The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Brainbug]

22 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Oh yeah, people might want to see these presales.

 

Movie/Day	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday
Mortal Engines	81	71	116	124
The Mule	7	18	18	54
Spider-Verse	722	757	1365	2056
Mary Poppins	913	867	919	1067
Aquaman	1263	1101	1153	1271
Bumblebee	420	450	474	644
Second Act	0	2	1	3
Marwen	0	0	1	0

 

 

 

Holy smokes at Spider-Man!

Edited December 7, 2018 by Brainbug

[Eric Loves Rey]

33 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Holy smokes at Spider-Man!

It's important to remember that tonight and tomorrow Spider-Verse has preview screenings. We have no idea how much of those tickets being sold are going to those preview screenings. Still great sales tho

[Napoleon]

1 hour ago, CoolEric258 said:

Oh yeah, people might want to see these presales.

 

Movie/Day	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday
Mortal Engines	81	71	116	124
The Mule	7	18	18	54
Spider-Verse	722	757	1365	2056
Mary Poppins	913	867	919	1067
Aquaman	1263	1101	1153	1271
Bumblebee	420	450	474	644
Second Act	0	2	1	3
Marwen	0	0	1	0

 

 

Second Act slaying Welcome to Marwen. JLo single handedly taking down a legendary director and an all star cast.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Napoleon said:

Second Act slaying Welcome to Marwen. JLo single handedly taking down a legendary director and an all star cast.

Where’s that “Not Sure If Serious” gif when you need it.

[Valonqar]

So what opening we are looking for Spiderverse? I was confident in 50M already but thinking to raise it to 60-65M. Thoughts?

[Stewart]

2 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

So what opening we are looking for Spiderverse? I was confident in 50M already but thinking to raise it to 60-65M. Thoughts?

I mean, I might be biased because I just watched it, but I feel this is a mini Black Panther in the making.

 

I'd go with 70M OW with nice long legs to $300m+

 

No, I'm not joking.

 

It appears Hailey Steinfeld gonna win twice this Christmas!

[VTKajin]

12 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

So what opening we are looking for Spiderverse? I was confident in 50M already but thinking to raise it to 60-65M. Thoughts?

I'll be honest, I'm not sure it'll go past $40M. Then again, I don't know how to interpret the presales and I haven't seen any updated tracking on it. So I'm just talking out of my ass right now.

[DMan7]

26 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

So what opening we are looking for Spiderverse? I was confident in 50M already but thinking to raise it to 60-65M. Thoughts?

[DAJK]

I'm thinking high-30's to 40 at this point. Don't wanna get my expectations too out of hand. 

 

Also, I still wouldn't be interested in it at all if it weren't for the reviews. Even the new Gwen clip looks dumb and uninteresting to me. Guess we'll see. 

[Valonqar]

43 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

I mean, I might be biased because I just watched it, but I feel this is a mini Black Panther in the making.

 

I'd go with 70M OW with nice long legs to $300m+

 

No, I'm not joking.

 

It appears Hailey Steinfeld gonna win twice this Christmas!

I'm with you. Think it's possible. Bumblebee will suffer though since it attracts significantly less interest. 

 

Thanks @DMan7  and @DAJK for your input!

[Boxofficerules]

Won’t Once Upon A Deadpool take away all of Spiderverses thunder?

[Nova]

5 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Won’t Once Upon A Deadpool take away all of Spiderverses thunder?

Can’t tell if this is serious or not but the former is being released in 500 theaters. It’ll be lucky with a $10M total gross (if that) 

Edited December 8, 2018 by Nova

[filmlover]

Yeah, this Deadpool thing feels like a total no1curr. Doubt there’s many people interested in watching what is essentially a PG-13 trim of a film where the R rating was its hook.

[YM!]

Spidey Verse seems likely for $30M-$40M, hoping near the latter.

[Jonwo]

$40-45m would be a good start for Spider-Verse and it'll likely very leggy over the holidays. 

[Rumpot]

I'm shocked how reluctant people are to connect the dots and predict above the mental box of tracking or prediction sites.  Seriously...30M, guys??  Take a logical leap or two...

 

-I think it opens 60M+ and runs a multiplier of 4+ 

[MrPink]

I'm sure Spider-Verse will have good legs, but I'm also a little wary of how strong they'll be. Because of the content, I worry there might be a bit of a geek rush to the film relatively speaking. I hope it does well though.

[lorddemaxus]

5 hours ago, feasby007 said:

 

 

I'd go with 70M OW with nice long legs to $300m.

I'll drink my piss if both things happen.

[Rumpot]

35 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

I'll drink my piss if both things happen.

Big deal.  

 

[YM!]

9 hours ago, Rumpot said:

I'm shocked how reluctant people are to connect the dots and predict above the mental box of tracking or prediction sites.  Seriously...30M, guys??  Take a logical leap or two...

 

-I think it opens 60M+ and runs a multiplier of 4+ 

Animated CBMs tend to have higher presales than normal animated movies, and both Grinch and Ralph are still going strong.

 

$30M is more likely than $60M. That said I can see anywhere from $30M-$50M OW.