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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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CloneWars Blockbuster

CloneWars

Posted
Posted (edited)

Anyway, I looked through Sunday. Roughly 70 showings per day at one theater. And, almost all showings are sold out including early AM showings for all days. Sunday is pretty booked but no AM showings scheduled. The latest showing, 11:45PM is almost sold out. Friday matinees are almost sold out. Even Monday has decent sales already. No sell outs, but screens getting full. My question is what the hell is going to happen to all the walk-ups this weekend?

 

This movie is the closest we will ever get to true capacity. Anything is on the table as far as the OW is concerned. I honestly have no idea what to predict.

Edited by CloneWars
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VanillaSkies Box Office Gold

VanillaSkies

Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, VanillaSkies said:

Wow, Empire 25 in NYC just released it's full Thursday schedule and hardly anything is playing after 5pm that day that's not called Endgame, which isn't really a surprise. 

 

What is a surprise though. Shazam's last show of the day is 4:45pm, while Captain Marvel has a 7:20pm and 10:30pm show. 

I take it Disney ensures Captain Marvel would have full showings for the weekend... 

They haven't released their FSS schedule yet, but very interested to see if this pans out over the entire weekend too. I was definitely joking when I hinted in last weekends thread that Captain Marvel could move up to #2 this weekend..... but if it's the only other movie with full showtimes, that just might be true. :D

They have now released the full schedule for the weekend. 

Both Shazam and CM have a full days worth of shows each, so both should get some spillover business. 

As for Endgame:

 

Thursday - 48 showings

Friday - 67 showings 

Saturday - 67 showings

Sunday - 40 showings

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reddevil19 Box Office Gold

reddevil19

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, DAJK said:

If this breaks 300 nothing is matching it until inflation catches up. I don’t see any movie, ever, or at least in the next few decades, matching today’s equivalent of 300M OW

200, then 250... All seemed fairly far-fetched, considering how big the jump was from the previous highest opener. So it could happen far sooner than we might expect at this moment, but it will definitely be one of these huge franchises. 

I suppose an AVX (or some form of an Avengers movie involving the X-Men) provided they keep the X-Men off the screen and introduce them in more than 5 years time stands the biggest chance. 

 

Though I have to admit, I would get some perverse pleasure out of Episode IX doing it - I am not a fan of Last Jedi, but after all the talk of boycotts and fanboys abandoning the franchise and blah blah blah, I would find that terribly amusing. 

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Sue Denim Cult Classic

Sue Denim

Posted
Posted

I've only been tracking the opening night for A:EG for my local theater in Brighton Michigan and here's where we stand with 2 days to go.

 

26 screenings dedicated to A:EG.  2 screens after 6pm for Breakthrough and CM, 1 screen for CoLL.  Walk-ups will either be shuffled into later shows or scrambling for 1st or 2nd row scattered seats.

             
MJR Brighton - Thursday April 25 AEG opening    
             
2D 6:05 31 41   75.61%  
  6:10 179 214   83.64%  
  6:20 85 98   86.73%  
  6:30 128 156   82.05%  
  6:35 28 40   70.00%  
  6:50 67 100   67.00%  
  7:00 48 60   80.00%  
  7:10 175 211   82.94%  
  7:25 79 97   81.44%  
  7:30 37 51   72.55%  
  7:40 133 152   87.50%  
  8:10 140 152   92.11%  
  8:30 41 46   89.13%  
  9:10 144 155   92.90%  
  9:30 35 51   68.63%  
  9:45 19 41   46.34%  
  10:00 135 209   64.59%  
  10:10 58 98   59.18%  
  10:15 91 154   59.09%  
  10:35 1 40   2.50%  
  10:40 21 100   21.00%  
  10:50 10 60   16.67%  
  11:00 88 211   41.71%  
             
3D 6:40 65 101   64.36%  
  8:00 39 60   65.00%  
  10:30 36 101   35.64%  
             
  TOTAL: 1913 2799   68.35% **2 Days Out**
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Legion Again Global Phenomenon

Legion Again

Posted
Posted

This is not a demand throttled movie, it’s a supply throttled movie. This remains true despite supply being raised to historic highs. If we want insane Fandango number on Thurs more theaters will need to follow Regal’s lead :) 

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Biggestgeekever Box Office Gold

Biggestgeekever

Posted
Posted

Updated sellout report in Seattle (asterisk denotes theaters I did not track for TLJ):
fzryg3Q.png

 

Compared to The Last Jedi as of Wednesday afternoon
M3rFIUx.png

 

And TFA as of Thursday morning:

8Dc7bZE.png

 

 

 

Even accounting for the difference in Fan Event, Endgame is thoroughly trouncing TLJ. The TFA comparison is trickier because that had so many 3D shows, but at the least I think that 2D showtimes sellouts are gonna come close to matching its sellout percentage even with almost 90 more showtimes.

 

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Eric Duncan Global Phenomenon

Eric Duncan

Posted
Posted

So I'm going to talk about Endgame in the Endgame weekend thread (gotta beat the weekend page record y'know), so I'm focusing on the upcoming stuff rn.

 

Movie/Date Monday Tuesday

Detective Pikachu 277 211
  18 days 17 days
     
John Wick 3 157 135
  25 days 24 days
     
Secret Life of Pets 2 11 6
  46 days 45 days

 

Pikachu

Last 7 Days (23-17)

36% of Incredibles 2 (65.5M)

237% of The Grinch (160.4M)

70% of Dragon 3 (38.8M)

55% of Shazam (29.6M)

 

Day 28-19

47% of Incredibles 2 (85.4M)

271% of The Grinch (183.6M)

104% of Dragon 3 (57.2M)

 

Day 30-19

70% of Incredibles 2 (127.7M)

163% of Dragon 3 (89.7M)

 

Cumulative

37% of Incredibles 2 (68.2M)

145% of Dragon 3 (79.9M)

 

The past two days were pretty bad sales-wise. By comparison, Incredibles hit over 900 Monday and over 1,000 Tuesday, while Dragon did 446 on Monday and 394 on Tuesday. But then again, those movies didn't have to deal with the biggest opening of all time sucking up all the attention for the week, so...maybe it'll spike next Monday? (I'm actually very interested to see what happens on Monday. Endgame's weekend might technically be over, but there's still gonna be a lot of spillover into Monday, and I'd be curious what spike or lack thereof there will be for stuff like Pikachu and Wick.  Aladdin's also rumored to start selling tickets Monday too, so I wonder how that will harm its initial few days)

 

Wick

Last 7 Days (30-24)

17% of Captain Marvel (25.7M)

 

Day 39-24

20% of Captain Marvel (31.1M)

 

Another movie affected by low presales over the past two days. And again, we'll see how much Endgame has hindered its performance.

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Stewart Box Office Gold

Stewart

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

--snip--

Could Pika and Wick be affected by the selection some people have mentioned? Where because Endgame is so huge, as a % of sales Wick and Pika get their numbers reduced. 

 

Also if you're not doing the Endgame stuff here could you link to your post for it here? It's not easy navigating a thread that's getting 10 posts a minute every single minute!

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Eric Duncan Global Phenomenon

Eric Duncan

Posted
Posted
Just now, feasby007 said:

Could Pika and Wick be affected by the selection some people have mentioned? Where because Endgame is so huge, as a % of sales Wick and Pika get their numbers reduced. 

 

Also if you're not doing the Endgame stuff here could you link to your post for it here? It's not easy navigating a thread that's getting 10 posts a minute every single minute!

aight

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FlashMaster659 Box Office Gold

FlashMaster659

Posted
Posted
8 hours ago, Porthos said:

Avengers: Endgame Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

41

302

5738

27942

79.46%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today:             10 (including one non-reserved seating theater)

Total Showings Added Today:          19 (including 3 non-reserved seating showings at the local drive-in)

Total Seats Added Today:             1017

Total Seats Sold Today:                1182

 

Infinity War Comps:

1.7174x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 2 days before release [Infinity War has 41 days of pre−sales compared to Endgame's 23 days]
1.4085x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night. [54.93m]
1.2164x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night at the exact same theaters in town. [47.44m]

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in more theaters locally.

 

IW (T-2)                  691 tickets sold that day     [8 sellouts/162 showings | 3875/14671 seats left  | 73.59% sold]      

EG (adj*):                1068 tickets sold today       [41 sellouts/302 showings | 4958/23499 seats left  | 78.90% sold]

EG (exact**):               710 tickets sold today       [38 sellouts/252 showings | 3398/19411 seats left  | 82.49% sold]

---

IW (final):   13164 tickets sold at stop [59 sellouts/182 showings | 1195/15159 seats left  | 86.64% sold]

EG (adj*):   18541 tickets sold so far   [41 sellouts/302 showings | 4958/23499 seats left  | 78.90% sold]

EG (exact**):  16013 tickets sold so far   [38 sellouts/252 showings | 3398/19411 seats left  | 82.49% sold]

----

* EG (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

** EG (exact) is the number of tickets sold at the EXACT same theaters in town for a pure like-for-like comparison.

 

OTHER COMPS:

  Reveal hidden contents

 

WEEKEND INFO: (all IW information is for 2 days before release)

Fri:   2 sellouts/522 showings (+0/+133) [IW: 0/332]

Sat:  1   sellout/518 showings (+0/+129) [IW: 0/332]

Sun: 0 sellouts/476 showings (+0/+110) [IW: 0/321]

 

Sellouts:  41/302  (+10/+19) [2D: 34/248 (+9/+17) | 3D: 7/54 (+1/+2)]

 

Breakdown of seat information in spoiler box:

  Reveal hidden contents

Wow, outstanding day for EG it appears. Where does it get to now if it sells the same amount of seats as IW thru your final report tomorrow evening?

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Eric Duncan Global Phenomenon

Eric Duncan

Posted
Posted

@Stewart

 

1 minute ago, CoolEric258 said:

So I typically post this in the Buzz & Tracking Thread, but since this is a very special movie, and I know most of y'all will be sticking around here, these are the Fandango Pulse results for Endgame:

 

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday
Black Panther 35,429 36,302 39,934 65,453
Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 76,734
Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212  
SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533  
Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337  
Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266  
Antman & The Wasp 6,613 5,990 11,108  
Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569
Fantastic Beasts 8,956 14,238 21,861 31,880
Aquaman 8,502 9,671 15,063  
Captain Marvel 33,951 37,060 49,745 64,456
Avengers: Endgame 53,999 59,102    

 

163% of Black Panther (328.9M)

108% of Infinity War (277.5M)

204% of Deadpool 2 (256.7M)

373% of Solo (314.7M)

252% of Incredibles 2 (460.8M)

463% of Jurassic World 2 (685.6M)

987% of Ant-Man 2 (748M)

427% of Venom (343.3M)

415% of Fantastic Beasts 2 (258M)

159% of Captain Marvel (244.7M)

 

Last 7 Days (9-3)

176% of Black Panther (355.6M)

124% of Infinity War (320.3M)

206% of Captain Marvel (316.4M)

 

Day 17-3

178% of Black Panther (359.7M)

141% of Infinity War (363.3M)

267% of Captain Marvel (410.4M)

 

Day 22-3

160% of Black Panther (323M)

319% of Captain Marvel (490.7M)

 

Cumulative (minus first two days)

121% of Infinity War (311M)

259% of Captain Marvel (397M)

 

Some data tells a different story, but the record's still on the menu ma bois

 

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XXR vs XXR Global Phenomenon

XXR vs XXR

Posted
Posted (edited)

Fandango Note: The 08:00 hour was 128% over the same time yesterday and the 09:00 hour could be our first over 4000 (have to wait for the adjustment to see if it goes up a bit.)

 

EDIT: The adjustment didn’t change it.

Edited by VenomXXR
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Superdeluxe Indie Sensation

Superdeluxe

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Updated sellout report in Seattle (asterisk denotes theaters I did not track for TLJ):
fzryg3Q.png

 

Compared to The Last Jedi as of Wednesday afternoon
M3rFIUx.png

 

And TFA as of Thursday morning:

8Dc7bZE.png

 

 

 

Even accounting for the difference in Fan Event, Endgame is thoroughly trouncing TLJ. The TFA comparison is trickier because that had so many 3D shows, but at the least I think that 2D showtimes sellouts are gonna come close to matching its sellout percentage even with almost 90 more showtimes.

 

AMC Lakewood has added another screen during normal movie going hours, and tacked on another showing with the rest of the other screens (several 12:30/1 am showings)

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Cappoedameron Box Office Gold

Cappoedameron

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Stewart said:

Could Pika and Wick be affected by the selection some people have mentioned? Where because Endgame is so huge, as a % of sales Wick and Pika get their numbers reduced. 

No. Because Pikachu comes out in EG 3rd weekend and JW comes out it's 4th weekend. After this weekend demand won't be as high anymore.

 

Endgame is severely frontloaded for obvious reasons(Disney wants that record) and this likely means second weekend is going to have a big drop off and even more in the 3rd one.

 

Pikachu and Wick won't be effected by Endgame. Pikachu is safe according to many BOA's on Twitter and YT.

 

The same cannot be said for Ugly Dolls, that is R.I.P indeed.

Edited by Cappoedameron
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