+431)/36053(+6123) in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 46.39M

Black Widow comp: 25.95M

 

T-5 days Saturday(119 showings): 1913(+265)/36480(+7536) in 15 theaters

 

T-6 days Sunday(105 showings): 582(+82)/32155(+7703) in 14 theaters

[TalismanRing]

NYC Local Regal (6pm)

 

Dune:  47/1242 (35 are first show RPX)

RGW: 1/496  (yes one ticket)

 

DUNE Comps

Venom 2: $4.16m
Bond: $3.49m
TSS: $3.79m
It 2: $3.36m
BW: $2.6m
Ford v F: $1.97m
Joker: $1.9m

 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

302

1478

20.43%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

207

1741

11.89%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1057	43	15883	6.65%	15	88

 

AMCs sold	768
Cinemarks sold	115
Regals sold	138
Harkins sold	36

 

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 10.41M

Eternals Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

306

1478

20.70%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

216

1741

12.41%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1130	73	15883	7.11%	15	88

 

AMCs sold	794
Cinemarks sold	142
Regals sold	151
Harkins sold	43

 

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 10.76M

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/17/2021 at 4:32 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-18 days Thursday(44 showings): 837(+18)/15020 in 14 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 6.22M

 

T-19 days Friday(86 showings): 431(+20)/31248 in 14 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 11.10M

 

T-20 days Saturday(84 showings): 270(+20)/30586 in 14 theaters

 

T-21 days Sunday(70 showings): 74(+1)/23648(+4408) in 11 theaters

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-17 days Thursday(44 showings): 868(+31)/15020 in 14 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 6.26M

 

T-18 days Friday(86 showings): 481(+50)/31248 in 14 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 11.76M

 

T-19 days Saturday(84 showings): 277(+7)/30586 in 14 theaters

 

T-20 days Sunday(70 showings): 79(+5)/23648(+4408) in 11 theaters

[YM!]

While there’s still another day before I give Dune’s statistics from my theater, it may be overindexing as it’s already 67% of what Shang-Chi and LTBC sold on the Tuesday before release, meaning it would give some crazy numbers like $5.9m-$7.77m previews/$51m-$61m OW, anyone else getting big numbers for Dune?

[keysersoze123]

7 minutes ago, YourMother said:

While there’s still another day before I give Dune’s statistics from my theater, it may be overindexing as it’s already 67% of what Shang-Chi and LTBC sold on the Tuesday before release, meaning it would give some crazy numbers like $5.9m-$7.77m previews/$51m-$61m OW, anyone else getting big numbers for Dune?

You did not even look at the post above yours. 

[Cmasterclay]

Doesn't look like it's Dune too well. 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

This thread is crazy because someone will post how Dune is pulling insane tracking and sales at their theaters and then next post will be Charlie saying "Looks weak, thinking 28m"

[famicommander]

Seems like people are either gonna pay to see it in a premium format or watch it on HBO, very little in-between.

[Ronin46]

I guess it depends on how many of the theatres have IMAX/PLF. I look at Keyser and Menors numbers as that smooths out those things and its showing a slowdown after a very good start. If that slowdown continues like NTTD did then its going to go under 100m domestic. I hope it ramps up but the signs are there at this stage that its not doing that. But as we know the last few days are really what counts with all of these bigger movies.

[Nikostar]

So after weeks of good sales it looks like Dune will underperform like it did in China. Not that surprised. WB is not helping with putting it on max so early.

[Menor the Destroyer]

23 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

This thread is crazy because someone will post how Dune is pulling insane tracking and sales at their theaters and then next post will be Charlie saying "Looks weak, thinking 28m"

Well, not all the data is insane. And the bigger problem is the pace. Yesterday's bumps were not amazing. It needs to do better today.