The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

BATB got to 1.46m after 2 weeks at MTC

 

 

 

So TLK will have done 3-4x the PS that BATB did in its first 2 weeks. Obviously that was almost 30 months ago, so it’s hard to make a great comp but it’s a good sign.

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, Menor said:

I think it was Charlie who said that. Definitely on Pulse summer releases had way better PS to OW multis than March releases, idk whether it holds for total PS.

Thanks. I did not know @Charlie Jatinder has access to PS data as well? Do we have real time data for future dates?

[Menor the Destroyer]

29 minutes ago, Porthos said:

8.2m, yes.

He corrected that number to 10m at some point iirc

[ZeeSoh]

2 hours ago, Deep Wang said:

FFH - 8.3m

M - 190k

 

TLK - 2.6m

 

 

For FFH these are the closest comps I could find

 

GotG2 - 8.1(D-1, one day before release)

Justice League - 5.6 (same as above)

SMH - 4.8 (same as above)

Thor Ragnarok - 4.5 (day of release)

 

For TLK:-

 

Captain Marvel - 3.4m (24 days from release, I dont know how long it had been on PS for at this point)

BatB - 3.27 (10 days from release)

[Menor the Destroyer]

11 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

For FFH these are the closest comps I could find

 

GotG2 - 8.1(D-1, one day before release)

Justice League - 5.6 (same as above)

SMH - 4.8 (same as above)

Thor Ragnarok - 4.5 (day of release)

 

For TLK:-

 

Captain Marvel - 3.4m (24 days from release, I dont know how long it had been on PS for at this point)

BatB - 3.27 (10 days from release)

CM had a 58 day presale run, so it had been selling for 34 days. However majority of that was done within the first week, it had 1.8m in its first 3 days. Piggybacking some FFH thoughts onto this I do think it's interesting that GOTG2's presales were so much higher than SMH and Ragnarok despite it's OW being proportionally not nearly that much higher. This is what I'm thinking will happen with CM vs FFH comps (and the difference between those is definitely exacerbated by a lack of previews), especially given how strongly the movie opened in China and Japan (yes I know those aren't perfect indicators).

Edited July 1, 2019 by Menor

[ZeeSoh]

3 hours ago, Deep Wang said:

FFH - 8.3m

M - 190k

 

TLK - 2.6m

 

 

For Midsommar the only comparable horror comp I have is Jigsaw which was at 212k a day before previews began. 

[Fanboy]

21 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

For Midsommar the only comparable horror comp I have is Jigsaw which was at 212k a day before previews began. 

I guess that's pretty good then? It was selling pretty consistently with Annabelle Comes Home before Pulse went down. 

[Doctor Stark]

So with Movie Tickets and Pulse gone, do we just have our own theaters for tracking information? That sucks, though at least we’ll be a bit more surprised, I guess.

[Sunny Max]

1 minute ago, Doctor Stark said:

So with Movie Tickets and Pulse gone, do we just have our own theaters for tracking information? That sucks, though at least we’ll be a bit more surprised, I guess.

Yeah ... now we need to track Theater-wise ...  

[ZeeSoh]

39 minutes ago, Fanboy said:

I guess that's pretty good then? It was selling pretty consistently with Annabelle Comes Home before Pulse went down. 

Yeah its good that it is ahead of Jigsaw (which being a sequel in a long franchise should have had some rush for presales). That opened to 16.6m over 3 days. Deadline is saying 8-10m over 5 days for Midsommar. But with this PS, that 8-10m number seems low. 

[XXR vs XXR]

Spider-Man: Far From Home -- AMC Willowbrook 24 -- 4 Hours to Midnights/OD

 

 

Dolby Prime: 6 show times, 809 tickets sold out of 1230 available (65.77%) 

3D: 13 show times, 144 tickets sold out of 1057 available (13.62%)

Digital: 13 show times, 633 tickets sold out of 1429 available (44.30%)

Sensory Friendly: 1 show time, 17 tickets sold out of 44 available (38.64%)

 

Total: 33 show times, 1603 tickets sold out of 3760 available (42.63%)

 

 

 

Comps

Avengers: Endgame - 3623 tickets sold by 5:30pm on previews night gt

Avengers: Infinity War - 2449 tickets sold by 8:30pm on Wednesday before previews night

Captain Marvel - 1140 tickets sold by 5:30pm on Wednesday before previews night

 

Note: 

I'm not quite sure what happened, but the IMAX screenings disappeared and the typical IMAX theater (151 reclining seats) is now showing up only as digital. 

 

Final Prediction

Looking at all of the data and going with my general knowledge of the market, I'm predicting a $42-$44m OD.

 

[Biggestgeekever]

 

[Porthos]

 

(PULSE) PROGRAMMER'S RHAPSODY

 

Was this a real job?
Was it just fantasy?

 

Caught in a downsize
No escape from reality

 

Boot up your laptop
Browse up to the bookmarks and see

 

I'm just a poor temp, I need no sympathy
Because you'll easy comp, easy adjust
A little high, a little low

 

Anyway the film bows, doesn't really matter to me. To me

 

BOT, just killed an app
Put an pointer against its code
Clicked my mouse, now it's dead

 

BOT, CoolEric had just begun
But now I've gone and thrown it in the Trash

 

BOT, oh oh 
Didn't mean to make you cry
If it's not back again this time tomorrow
Carry on, carry on, as if nothing really tracked...

 

Too late, my sacking has come
Sends shivers down my spine
Apps evolving all the time
Goodbye everybody it had to go

 

Gotta leave you all behind and face the trades
BOT, oh oh (anyway the film bows)
I don't want to leave.
Sometimes wish I'd never been hired at all

 

I see a little script from a website
akvalley, akvalley why did you track the Fandango?

 

Databases and scrapers very very frightening me
Gallileo, Gallileo, Gallileo, Gallileo, Gallileo, figaro, magnifico

 

I'm just a poor temp and nobody loves me
He's just a poor temp from an temp agency
Spare him his work from this drudgery

 

Easy comp easy 'just will you let BOT track?

 

Fan-dan-go will not let you track (let BOT track!)
Fan-dan-go will not let you track (let BOT track!)
Fan-dan-go will not let you track (let BOT track!)
(Will not let BOT track) let you track (never, never let BOT track) let you track (never let BOT track)

 

Oh oh no, no, no, no, no, no, no
Oh mama mia, mama mia, mama mia let BOT track

Oh oh no, no, no, no, no, no, no
Oh 

 

Tinalera has a mask put aside for me for me for me

 

So you think you can fire me and spit in my eye
So you think you can dump me and leave my app to die

 

Oh Pulse... can't do this to my Pulse
Just gotta have Atom... just gotta have Atom hire me
Oh oh oh yeah, oh oh yeah

Nothing's really matters
Anyone can see
Nothing really matters 
Nothing really matters to me

 

Anyway the film bows

[FlashMaster659]

6 hours ago, FlashMaster659 said:

 

Spider-Man: Far From Home - AMC Ontario Mills (Monday)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

12:01 AM - 177/203

3:15 AM - 65/203

 

RealD 3D

 

12:30 AM - 28/167

 

2D

 

1:00 AM - 69/217

2:00 AM - 7/167

 

Total

 

346(+69)/957 (36.2%)

 

0.0816x as many seats sold as Avengers: Endgame mid-day of previews

 

Spider-Man: Far From Home - AMC Ontario Mills (Monday)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

12:01 AM - 182/203

3:15 AM - 82/203

 

RealD 3D

 

12:30 AM - 44/167

 

2D

 

1:00 AM - 88/217

2:00 AM - 11/167

 

Total

 

407(+61)/957 (42.5%)

 

0.0960x as many seats sold as Avengers: Endgame ~5.5 hours before previews

[Eric Loves Rey]

12 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

(PULSE) PROGRAMMER'S RHAPSODY

 

Was this a real job?
Was it just fantasy?

 

Caught in a downsize
No escape from reality

 

Boot up your laptop
Browse up to the bookmarks and see

 

I'm just a poor temp, I need no sympathy
Because you'll easy comp, easy adjust
A little high, a little low

 

Anyway the film bows, doesn't really matter to me. To me

 

BOT, just killed an app
Put an pointer against its code
Clicked my mouse, now it's dead

 

BOT, CoolEric had just begun
But now I've gone and thrown it in the Trash

 

BOT, oh oh 
Didn't mean to make you cry
If it's not back again this time tomorrow
Carry on, carry on, as if nothing really tracked...

 

Too late, my sacking has come
Sends shivers down my spine
Apps evolving all the time
Goodbye everybody it had to go

 

Gotta leave you all behind and face the trades
BOT, oh oh (anyway the film bows)
I don't want to leave.
Sometimes wish I'd never been hired at all

 

I see a little script from a website
akvalley, akvalley why did you track the Fandango?

 

Databases and scrapers very very frightening me
Gallileo, Gallileo, Gallileo, Gallileo, Gallileo, figaro, magnifico

 

I'm just a poor temp and nobody loves me
He's just a poor temp from an temp agency
Spare him his work from this drudgery

 

Easy comp easy 'just will you let BOT track?

 

Fan-dan-go will not let you track (let BOT track!)
Fan-dan-go will not let you track (let BOT track!)
Fan-dan-go will not let you track (let BOT track!)
(Will not let BOT track) let you track (never, never let BOT track) let you track (never let BOT track)

 

Oh oh no, no, no, no, no, no, no
Oh mama mia, mama mia, mama mia let BOT track

Oh oh no, no, no, no, no, no, no
Oh 

 

Tinalera has a mask put aside for me for me for me

 

So you think you can fire me and spit in my eye
So you think you can dump me and leave my app to die

 

Oh Pulse... can't do this to my Pulse
Just gotta have Atom... just gotta have Atom hire me
Oh oh oh yeah, oh oh yeah

Nothing's really matters
Anyone can see
Nothing really matters 
Nothing really matters to me

 

Anyway the film bows

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/30/2019 at 4:46 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Far From Home July 1&2 Showings Denver Metro Area

 

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

12:01 AM – 85/411(+6)

8:45 AM – 24/411(+3)

12 PM – 34/411(+1)

3:15 PM – 24/411(+2)

6:30 PM – 206/411(+4)

9:45 PM – 67/411(+6)

 

Real D 3D:

12:01 AM – 4/56

9:45 AM – 0/56

1 PM – 0/56

4:15 PM – 0/56

7:30 PM – 25/56(+13)

10:45 PM – 0/56

 

Prime 3D:

12:01 AM – 20/187(+4)

10:15 AM – 14/187

1:30 PM – 14/187(+2)

4:45 PM – 41/187(+9)

8 PM – 68/187(+7)

11:15 PM – 11/187(+4)

 

2D:

12:01 AM – 36/158(+6)

9:30 AM – 7/48(+1)

10:45 AM – 90/158(+7)

12:45 PM – 8/48(+8)

2 PM – 83/158(+21)

4 PM – 19/48(+2)

5:15 PM – 124/158(+6)

7:15 PM – 34/48(+11)

8:30 PM – 125/158(+1)

10:30 PM – 20/48(+16)

11:45 PM – 6/158(+6)

 

Dolby:

12:01 AM – 102/217(+4)

9:15 AM – 66/217(+5)

12:30 PM – 67/217(+2)

3:45 PM – 104/217(+12)

7 PM – 184/217(+5)

10:15 PM – 94/217(+7)

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

12:01 AM – 71/384(+9)

10 AM – 23/384(+5)

1:15 PM – 21/384(+4)

4:30 PM – 49/384(+12)

7:45 PM – 144/384(+12)

10:50 PM – 12/384

 

Real D 3D:

12:01 AM – 5/85(+3)

11 AM – 10/52(+4)

2:15 PM – 7/52

5:30 PM – 34/52

8:45 PM – 10/52(+5)

 

Dolby:

12:01 AM – 103/210(+21)

9:15 AM – 62/210(+5)

12:30 PM – 82/210(+14)

3:45 PM – 122/210(+7)

7 PM – 179/210(+1)

10:10 PM – 103/210(+9)

 

2D:

12:01 AM – 56/159(+3)

9 AM – 43/85(+30)

10:30 AM – 92/159

12:05 PM – 27/85(+14)

1:45 PM – 65/159(+8)

3:15 PM – 35/85(+21)

5 PM – 117/159(+1)

6:30 PM – 51/85(+1)

8:15 PM – 122/159

8:30 PM – 107/159(+54)

9:40 PM – 28/85(+8)

 

 

 

Total from 5 theaters:  4799(+616)/22686(21.2%(+2.8%))

Far From Home July 1&2 Showings Denver Metro Area

 

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

12:01 AM – 117/411(+32)

8:45 AM – 37/411(+13)

12 PM – 38/411(+4)

3:15 PM – 27/411(+3)

6:30 PM – 253/411(+46)

9:45 PM – 86/411(+19)

 

Real D 3D:

12:01 AM – 8/56(+4)

9:45 AM – 2/56(+2)

1 PM – 3/56(+3)

4:15 PM – 7/56(+7)

7:30 PM – 33/56(+8)

10:45 PM – 0/56

 

Prime 3D:

12:01 AM – 44/187(+24)

10:15 AM – 30/187(+16)

1:30 PM – 23/187(+9)

4:45 PM – 61/187(+20)

8 PM – 109/187(+41)

11:15 PM – 11/187

 

2D:

12:01 AM – 69/158(+33)

NEW: 12:01 AM – 28/92(+28)

9:30 AM – 37/48(+30)

10:45 AM – 114/158(+24)

12:45 PM – 31/48(+23)

2 PM – 110/158(+27)

4 PM – 40/48(+21)

5:15 PM – 128/158(+4)

7:15 PM – 42/48(+8)

8:30 PM – 128/158(+3)

10:30 PM – 22/48(+2)

11:45 PM – 7/158(+1)

 

Dolby:

12:01 AM – 155/217(+53)

9:15 AM – 102/217(+36)

12:30 PM – 98/217(+31)

3:45 PM – 129/217(+25)

7 PM – 185/217(+1)

10:15 PM – 110/217(+16)

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

12:01 AM – 125/384(+54)

10 AM – 41/384(+18)

1:15 PM – 40/384(+19)

4:30 PM – 81/384(+32)

7:45 PM – 222/384(+78)

10:50 PM – 17/384(+5)

 

Real D 3D:

12:01 AM – 15/85(+10)

11 AM – 28/52(+18)

2:15 PM – 7/52

5:30 PM – 37/52(+3)

8:45 PM – 14/52(+4)

 

Dolby:

12:01 AM – 157/210(+54)

9:15 AM – 89/210(+27)

12:30 PM – 116/210(+34)

3:45 PM – 145/210(+23)

7 PM – 178/210(-1)

10:10 PM – 116/210(+13)

 

2D:

12:01 AM – 120/159(+64)

9 AM – 44/85(+1)

10:30 AM – 110/159(+18)

12:05 PM – 40/85(+13)

1:45 PM – 85/159(+20)

3:15 PM – 44/85(+9)

5 PM – 117/159

6:30 PM – 58/85(+7)

8:15 PM – 124/159(+2)

8:30 PM – 117/159(+10)

9:40 PM – 50/85(+22)

 

Total from 5 theaters:  6352(+1553)/22716(+30) (28%(+6.8%))

 

1193(+586)/4014 (29.7%) for the midnight showings 

 

Some awesome jumps. Wish I had started doing this a long time ago so I could have some comps. But I’ll just stick my prediction of 47M on here. Also the seat count only jumped by 30 because a showing got removed that showed as sold out, but I guess it was a glitch or something. 

[UserHN]

Lol. Fandango had a spy lurking here on BOT.

[XXR vs XXR]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

(PULSE) PROGRAMMER'S RHAPSODY

 

I changed my reaction to this so you’d have at least one of every reaction. I wonder if that’s the first post to accomplish that?

 

Congrats!!

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

I changed my reaction to this so you’d have at least one of every reaction. I wonder if that’s the first post to accomplish that?

 

Congrats!!

It's rare, but it happens. Would be my first one, IIRC.

 

Thanks for the finishing touch.

 

EDIT:::

 

If you meant to put a "Sad Tennant" on there it isn't showing up on my end.  You might have removed it when you tried to change it, @VenomXXR

Edited July 2, 2019 by Porthos

[Fanboy]

1 hour ago, Biggestgeekever said:

 

Where did all these theatres for every big release come from? Were there are a couple hundred that just opened in the last year all of a sudden?