The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[titanic2187]

On 6/4/2021 at 3:15 AM, Tinalera said:

I can only speak for Ontario as different provinces have different rules. I don't know if any other provinces have opened theatres yet (Quebec maybe?), but from what we are hearing here Theatres are in phase 3 as we are about to enter phase 1 with 3 weeks between. Im thinking Early to mid July Theatres in Ontario may finally get open for business. As for rest of Canada, each province has different opening strategies. Porthos response I added details down below. 

 

TL DR: Our province had some issues getting early vacc started. 

 

 

 

Sorry it took a couple of days to respond been busy around here lol. 

Canada is being way too risk-averse. A simple 33% capacity control and mask mandate can mitigate much of the risk.   

[DAJK]

12 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Canada is being way too risk-averse. A simple 33% capacity control and mask mandate can mitigate much of the risk.   

BC theaters are set to open next week

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Fast 9 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

47

848

5.54%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

38

1665

2.28%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
271	40	12923	2.10%	15	63

Fast 9 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

51

848

6.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

55

1665

3.30%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
313	42	12923	2.42%	15	63

[Eric the Fall Guy]

23 hours ago, Eric is Full of Pride said:

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	49	533	5466	9.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 41

 

Comp

2.94x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-20 Before Release (57.03M)

 

It feels...so nice to only worry about one movie

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	49	570	5466	10.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 37

 

Comp

2.262x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-19 Before Release (21.95M)

2.740x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-19 Before Release (53.08M)

[Porthos]

On 6/4/2021 at 11:02 PM, Porthos said:

 

F9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	92	13400	13983	583	4.17%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

34

 

F9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	93	13462	14101	639	4.53%

 

Total Showings Added Today	1
Total Seats Added Today	118
Total Seats Sold Today	56

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/5/2021 at 1:54 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Fast 9 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

51

848

6.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

55

1665

3.30%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
313	42	12923	2.42%	15	63

Fast 9 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

58

848

6.84%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

57

1665

3.42%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
347	34	12923	2.69%	15	63

 

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 8.97M

[Eric the Fall Guy]

On 6/5/2021 at 10:43 PM, Eric is Full of Pride said:

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	49	570	5466	10.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 37

 

Comp

2.262x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-19 Before Release (21.95M)

2.740x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-19 Before Release (53.08M)

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	49	590	5466	10.79%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

1.206x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-18 Before Release (11.71M)

2.458x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri Before Release (47.61M)

[charlie Jatinder]

7 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 8.97M

Man that's awful this early

 

[Ezen Baklattan]

PITTSBURGH TRACKING:

 

The Hitman's Bodyguard's Wife - Advanced Screening
Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
6/11/2021	0	2	25	193	12.95%
In the Heights
Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
6/10/2021	0	9	20	1231	1.62%
6/11/2021	0	13	93	1875	4.96%
Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway
Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
6/10/2021	0	5	27	486	5.56%
6/11/2021	0	8	44	772	5.70%

 

 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

F9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	93	13462	14101	639	4.53%

 

Total Showings Added Today	1
Total Seats Added Today	118
Total Seats Sold Today	56

F9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	93	13414	14101	687	4.87%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

48

 

[Porthos]

Just now, Porthos said:

F9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	93	13414	14101	687	4.87%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

48

 

 

10 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 8.97M

 

3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Man that's awful this early

 

While I don't know how useful a AQP II comp would be (that's why I ain't doing it right now), in Sacto:

 

AQP II [adj] comp:  656/362 ≈ 1.81 x AQP 2 ≈ 8.698m which is pretty in line with Denver.

 

If I want to throw caution to the wind and adjust to hell and back and use a King of the Monsters comp (which is easily the "best" [ie not at all] comp I have right now [due to the fact that GvK had a much different presale pattern])...

 

KotM [adj] comp: 650/372 ≈ 1.75 x KotM ≈ 11m.  Then take that 11m x .9 [for lack of much of Canada] ≈ 9.9m.  That is better... except FF9 has more days of presales than KotM did (6 days versus 2 days), so we're back to a less than stellar start.

 

Picture will keep coming into focus as the days go on, but for now it ain't exactly breaking many posted speed limit signs locally.

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

use a King of the Monsters comp (which is easily the "best" [ie not at all]

you did track Hobbs and Shaw I think. Can use that.

if AQP2 comp is 9M this early, that gotta be really bad because AQP2 isnt supposed to be that fan heavy and more backloaded PS.

[Inceptionzq]

5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

you did track Hobbs and Shaw I think. Can use that.

I also tracked Hobbs and Shaw, and as of 2 days ago(T-19 days), the comp is at 11.08M. Take Canada into account, and it’d be around 10M. Don’t have another comp until T-16 and didn’t start tracking again until T-6 days.

[charlie Jatinder]

Looking back at Hobbs and Shaw #s. The late-est Porthos did was T-7 days, which itself was sort of Ehh. I mean can work out T-8 days as well at 382. 

 

On 7/26/2019 at 11:16 AM, Porthos said:

Hobbs & Shaw Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	58	6144	6597	453	6.87%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                 71

 

The final were

On 8/2/2019 at 6:57 AM, Porthos said:

Hobbs & Shaw Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [5:40pm - 6:15pm]

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	128	11254	14326	3702	21.44%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:           1064 

 

Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

0.9531x as many tickets sold as John Wick 3 at stop of tracking.                [5.43m]

0.7877x as many tickets sold as Aladdin at stop of tracking.                      [5.51m]

0.2799x as many tickets sold as The Lion King at stop of tracking.             [6.44m]

 

[Porthos]

18 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

you did track Hobbs and Shaw I think. Can use that.

 

H&S did practically nothing at the start tho.  Also had about two more weeks of presales than F9 has (edit, 11 days more of presales for H&S to be exact).

 

*check*

 

Snerk.  Even with the eleven day head start for H&S, F9 is about 3.25x H&S at T-18 (yes, I have that data on my home sheets).  Or, after all adjusting: 16.95m

 

"press X to doubt" as the youngin's say. 

 

Quote

if AQP2 comp is 9M this early, that gotta be really bad because AQP2 isnt supposed to be that fan heavy and more backloaded PS.

 

Eh, I think F9 might be following the more classic "U" shape in presales (heavy at the start, long valley, ramp up at the end).  F9's problem is that it wasn't all that strong at the beginning and we have no idea how strong it will be at the end.

Edited June 7, 2021 by Porthos

[LegendaryBen]

7 hours ago, Ezen Baklattan said:

PITTSBURGH TRACKING:

 

The Hitman's Bodyguard's Wife - Advanced Screening
Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
6/11/2021	0	2	25	193	12.95%
In the Heights
Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
6/10/2021	0	9	20	1231	1.62%
6/11/2021	0	13	93	1875	4.96%
Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway
Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
6/10/2021	0	5	27	486	5.56%
6/11/2021	0	8	44	772	5.70%

 

 

Compared to Wednesday, In the Heights went up by 49 tickets. Hopefully, it trending better than PR2 is a great sign of a breakout.

[john2000]

i probably know the answer to that , but does anyone have a prediction based on the info ( if anyone has to begin with) about peter rabbit 2 ?

[WrathOfHan]

Update for my area this Friday (Thursday showings for ITH still haven't been posted):

 

In the Heights:

4:00: 9/107

5:00 Dolby: 24/236

6:00 IMAX: 6/372

7:30: 2/107

8:30 Dolby: 20/236

Total: 61/1,058

 

Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard Early Access: 10/107

 

The House Next Door: Meet the Blacks:

4:40: 2/70

7:10: 3/70

Total: 5/140

 

The late IMAX showing has been cancelled, so I guess hours are changing yet again from the past two weeks. Comparisons:

 

35% of AQP2's Friday the day before (6.8M Friday)

57% of AQP2's previews two days out (2.7M Friday)

74% of Cruella's Friday the day before (5.7M Friday)

290% of Cruella's previews two days out (7M Friday)

210% of Conjuring 3 five days out (20.6M Friday)

 

Cruella is probably the best comparison given the walkup nature + audience/genre gap of Conjuring (and to a lesser extent AQP). So far, these are really encouraging sales as long as walkups are good.

 

 

[LegendaryBen]

@WrathOfHan Thanks for the info. Looking strong for ITH.

[el sid]

In the Heights, counted today at 10am EST:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 84 (7 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 96 (5 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 13 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (1 showtime)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 143 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 240 (5 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters for June 11: 582.
Up 23% since Friday. AQP II had on Monday of its release week 747 sold tickets and The Conjuring 3 had 641 sold tickets. The Thursday previews of In the Heights in LA jumped from 55 last Monday to now 246 sold tickets (up 437%). AQP II had on Monday in LA 296 tickets sold for its Thursday previews.
Other comps: Blinded by the Light (4.3M OW) had 102 sold tickets in 6 theaters (so here 582 tickets minus NY = 498) the last time I counted it which was on Thursday, 1 day before its Friday shows.
Cats (6.6M OW) sold 150 tickets in 6 theaters (again 582 tickets minus NY = 498) on Monday of its release week and for its Thursday previews in LA 67 tickets (would mean around 25M+ at the moment for In the Heights but reviews, fan anticipation and WOM are/will be very different of course).
Overall Idk. The Friday jump could have been better but the Thursday jump is very good. Maybe people realized that this film has previews and pick them (e.g. it has now Thursday shows in Arizona and NY). The next days will bring more clarity, hopefully .