The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[WrathOfHan]

> NEW RELEASES
9	-	The Possession of Hannah Grace	Sony / Screen Gems	2,065	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
37	-	Anna and the Apocalypse	Orion Pictures	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
39	-	Head Full of Honey	Warner Bros.	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
41	-	DriverX	IFC	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
4	4	Creed II	MGM	3,576	+135	+3.9%	-	-	-	-	2
5	5	Instant Family	Paramount	3,376	+90	+2.7%	-	-	-	-	3
6	6	Bohemian Rhapsody	Fox	3,007	+80	+2.7%	-	-	-	-	5
12	12	Green Book	Universal	1,065	+2	+0.2%	-	-	-	-	3
13	23	Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween	Sony / Columbia	871	+692	+386.6%	-	-	-	-	8
28	33	The Old Man & the Gun	Fox Searchlight	114	+23	+25.3%	-	-	-	-	10
30	40	Border	Neon	73	+36	+97.3%	-	-	-	-	6
31	36	Maria by Callas	Sony Classics	69	+14	+25.5%	-	-	-	-	5
34	69	The Favourite	Fox Searchlight	34	+30	+750.0%	-	-	-	-	2
36	82	The World Before Your Feet	Greenwich	7	+5	+250.0%	-	-	-	-	2
> NO CHANGE
1	2	Ralph Breaks the Internet	Buena Vista	4,017	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
7	7	Robin Hood (2018)	Lionsgate/Summit	2,827	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
14	14	The Front Runner	Sony / Columbia	807	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
> DECLINING
2	3	Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018)	Universal	3,929	-31	-0.8%	-	-	-	-	4
3	1	Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald	Warner Bros.	3,851	-312	-7.5%	-	-	-	-	3
8	8	Widows	Fox	2,393	-410	-14.6%	-	-	-	-	3
10	9	The Nutcracker and the Four Realms	Buena Vista	1,392	-365	-20.8%	-	-	-	-	5
11	11	A Star is Born (2018)	Warner Bros.	1,081	-121	-10.1%	-	-	-	-	9
15	15	Boy Erased	Focus Features	660	-12	-1.8%	-	-	-	-	5
16	10	Overlord	Paramount	533	-690	-56.4%	-	-	-	-	4
17	17	Venom (2018)	Sony / Columbia	425	-160	-27.4%	-	-	-	-	9
18	16	Nobody's Fool	Paramount	385	-223	-36.7%	-	-	-	-	5
19	18	Can You Ever Forgive Me?	Fox Searchlight	272	-154	-36.2%	-	-	-	-	7
20	19	Smallfoot	Warner Bros.	265	-36	-12.0%	-	-	-	-	10
21	20	The Hate U Give	Fox	250	-10	-3.8%	-	-	-	-	9
22	13	The Girl in the Spider's Web: A New Dragon Tattoo Story	Sony / Columbia	196	-787	-80.1%	-	-	-	-	4

 

 

Dragon Tattoo is getting a matching TC drop to go with the 86% drop last weekend  

I'm surprised Universal isn't expanding Green Book outside of two theaters. Figured they would've capitalized on the good PTA last week.

Best of luck to Sony with whatever they're trying to accomplish on Goosebumps' expansion.

[Poseidon]

Isn't that 65/100m for Aquaman quite unrealistic? 
National Treasure 2 did 31% of its 5D-result on monday and tuesday in 2007. 

 

Now they expect Aquaman to be more backloaded, even though its friday will be inflated because of previews being more popular?

 

[WrathOfHan]

9:30 Hannah: 24/104

Total: 50/208

[TwoMisfits]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

> NEW RELEASES
9	-	The Possession of Hannah Grace	Sony / Screen Gems	2,065	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
37	-	Anna and the Apocalypse	Orion Pictures	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
39	-	Head Full of Honey	Warner Bros.	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
41	-	DriverX	IFC	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
4	4	Creed II	MGM	3,576	+135	+3.9%	-	-	-	-	2
5	5	Instant Family	Paramount	3,376	+90	+2.7%	-	-	-	-	3
6	6	Bohemian Rhapsody	Fox	3,007	+80	+2.7%	-	-	-	-	5
12	12	Green Book	Universal	1,065	+2	+0.2%	-	-	-	-	3
13	23	Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween	Sony / Columbia	871	+692	+386.6%	-	-	-	-	8
28	33	The Old Man & the Gun	Fox Searchlight	114	+23	+25.3%	-	-	-	-	10
30	40	Border	Neon	73	+36	+97.3%	-	-	-	-	6
31	36	Maria by Callas	Sony Classics	69	+14	+25.5%	-	-	-	-	5
34	69	The Favourite	Fox Searchlight	34	+30	+750.0%	-	-	-	-	2
36	82	The World Before Your Feet	Greenwich	7	+5	+250.0%	-	-	-	-	2
> NO CHANGE
1	2	Ralph Breaks the Internet	Buena Vista	4,017	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
7	7	Robin Hood (2018)	Lionsgate/Summit	2,827	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
14	14	The Front Runner	Sony / Columbia	807	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
> DECLINING
2	3	Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018)	Universal	3,929	-31	-0.8%	-	-	-	-	4
3	1	Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald	Warner Bros.	3,851	-312	-7.5%	-	-	-	-	3
8	8	Widows	Fox	2,393	-410	-14.6%	-	-	-	-	3
10	9	The Nutcracker and the Four Realms	Buena Vista	1,392	-365	-20.8%	-	-	-	-	5
11	11	A Star is Born (2018)	Warner Bros.	1,081	-121	-10.1%	-	-	-	-	9
15	15	Boy Erased	Focus Features	660	-12	-1.8%	-	-	-	-	5
16	10	Overlord	Paramount	533	-690	-56.4%	-	-	-	-	4
17	17	Venom (2018)	Sony / Columbia	425	-160	-27.4%	-	-	-	-	9
18	16	Nobody's Fool	Paramount	385	-223	-36.7%	-	-	-	-	5
19	18	Can You Ever Forgive Me?	Fox Searchlight	272	-154	-36.2%	-	-	-	-	7
20	19	Smallfoot	Warner Bros.	265	-36	-12.0%	-	-	-	-	10
21	20	The Hate U Give	Fox	250	-10	-3.8%	-	-	-	-	9
22	13	The Girl in the Spider's Web: A New Dragon Tattoo Story	Sony / Columbia	196	-787	-80.1%	-	-	-	-	4

 

 

Dragon Tattoo is getting a matching TC drop to go with the 86% drop last weekend  

I'm surprised Universal isn't expanding Green Book outside of two theaters. Figured they would've capitalized on the good PTA last week.

Best of luck to Sony with whatever they're trying to accomplish on Goosebumps' expansion.

Is Grinch a record high for number of screens still held by week 4 for a release that started wide?  Did TFA hold more?  B/c that drop is amazing...

 

EDIT: Okay, TFA did hold all 4134 of its screens 4 weeks (that's what I thought I remembered), but they were down to 3822 for weekend 5...we'll have to see if Grinch can sneak above it for screens in week 5:)...

Edited November 30, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[filmlover]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

> NEW RELEASES
9	-	The Possession of Hannah Grace	Sony / Screen Gems	2,065	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
37	-	Anna and the Apocalypse	Orion Pictures	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
39	-	Head Full of Honey	Warner Bros.	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
41	-	DriverX	IFC	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
4	4	Creed II	MGM	3,576	+135	+3.9%	-	-	-	-	2
5	5	Instant Family	Paramount	3,376	+90	+2.7%	-	-	-	-	3
6	6	Bohemian Rhapsody	Fox	3,007	+80	+2.7%	-	-	-	-	5
12	12	Green Book	Universal	1,065	+2	+0.2%	-	-	-	-	3
13	23	Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween	Sony / Columbia	871	+692	+386.6%	-	-	-	-	8
28	33	The Old Man & the Gun	Fox Searchlight	114	+23	+25.3%	-	-	-	-	10
30	40	Border	Neon	73	+36	+97.3%	-	-	-	-	6
31	36	Maria by Callas	Sony Classics	69	+14	+25.5%	-	-	-	-	5
34	69	The Favourite	Fox Searchlight	34	+30	+750.0%	-	-	-	-	2
36	82	The World Before Your Feet	Greenwich	7	+5	+250.0%	-	-	-	-	2
> NO CHANGE
1	2	Ralph Breaks the Internet	Buena Vista	4,017	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
7	7	Robin Hood (2018)	Lionsgate/Summit	2,827	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
14	14	The Front Runner	Sony / Columbia	807	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
> DECLINING
2	3	Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018)	Universal	3,929	-31	-0.8%	-	-	-	-	4
3	1	Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald	Warner Bros.	3,851	-312	-7.5%	-	-	-	-	3
8	8	Widows	Fox	2,393	-410	-14.6%	-	-	-	-	3
10	9	The Nutcracker and the Four Realms	Buena Vista	1,392	-365	-20.8%	-	-	-	-	5
11	11	A Star is Born (2018)	Warner Bros.	1,081	-121	-10.1%	-	-	-	-	9
15	15	Boy Erased	Focus Features	660	-12	-1.8%	-	-	-	-	5
16	10	Overlord	Paramount	533	-690	-56.4%	-	-	-	-	4
17	17	Venom (2018)	Sony / Columbia	425	-160	-27.4%	-	-	-	-	9
18	16	Nobody's Fool	Paramount	385	-223	-36.7%	-	-	-	-	5
19	18	Can You Ever Forgive Me?	Fox Searchlight	272	-154	-36.2%	-	-	-	-	7
20	19	Smallfoot	Warner Bros.	265	-36	-12.0%	-	-	-	-	10
21	20	The Hate U Give	Fox	250	-10	-3.8%	-	-	-	-	9
22	13	The Girl in the Spider's Web: A New Dragon Tattoo Story	Sony / Columbia	196	-787	-80.1%	-	-	-	-	4

 

 

Dragon Tattoo is getting a matching TC drop to go with the 86% drop last weekend  

I'm surprised Universal isn't expanding Green Book outside of two theaters. Figured they would've capitalized on the good PTA last week.

Best of luck to Sony with whatever they're trying to accomplish on Goosebumps' expansion.

Schindler’s List is apparently opening in 1,000+ theaters next week. Clearly theaters are just gonna accept the quiet period, especially with the busy Christmas season (including two impending juggernauts with Mary Poppins and Aquaman) around the corner.

[TalismanRing]

18 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

9:30 Hannah: 24/104

Total: 50/208

Any comps?

[filmnerdjamie]

Doesn't The Favorite expand next week?

[filmlover]

12 minutes ago, filmnerdjamie said:

Doesn't The Favorite expand next week?

A careful expansion. Fox Searchlight has already said it will be in 600 theaters by December 14.

[WrathOfHan]

25 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Any comps?

It's 60% of Overlord. Using the PTA, that'd be 4.4M

[That One Girl]

11 hours ago, DAJK said:

Mary Poppins - $420

Aquaman - $310

SpiderVerse - $205

Bumblebee $140

The Mule - $110

Vice - $65

Mortal Engines - $50

Deadpool - $20? idk how wide it's even gonna go but there seems to be quite a bit of hype

 

The Mule - $426M

Edited November 30, 2018 by That One Guy

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

9 hours ago, Poseidon said:

Isn't that 65/100m for Aquaman quite unrealistic? 
National Treasure 2 did 31% of its 5D-result on monday and tuesday in 2007. 

 

Now they expect Aquaman to be more backloaded, even though its friday will be inflated because of previews being more popular?

 

Eeehhh it’s a film that will get IMAX screens all for itself and early buzz seems to be that it needs to be seen in IMAX so it’s possible.

[Deep Wang]

ME - 4k

SV - 99k

 

MPR - 194k

 

AM - 310k

BB - 35k

[NamakFiskKa]

3 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

AM - 310k

 

?

[Eric the Ape]

3 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

ME - 4k

SV - 99k

 

MPR - 194k

 

AM - 310k

BB - 35k

That seems good for SV, MPR, and AM, right?

[Premium George]

Can somebody break down that? Any comps?

[ThomasNicole]

4 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

ME - 4k

SV - 99k

 

MPR - 194k

 

AM - 310k

BB - 35k

HUGE for Aquaman and MPR.

 

MPR will easily surpass the tracking released yesterday.

[Eric the Ape]

18 minutes ago, Premium George said:

Can somebody break down that? Any comps?

Sadly DW hasn't done this as much anymore, and the only other arguable comps are BP and IW which are hundreds of posts away, and I can't be bothered to do it.

 

But it seems good for a lot of movies. Spider-Verse has only been on sale for three days (maybe two if DW only has Wednesday and Thursday results), so it getting close to 100K in a short timespan is very, very good. Also good that Mary Poppins is reaching 200K in only 5 days. Aquaman's been out longer at 11 days, but that's also really strong as well.

 

Bumblebee seems pretty weak, as does Mortal Engines.

[Krissykins]

7 hours ago, That One Guy said:

 

The Mule - $426M

Lol that film looks so dry

[TwoMisfits]

7 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Sadly DW hasn't done this as much anymore, and the only other arguable comps are BP and IW which are hundreds of posts away, and I can't be bothered to do it.

 

But it seems good for a lot of movies. Spider-Verse has only been on sale for three days (maybe two if DW only has Wednesday and Thursday results), so it getting close to 100K in a short timespan is very, very good. Also good that Mary Poppins is reaching 200K in only 5 days. Aquaman's been out longer at 11 days, but that's also really strong as well.

 

Bumblebee seems pretty weak, as does Mortal Engines.

Mortal Engines just went on sale last night in my metro area, and even then, only 2 theaters have it posted...it's probably way too early to know what those presales mean with so few theaters selling it...

 

Bumblebee's presales are probably almost all the preview showing...that showing's WOM will probably be crucial to figuring out which way that movie will go...

[Premium George]

5 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Sadly DW hasn't done this as much anymore, and the only other arguable comps are BP and IW which are hundreds of posts away, and I can't be bothered to do it.

 

But it seems good for a lot of movies. Spider-Verse has only been on sale for three days (maybe two if DW only has Wednesday and Thursday results), so it getting close to 100K in a short timespan is very, very good. Also good that Mary Poppins is reaching 200K in only 5 days. Aquaman's been out longer at 11 days, but that's also really strong as well.

 

Bumblebee seems pretty weak, as does Mortal Engines.

Can be have some kind of expectations based on these numbers. Do we have an idea what these numbers can translate for 5-day opening?

That BP post gave us lot of idea, what to expect. Here, I am like, this good, that bad, and nothing more. I am not complaining, thankful that DW is providing some numbers.