The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TalismanRing]

3 hours ago, Manny G said:

No way, you have to keep in mind that Aquaman Tickets went on sale 15 days ago, presales tend to peak on the debuting weak and final weak, so for it to lead the presales on a day by day basis is super impressive. 

Mary Poppins Returns pre-sales started last week so also not a debut week.  The ratio of presales for family movies is far greater than for CBM - especially DC movies. 

[kitik]

My theater finally started selling tickets for Once Upon A Deadpool.

 

Looks like it's getting 7pm showings on Tuesday night. Some folks might be able to get it for half price, though my local theater has switched back and forth on their Tuesday night opener policy a couple times in the past few years. Looks like right now I can get a Deadpool ticket for $5. Your mileage may vary from theater to theater.

[filmlover]

11 hours ago, That One Guy said:

That The Mule number has to be a mistake.  People are gonna line up to see The Mule.

Speaking of which, when is The Mule’s embargo ending? As far as I know nobody’s even seen it yet.

[WrathOfHan]

On 11/27/2018 at 9:13 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Can You Ever Forgive Me?, The Girl in the Spider's Web and A Private War are gone.

 

The Possession of Hannah Grace: 6 (Above Average x0.2 and Average)

2.0: 4 (All 3D; 2 Hindi/1Telugu/1 Tamil; Smallest)

 

Ralph Breaks the Internet: 12 (Down 5; 9 2D/3 3D; Dolby x0.5 and Biggest x2.5)

Creed II: 8 (Down 5; Dolby x0.5 and Biggest x1.5)

Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: 8 (Down 2; Above Average and Average x0.6)

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald: 8 (Down 2 and lost 3D; IMAX and Below Average)

Nobody's Fool: 5 (Up 2; Smallest)

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: 5 (Up 2; Smallest)

Bohemian Rhapsody: 4 (Flat; Average)

Green Book: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

Instant Family: 4 (Down 1; Above Average x0.8)

Robin Hood: 4 (Down 1; Smallest)

A Star Is Born: 4 (Up 2; Below Average)

Widows: 4 (Down 1; Average)

Boy Erased: 2 (Down 3; Smallest x0.4)

The Front Runner: 2 (Down 3; Smallest x0.4)

Overlord: 2 (Flat; Average x0.4)

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween: 1 (Flat; Smallest x0.2)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

  Hide contents

 

IMAX: 372 seats

Dolby: 236 seats

Biggest: 104-107 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Above Average: 77 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Average: 67-70 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Below Average: 51-54 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Smallest: 40 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

 

 

Boy Erased and Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween are gone.

 

Elf 15th Anniversary: 3 (Smallest x0.4)

Schindler's List 25th Anniversary: 3 (Dolby)

The Wife: 3 (Smallest x0.75)

The Hate U Give: 2 (Return; Smallest x0.4)

Venom: 2 (Return: Smallest x0.4)

Halloween: 1 (Return; Biggest x0.2)

 

Creed II: 10 (Up 2; Biggest x1.8, Below Average x0.2, and Smallest x0.25)

Ralph Breaks the Internet: 9 (Down 3 and lost 3D; Biggest x1.8)

Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: 6 (Down 2; 5 2D/1 3D; Above Average)

The Possession of Hannah Grace: 5 (Down 1; Average)

A Star Is Born: 5 (Up 1; IMAX and Below Average x0.2)

Nobody's Fool: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Robin Hood: 5 (Up 1; Smallest)

Widows: 5 (Up 1; Average and Below Average x0.2)

2.0: 4 (Flat; All 3D; 2 Hindi/2 Tamil; Smallest)

Bohemian Rhapsody: 4 (Flat; Average)

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald: 4 (Down 4 and lost 3D; Above Average)

Green Book: 4 (Flat; Average)

Instant Family: 4 (Flat; Below Average x0.8)

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: 3 (Down 2; Smallest x0.6)

Overlord: 2 (Flat; Below Average x0.4)

The Front Runner: 1 (Down 1; Biggest x0.2)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

Spoiler

 

IMAX: 372 seats

Dolby: 236 seats

Biggest: 104-107 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Above Average: 77 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Average: 67-70 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Below Average: 51-54 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Smallest: 40 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

 

 

Edited December 5, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Eric the Ape]

50 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Speaking of which, when is The Mule’s embargo ending? As far as I know nobody’s even seen it yet.

I believe Kristopher Tapley has said that the HFPA has seen it, and I believe they liked it fine, but that's about it.

[Manny G]

Why is the Mule opening wide in the middle of these blockbusters? Shouldn’t it have a limited  release rack up some nominations then go wide in a quieter January? I know that Eastwood has his fanbase but still... many 40-50 years old will be swayed by their wives  to watch MPR. I just don’t see how such movie is commercially viable enough in the holiday time.

[John Marston]

40 minutes ago, Manny G said:

Why is the Mule opening wide in the middle of these blockbusters? Shouldn’t it have a limited  release rack up some nominations then go wide in a quieter January? I know that Eastwood has his fanbase but still... many 40-50 years old will be swayed by their wives  to watch MPR. I just don’t see how such movie is commercially viable enough in the holiday time.

 

 

stars Eastwood and Bradley Cooper and stands out as an adult drama around blockbusters. Seems like a no brainer to me

[That One Girl]

9 hours ago, Manny G said:

Why is the Mule opening wide in the middle of these blockbusters? Shouldn’t it have a limited  release rack up some nominations then go wide in a quieter January? I know that Eastwood has his fanbase but still... many 40-50 years old will be swayed by their wives  to watch MPR. I just don’t see how such movie is commercially viable enough in the holiday time.

 

The people want to see The Mule

[filmlover]

10 hours ago, Manny G said:

Why is the Mule opening wide in the middle of these blockbusters? Shouldn’t it have a limited  release rack up some nominations then go wide in a quieter January? I know that Eastwood has his fanbase but still... many 40-50 years old will be swayed by their wives  to watch MPR. I just don’t see how such movie is commercially viable enough in the holiday time.

The holidays always allow for multiple movies to co-exist at the same time. More so than any other time of year.

[Eric the Ape]

Movie/Day	Monday	Tuesday
Mortal Engines	81	71
The Mule	7	18
Spider-Verse	722	757
Mary Poppins	913	867
Aquaman	1263	1101
Bumblebee	420	450

[Valonqar]

Spiderverse could hit 50M with these PS, no? 

 

ME is dead.

 

The Mule isn't a PS type so who knows though poor PS were an indicator of Last Man and Widows debacles.

 

MPR and Aquaman are slaying. 

 

Poor Bumblebee, it's clear that other 2 movies are siphoning audience interest. 

[filmlover]

Bumblebee will probably end up barely passing $100M like Pitch Perfect 3 did last year. @WrathOfHan‘s girl is starting a trend!

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Bumblebee will probably end up barely passing $100M like Pitch Perfect 3 did last year. @WrathOfHan‘s girl is starting a trend!

It’ll do a bit more than 100M.

[Brainbug]

18 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Movie/Day	Monday	Tuesday
Mortal Engines	81	71
The Mule	7	18
Spider-Verse	722	757
Mary Poppins	913	867
Aquaman	1263	1101
Bumblebee	420	450

 

MPR and Aquaboy are doing great. Bumblee seems solid, Spider-Verse also really solid.

 

The Mule though @That One Guy that has to be a mistake, right?

 

And poor Mortal Engines...id love for it to succeed but it will probably bomb extremely hard.

[That One Girl]

Just now, Brainbug said:

 The Mule though @That One Guy that has to be a mistake, right?

 

 

It won't be long before people are lining up around the block to see The Mule.

[DMan7]

The Mule feels like a live action version of Breaking Bad based off of that trailer. I'm sure that's why people are highly anticipating it. 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, DMan7 said:

The Mule feels like a live action version of Breaking Bad based off of that trailer. I'm sure that's why people are highly anticipating it. 

Also, Clint in his first performance in six years (even though that did nothing for Trouble with the Curve, which marked his first on screen appearance since Gran Torino).

[DMan7]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Also, Clint in his first performance in six years (even though that did nothing for Trouble with the Curve, which marked his first on screen appearance since Gran Torino).

God forbid, it might also be his last performance too, you can never tell with folks his age. Again another reason why people will be circling city blocks to watch this movie. 

[TwoMisfits]

2 hours ago, Brainbug said:

 

MPR and Aquaboy are doing great. Bumblee seems solid, Spider-Verse also really solid.

 

The Mule though @That One Guy that has to be a mistake, right?

 

And poor Mortal Engines...id love for it to succeed but it will probably bomb extremely hard.

For both The Mule and Mortal Engines, very few theaters are even offering presales right now...for my metro area, 3 theaters (of 27) have Mortal Engines for sale...0 theaters have The Mule...they aren't movies that would drive presales more than 10 days out, so the theaters aren't in a rush to "set" yet...

 

If the numbers suck next Monday, then I'd be very worried for both...

[WrathOfHan]

It looks like The Mule is skipping Thursday previews similar to 15:17 to Paris. Theaters that have showtimes up for it don't have any previews going on.