The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[keysersoze123]

9 minutes ago, el sid said:

Just Mercy, counted a bit earlier today, had 318/510 sold tickets. For comparison, 21 Bridges had on Thursday 346/475 sold tickets, Black and Blue 244/262.

Underwater, also counted a bit earlier, had today 239/260 sold tickets in still 9 theaters (without San Francisco). For comparison: Charlie's Angels had on Thursday 344/550 sold tickets (without SF 246/383), Crawl 417/334 (without SF 326/251). 

1917, counted today at 11am EST:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): no showtimes (!)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 175 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 269 (total tickets sold for Friday, 6 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 139 / 189 (10 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 124 / 280 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 35 / 53 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): showtimes): - / 44 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 69 / 77 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 287 / 229 (10 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 131 / 182 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 364 / 377 (9 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 8/9 theaters till today for Thursday: 1.374 and for Friday: 1.700.

Comps: Midway had on Thursday 398/497 sold tickets, Angel has Fallen 654/580 and Ford v Ferrari (31.5M OW) had 1.116/1.516 (without NY 1.001/1.360).
So (also) in my theaters it's in front of F v F. Both movies counted without NY would at the moment indeed mean an OW for 1917 of ca. 40M.
And if it would follow AHF or Midway walk up-wise it would do great anyway.

Can you add few Regals as we dont have data from Regal. 

[titanic2187]

I think at this point The Revenant may be the best comparison. 

 

Both have limited screening over the holiday and with Golden globe before its wide release and have their Oscar nomination in the 2nd MLK weekend of the wide release 

[Coldbird]

So bad boys sold nearly 10 times more tickets in the last week than Dolittle? LMAO

[el sid]

44 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Can you add few Regals as we dont have data from Regal. 

Unfortunately Regal theaters don't work for me, probably because of my habitat. The page where you can choose your seat mostly isn't openable and if I log in I see the prize list first and can not go on...
Edit: E.g. today it worked when I selected 1 ticket and pushed "next" but this is not always the case.

Edited January 9, 2020 by el sid

[Inceptionzq]

 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

1917 is nearly sold out at my Pitt Cinemark. All that’s left for the 7pm show is the front rows

Comparing it to other theaters, it’s nearly sold out tonight at the AMC, only handful of front row seats Ieft

 

[Eric Duncan]

1917 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	1,137	6,609	17.20%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 4

Total Seats Added Today: 1,250

Total Seats Sold Today: 620

 

Comp

2.354x of Angel Has Fallen (3.53M)

2.399x of Ad Astra (3.60M)

2.682x of Rambo (3.49M)

1.305x of Terminator (3.07M)

5.099x of Midway (4.72M)

2.850x of Ford v Ferrari (5.98M)

4.797x of Neighborhood (4.32M)

 

Well shit. With numbers like these, 45M isn't even out of the question. Of course anything over 30M would be an amazing accomplishment, and that's not to say this movie is doing bad if it doesn't hit these high numbers, but the potential looks to be there.

[Eric Duncan]

Just Mercy Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	35	403	4,675	8.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 224

 

Comp

0.544x of Gemini Man (870K)

0.595x of Black and Blue (402K)

0.816x of Harriet (489K)

0.692x of 21 Bridges (485K)

 

Yeah this looks like it's following the footsteps of Goldfinch/Good Liar. Ah well.

[Eric Duncan]

Like a Boss Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	34	418	4,864	3.47%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 200

Total Seats Sold Today: 256

 

Comp

1.665x of Stuber (1.25M)

0.595x of Good Boys (1.25M)

0.385x of Hustlers (963K)

 

Decided to drop the other comps, since I feel like they'll be way too low. Guess that number is fine enough for a low teens opening, which is passable enough for comedies these days

[Eric Duncan]

Underwater Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	18	182	2,322	3.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 92

 

Comp

0.424x of Crawl (424K)

0.280x of Scary Stories (651K)

0.938x of 47 Meters Down (484K)

0.910x of Countdown (469K)

0.486x of Doctor Sleep (730K)

1.221x of Black Christmas (281K)

0.336x of The Grudge (604K)

 

Well...at least 1917's doing good.

[Inceptionzq]

On 1/8/2020 at 2:42 PM, Inceptionzq said:

1917 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

161

842

19.12%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

174

753

23.11%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
700	211	5015	13.96%	9	31

 

Showings added: 10

Seats added: 1441

 

Ford v Ferrari comp: 4.40M

Terminator comp: 4.95M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 4.77M

Adjusted Rambo comp: 6.19M

Adjusted Ad Astra comp: 4.50M

1917 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

318

842

37.77%

AMC Highlands Ranch

Total

317

528

60.04%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1533	833	4687	32.71%	9	33

 

Showings added: 2

Total Seats removed: 328

 

Ford v Ferrari comp: 4.29M

Terminator comp: 3.85M

Gemini Man comp: 4.56M

Rambo comp: 4.23M

Ad Astra comp: 3.48M

 

The loss of seats is due to some of the showings moving to smaller auditoriums. But nothing to really worry about. The comps fell back down to Earth a little bit. But I'm still pretty confident in it hitting 4M previews. Even if it has late walkups as poor as Terminator, it'll still get close. But I think it'll have better walkups. So I'll go with 4.05M. 

[DAJK]

Haven't done comps yet but based on early shows I'm expecting some doozy numbers

[keysersoze123]

Quick update on 1917 prev.

 

its at  46965/132146 679959.96(779 shows). it increased slightly less than what I expected. I would say range is ~ 3.3m depending on how much MTC1 overindexes. 

 

Comps

Knives Out Final -   43016/108056 538765.71 (773 shows)

Ford vs Ferrari Final - 31459/161048 474271.77 (874 shows)

 

Knives out had early screenings and somehow over indexed big time at MTC1. Hope that does not happen for 1917. 

 

 

[Eric Duncan]

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	49	5,272	0.93%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

0.312x of Maleficent 7 days before release (718K)

0.352x of Jumanji (1.66M)

 

 

😬

[JB33]

31 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Quick update on 1917 prev.

 

its at  46965/132146 679959.96(779 shows). it increased slightly less than what I expected. I would say range is ~ 3.3m depending on how much MTC1 overindexes. 

 

Comps

Knives Out Final -   43016/108056 538765.71 (773 shows)

Ford vs Ferrari Final - 

31459/161048 474271.77 (874 shows)

 

Knives out had early screenings and somehow over indexed big time at MTC1. Hope that does not happen for 1917. 

 

 

@keysersoze123 Are you still seeing a show count problem with regards to 1917 getting to $40M or is that becoming more plausible now?

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, JB33 said:

@keysersoze123 Are you still seeing a show count problem with regards to 1917 getting to $40M or is that becoming more plausible now?

Release is not huge but its possible to hit 40m if it fills up its prime time shows. 

 

 OD PS - 45576/412075 676996.13 (2188 shows)

 

it needs to triple its PS by end of day tomorrow to hit double digits pure friday. it needs 11-12m true friday to keep 40m in play as sunday drop will be big. So let us wait and watch how things go. 

Edited January 10, 2020 by keysersoze123

[JB33]

2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Release is not huge but its possible to hit 40m if it fills up its prime time shows. 

 

 OD PS - 45576/412075 676996.13 (2188 shows)

 

it needs to triple its PS by end of day tomorrow to hit double digits pure friday. it needs 11-12m true friday to keep 40m in play as sunday drop will be big. So let us wait and watch how things go. 

Out of reactions, but thank you for the response. Indeed, we'll see. Really rooting for over $40M though. It would make for one of the top January openings (I count wide expansions as "openings").

[DAJK]

Why the heck does Universal not seem to care about marketing a 200M tentpole? Even if its bad, as long as they could get word out, RDJ and the barren January for families could at least pull better numbers than the movie seems to be targeting now. 

[Barnack]

18 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Why the heck does Universal not seem to care about marketing a 200M tentpole? Even if its bad, as long as they could get word out, RDJ and the barren January for families could at least pull better numbers than the movie seems to be targeting now. 

It does not look impressive, but is it really not caring type of spending ?:

https://variety.com/2020/film/news/1917-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1203459128/

 

With a big last week it could match up 1917 on the tv side though.

[lorddemaxus]

7 minutes ago, Barnack said:

It does not look impressive, but is it really not caring type of spending ?:

https://variety.com/2020/film/news/1917-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1203459128/

 

With a big last week it could match up 1917 on the tv side though.

Universal seems to usually spends quite a bit on TV advertising. I remember Mortal Engines topping ad spending and we know what happened.