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Plain Old Tele

What a WONDERful Weekend | WW down only 16% on Sunday. 103M weekend. pg 226

By Plain Old Tele, in Numbers and Data

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted

How my theater is looking today:


WW:

 

10:00: 90/124

11:00 3D: 27/78

12:00: 26/69

1:15: 41/124

2:15 3D: 21/78

3:15: 10/69

4:30: 26/124

5:30 3D: 5/78

6:30 3D: 19/69

7:45: 91/124

8:45 3D: 15/78

9:45 3D: 8/69

11:00 3D: 4/124

Total: 383/1,208

 

CU:

 

10:15: 66/78

11:30: 50/67

12:40 3D: 28/78

3:05: 43/78

5:25 3D: 7/78

7:55: 13/78

10:15 3D: 0/78

Total: 207/535

 

POTC:

 

10:00: 18/78

11:30: 9/113

1:00 3D: 12/60

2:30: 15/113

4:00 3D: 2/60

5:30: 7/113

7:00 3D: 8/60

8:30: 19/113

10:00 3D: 0/60

Total: 90/770

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aabattery Global Phenomenon

aabattery

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

The fact we're on page 12 with no numbers make me think for better or worse, it's going to be a hectic thread

 

We were at, like, 70 with BatB. This is some WEAK SHIT.

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, MrGlass2 said:

 

I doubt it will be significantly higher than for Suicide Squad (46% women on first Friday):

 

 

Fair enough on the % there - but digging a bit deeper.   SS also had a decently high minority audience:

"With Suicide Squad, 39% of its ticket buyers were comprised of African American and Hispanic audiences."

...which usually portends a steeper second weekend drop.   Not expecting that same demographic makeup here.  

 

In addition, SS didn't resonate with the middle age audience:

"But Suicide Squad‘s weaker grades were with the middle-age folks with 25-34 year olds (22%) and 35-49 year olds (17%) giving it a B"

Whereas WOM on WW appears to soaring among that same age group.  

 

My point overall though, is don't try to pigeonhole WW into the same trends as prior DCEU or even MCU films - it will be an outlier due to female empowerment push, and the larger than normal share of female ticket buyers.   Expecting an OW to total gross multiplier of at least 3.0, and probably closer to GOTG 3.5x, despite the stronger competition in the ensuing weeks.  But also, a softer opening weekend, maybe over $100 mil but not too much more than that.  

 

Already looking forward to all of the reporting about the "surprising" second weekend hold, when it breaks the mold and drops less than 50% in week 2... 

 

 

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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

How my theater is looking today:


WW:

 

10:00: 90/124

11:00 3D: 27/78

12:00: 26/69

1:15: 41/124

2:15 3D: 21/78

3:15: 10/69

4:30: 26/124

5:30 3D: 5/78

6:30 3D: 19/69

7:45: 91/124

8:45 3D: 15/78

9:45 3D: 8/69

11:00 3D: 4/124

Total: 383/1,208

 

CU:

 

10:15: 66/78

11:30: 50/67

12:40 3D: 28/78

3:05: 43/78

5:25 3D: 7/78

7:55: 13/78

10:15 3D: 0/78

Total: 207/535

 

POTC:

 

10:00: 18/78

11:30: 9/113

1:00 3D: 12/60

2:30: 15/113

4:00 3D: 2/60

5:30: 7/113

7:00 3D: 8/60

8:30: 19/113

10:00 3D: 0/60

Total: 90/770

 

CU is doing 54% of WW and twice as much as Pirates?

 

I know it's early and it's a kids movie but damn

 

 

 

 

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted (edited)

I unabashedly come out of the closet as the first spoiled(?) BOTizen who will whine and shout 'disappointing' if this does 1 cent less than 95 ow. :D

Well not really, but I don't want it to end up as the lowest grossing DCEU dom.

 

For that matter, even MOS does not deserve to be the lowest grossing DCEU but that's a done thing.

Though WONDR should really really not get that tag.

 

I expect WONDR to do >2.75x and 105+ will help it challenge MOS. High-nineties (like F8) will be fine too but then will leave it needing closer to 3x (which am not ruling out).

Edited by a2knet
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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted
Just now, TalismanRing said:

 

CU is doing 54% of WW and twice as much as Pirates?

 

I know it's early and it's a kids movie but damn

 

 

 

 

Thinking my $40M+ OW train may not be crazy after all.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted
Just now, TalismanRing said:

 

CU is doing 54% of WW and twice as much as Pirates?

 

I know it's early and it's a kids movie but damn

 

 

 

 

Yeah, these are some fucking incredible matinees for CU. My theater (and many others across the country) made a big mistake putting it on one screen save for that one stray showing at 11:30. I don't know why POTC hanged on to the second biggest auditorium; even with spillover from last weekend, an average sized auditorium with the smallest one for 3D would have been plenty for this weekend.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
Just now, YourMother said:

Thinking my $40M+ OW train may not be crazy after all.

No doubt it's benefitting from positive reviews and a complete dearth of family fare in the last two months aside from Guardians to an extent (and Pirates to an even smaller extent thanks to the Disney brand). I think everyone should prepare themselves for when The Emoji Movie does well at the end of July.

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted

pro.BO expects POTC to drop 68% to ~20 while BOM expects a 60% for 25.

APOC fell 65.3%.

I hope POTC can do 23+ (62% drop).

 

APOC had less competition (35 from TMNT2 and 19 from MeB4U) but then X-Mens have been more front-loaded.

Same drop gives POTC 22.

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