The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[CloneWars]

40 minutes ago, Caladbolg said:

No doubt the OW record is falling again. But if it goes over $300m, how long will that stand? The longest it’s been before it was broken again is about 4 years or so going back to ‘75.

Depends if we get another event franchise.

 

Pokemon sequels have the potential. Maybe Avatar, but I feel in the US, at least, there isn't much demand, but I'm sure Disney will market the shit out of Avatar 2, so who knows. Avengers 5 could maybe do it depending on how the rest of phase 4 goes down. I believe phase 4 will last five years, so that could be a lot of buildup to the next Avengers movie.

[Porthos]

Avengers: Endgame Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	41	302	5738	27942	79.46%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today:             10 (including one non-reserved seating theater)

Total Showings Added Today:          19 (including 3 non-reserved seating showings at the local drive-in)

Total Seats Added Today:             1017

Total Seats Sold Today:                1182

 

Infinity War Comps:

1.7174x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 2 days before release [Infinity War has 41 days of pre−sales compared to Endgame's 23 days]
1.4085x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night. [54.93m]
1.2164x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night at the exact same theaters in town. [47.44m]

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in more theaters locally.

 

IW (T-2)                  691 tickets sold that day     [8 sellouts/162 showings | 3875/14671 seats left  | 73.59% sold]      

EG (adj*):                1068 tickets sold today       [41 sellouts/302 showings | 4958/23499 seats left  | 78.90% sold]

EG (exact**):               710 tickets sold today       [38 sellouts/252 showings | 3398/19411 seats left  | 82.49% sold]

---

IW (final):   13164 tickets sold at stop [59 sellouts/182 showings | 1195/15159 seats left  | 86.64% sold]

EG (adj*):   18541 tickets sold so far   [41 sellouts/302 showings | 4958/23499 seats left  | 78.90% sold]

EG (exact**):  16013 tickets sold so far   [38 sellouts/252 showings | 3398/19411 seats left  | 82.49% sold]

----

* EG (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

** EG (exact) is the number of tickets sold at the EXACT same theaters in town for a pure like-for-like comparison.

 

OTHER COMPS:

Spoiler

Captain Marvel:

Spoiler

 

3.2101x as many tickets sold as Captain Marvel 4 days before release. [CM had 58 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
2.1040x as many tickets sold as Captain Marvel at stop of tracking.     [43.55m]

 

CM (T-2):          802 tickets sold that day  [1 sellout/195 showings  | 11747/18664 seats left  | 37.06% sold]

CM (final):     10553 tickets sold at stop   [8 sellouts/216 showings  | 9439/19992 seats left   | 52.79% sold]

EG:                22204 tickets sold so far   [41 sellouts/302 showings  | 5738/27942 seats left   | 79.46% sold]

NOTE: I have the same sources of tracking info for Endgame as I did Captain Marvel, so the unadjusted comp is being used here, even though Endgame is playing in a couple more theaters locally. Check the main stat box for the number of tickets sold today if you want to compare it to the number of tickets Captain Marvel sold on its second day.

 

Selected Other Comps (T-2 and Final):

Spoiler

3.5122x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 2 days before release. [BP had 30 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
3.6398x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 2 days before release. [DP2 had 29 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
4.1193x as many tickets sold as Solo 2 days before release. [Solo had 30 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
5.4150x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 2 days before release. [JW2 had 22 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
8.0930x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man & the Wasp 2 days before release. [AM2 had 18 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]
8.9985x as many tickets sold as Venom 2 days before release. [Venom had 21 days of pre−sales versus EG's 23 days]

 

BP (T-2)            766 tickets sold that day [7 sellouts/111 showings   |  5080/10359 seats left   | 50.96% sold]

DP2 (T-2)          725 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/141 showings   |  9796/14890 seats left   | 34.21% sold] 

Solo (T-2)          236 tickets sold that day [1 sellout/135 showings    |  8879/13380 seats left   | 33.64% sold]

JW2 (T-2)          551 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/145 showings   | 10171/13595 seats left  | 25.19% sold]

AM2 (T-2)         268 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/111 showings   |   8605/10896 seats left  | 21.03% sold]

EG(adj*) (T-2)    1068 tickets sold today    [41 sellouts/302 showings | 4958/23499 seats left    | 78.90% sold]

--------

Venom (T-2)      n/a tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/117 showings   | 10486/12744 seats left  | 17.72% sold]

EG (adj-v)        1146 tickets sold today    [41 sellouts/302 showings |   5460/25756 seats left   | 78.80% sold]

*EM (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the two extra theaters I now have tracking info for.

*EM (adj-v) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theater that I did not have access during Venom's run.

 

----

 

2.2879x as many tickets sold as Black Panther at stop of tracking.            [57.65m]
2.2797x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 at stop of tracking.               [42.40m]
3.2028x as many tickets sold as Solo at stop of tracking.                          [45.16m]
2.9770x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom at stop of tracking.         [45.55m]
4.0263x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man & the Wasp at stop of tracking. [46.30m]
4.5172x as many tickets sold as Venom at stop of tracking.                      [45.17m]

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in more theaters locally.

 

BP (final):     8104 tickets sold at stop [26 sellouts/136 showings |  3377/11481 seats left  | 70.59% sold]

DP2 (final):   8133 tickets sold at stop [3 sellouts/169 showings   |  8357/16490 seats left  | 49.32% sold]

Solo (final):  5789 tickets sold at stop [5 sellouts/143 showings    |  7732/13521 seats left | 42.81% sold]

JW2 (final):   6228 tickets sold at stop [1 sellout/147 showings     |  7487/13715 seats left | 45.41% sold]

AM2 (final)   4605 tickets sold at stop [0 sellouts/114 showings    |  6515/11120 seats left | 41.41% sold]

EG (adj*):   18541 tickets sold so far   [41 sellouts/302 showings  | 4958/23499 seats left  | 78.90% sold]

---

Venom (final)   4493 tickets sold at stop [0 sellouts/127 showings   |  8736/13229 seats left | 33.96% sold]

EG(adj-v)       20296 tickets sold so far   [41 sellouts/302 showings |  5460/25756 seats left | 78.80% sold]

*EM (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for.

*EM (adj-v) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theater that I did not have access during Venom's run.

 

 

 

WEEKEND INFO: (all IW information is for 2 days before release)

Fri:   2 sellouts/522 showings (+0/+133) [IW: 0/332]

Sat:  1   sellout/518 showings (+0/+129) [IW: 0/332]

Sun: 0 sellouts/476 showings (+0/+110) [IW: 0/321]

 

Sellouts:  41/302  (+10/+19) [2D: 34/248 (+9/+17) | 3D: 7/54 (+1/+2)]

 

Breakdown of seat information in spoiler box:

Spoiler

Reserved seating information: 257 screens [+16]  [IW: 121 reserved seating info at same point in time]

 

100%:    41* [+10] [IW: 8]

90-95%: 62  [-1]   [IW: 15]

80-89%: 58  [+9]  [IW: 35]

70-79%: 34  [-1]  [IW: 27]

60-69%: 20  [-3]  [IW: 12]

50-59%:   9  [-1]  [IW: 8]

40-49%:   4  [+3] [IW: 2]

30-39%:   6  [nc]  [IW: 1]

20-29%:   9  [+5] [IW: 6]

10-19%:   8  [nc]  [IW: 1]

0-9%:     10  [-4]  [IW: 6]

 

* includes four sellouts from non-reserved seating showings

[BeastByTheBay]

45 minutes ago, Caladbolg said:

No doubt the OW record is falling again. But if it goes over $300m, how long will that stand? The longest it’s been before it was broken again is about 4 years or so going back to ‘75.

It'll have to be some crazy crossover flick like Gundam x Godzilla Universe with big names attached

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, TalismanRing said:

So much counting....

I know EXACTLY what you mean.

 

I think I caught all my errors before publishing.  But my spreadsheets have gotten so fucked up in all the insanity that I can't be sure there isn't at least a few errors that I didn't catch before hitting Submit Post.  Especially since I added Venom and Ant-Man and the Wasp comps tonight (those are the areas with the biggest potential for errors).

 

Def gonna take some time out tomorrow and go through things with a fine tooth comb to make sure there aren't any errors for Wed or Thr reports.

[Porthos]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Avengers: Endgame Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	41	302	5738	27942	79.46%

(NOTE: I do not count wheelchair slots or wheelchair assistant seats in any of my sellout or seat chart counts)

 

A point.

 

Infinity War finished with 29 'pure' sellouts and 59 'adjusted' sellouts (29 pure sellouts plus 30 showings with six regular seats or less left).

 

EG is already approaching the adjusted sellout number.  Its adjusted sellout number currently is 46.

 

*checks notes*

 

I'm sorry, I meant to say there are 46 showings between 1 and 6 seats left.  That means the sellout count locally will be AT LEAST 87.

 

87 virtual sellouts.

 

Two days away.

 

And this didn't count any showings with 8 to 12 seats left.

 

Oof.

 

 

[Cap]

Didn't have time between the packing for this weekend to get a full update, but I have a long-ish bus ride tomorrow.

 

Southern Maine IMAX Theater

Sold	4/2	4/9	4/14	4/24	Cap	Current %
IMAX
Thursday	463	582	572	694	837	82.91
Friday	510	644	715	1019	1922	53.01
Saturday	377	502	541	927	1922	48.23
Sunday	167	298	357	531	1769	30.01
Sub Total	1517	2036	2185	3171	6450	49.16

 

They added two shows (1:00PM and 1:30PM), on all FSS, which is silly to me.  They need another 6:15PM and 7:15PM on Friday, not at 1PM.  But, at this point, I don't think it matters -- since everything with be Avengers by Thursday. I'm just side-eying ATM.)

 

*goes back to Spoiler Free, No Internet Land*

[DAJK]

If this breaks 300 nothing is matching it until inflation catches up. I don’t see any movie, ever, or at least in the next few decades, matching today’s equivalent of 300M OW

Edited April 24, 2019 by DAJK

[Ledmonkey96]

Just 1.5 days to go.

[Porthos]

I honestly think this might hit 120 (adjusted) sellouts locally.

 

And, remember, I stop tracking about 30 minutes or so before the main showings (give or take), so I won't catch any (near-)sellouts after 6pm.  In this case I'll probably do the final count between 4:30pm and 5:30pm my time (making sure to hit the 5 fan events before they close out).  It's been taking me about an hour to compile the raw data, so that time frame probably works.

 

If not 120, 100 is almost a certainty.

 

100+ opening night sellouts.  When there are over 1800 showings during the OW. 

 

Insanity.

[DeeCee]

I just counted 60 sellouts from now onwards, in metro Sydney at Event Cinemas only. That’s probably excluding about two thirds of the market plus all the sellouts at Event earlier in the day. 

[HouseOfTheSun]

Smaller cinemark near me opened 2 shows for Thursday and seats evaporate within 18 hours. The way this is going, there is simply way too much demand to not have mass spillover into the weekdays 

Edited April 24, 2019 by HouseOfTheSun

[xiazhi]

2 hours ago, Caladbolg said:

No doubt the OW record is falling again. But if it goes over $300m, how long will that stand? The longest it’s been before it was broken again is about 4 years or so going back to ‘75.

Depends on when avengers 5 comes out.

[pepsa]

12 minutes ago, xiazhi said:

Depends on when avengers 5 comes out.

Avengers 5 probably won't be as hyped especialy not in US and Europe because these markets don't grow anymore.

[JimiQ]

5 minutes ago, pepsa said:

Avengers 5 probably won't be as hyped especialy not in US and Europe because these markets don't grow anymore.

Avengers 5 will probably include X-men and will see return of some of OG6 avengers

[TalismanRing]

45 minutes ago, JimiQ said:

Avengers 5 will probably include X-men and will see return of some of OG6 avengers

Maybe Avengers 6 unless they're going to wait 7 or 8 years for the next one.

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

Right before Opening Sellout report for AEG(only tracked the biggest theater chain)

 

84 Sell Outs

14 near sell out

 

The theaters kept adding showing throughout the week and they were selling out at an instant.

 

It's crazy and unlike anything I have seen before.Basically like 3 showings have still seats available but they are for the front rows.

 

Comp from last weekend's report:

+46 sold  out showings

-1 near sold out showings

 

Edited April 24, 2019 by TheDarkKnightOfSteel

[Boxofficerules]

4 hours ago, DAJK said:

If this breaks 300 nothing is matching it until inflation catches up. I don’t see any movie, ever, or at least in the next few decades, matching today’s equivalent of 300M OW

What about the Playmobil movie?

[cdsacken]

1 hour ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

Right before Opening Sellout report for AEG(only tracked the biggest theater chain)

 

84 Sell Outs

14 near sell out

 

The theaters kept adding showing throughout the week and they were selling out at an instant.

 

It's crazy and unlike anything I have seen before.Basically like 3 showings have still seats available but they are for the front rows.

 

Comp from last weekend's report:

+46 sold  out showings

-1 near sold out showings

 

So true. I looked at several theaters around Cambridge and in smaller towns. A week ago several had a couple seats for the premier. Now basically all of them are sold out, that did not happen for Infinity War.

[DeeCee]

The 10:40pm at Event George St in a 400+ seat regular theatre has 4 seats left. 

 

The 11:15pm in the 806 seat theatre has about 25 seats left. 

 

They’ve added a 1:15am VMAX in the last few hours. 

[CloneWars]

So, at one theater, a 30 screen one, it has 62 showtimes for Thursday, but only 69 for Saturday. Also, 17 screens are being used for other films and 13 for EG. La Llorna has 3 screens. The other films 1, or in some cases sharing a screen actually. I'm a bit surprised actually. I thought EG would have more like 17 screens vs. the 13 it's getting. Also, it has a 4am Saturday/early Sunday Dolby showing that is nearly sold out. Actually, most showings are mostly sold out except the super, super late ones.