INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

rest of movies

http://deadline.com/2018/04/avengers-infinity-war-weekend-box-office-opening-records-1202378032/

8.5-10.5, 7-9...

 

Why bother giving estimates with those kind of ranges and OUCH for ST2

[Dementeleus]

2 minutes ago, a2knet said:

With 102 Fri, 230 is still on cards:

 

39

63 [102]

71 (+12.5%) [173]

57 (-20%) [230]

 

Possible for sure, but I still think unlikely.

[The Panda]

Disappointed I didn’t go with my original Summer game IW predict of 235m / 520m.  At least I didn’t up it to much, predicted 245m / 545m

[Lestranger]

Are we coming down from the clouds now? It is falling in line with tracking. Deadline had it 216-235 tracking this week, which was was lower than Variety and HR. Amazing opening, Marvel is midas. 

[Belle]

So we're probably looking at around 230-235M. EDIT: I'd personally say OD could be around 100-105M. Still a big number but I knew that I people were overhyping it when they seemed so sure that the OW record would go down. The 57M Force Awakens did was nuts and taking away previews, still made roughly the same amount Avengers and Jurassic World did. 

Edited April 27, 2018 by Belle
Narrowed my guesses down

[LaughingEvans]

12 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Guys I've branched out from here and it's not going too well, they hit me with downvotes and called me a shill! How do I make reddit box office like me?

 

 

 

 

Oh man, you made a big mistake going to a place where when they can't argue with you they just downvote you.

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, Critically Acclaimed Panda said:

I wonder if IW will be like Han’s anti-WW, constantly overshooting what’ll actually be in reality.

Let's make sure he stays the hell away from the Merc With The Mouth then 

[John Marston]

Now that Infinity War is dissapointing it’s time to give up on Domestic box office interest 

Edited April 27, 2018 by John Marston

[Cooper Legion]

Great for AQP, hoping for 200.    

 

BP vs ST2 for the last top 5 slot interests me a fair bit.    

 

IW should pull a true FSS between TA’s 189 and adjusted 215, for 228-254. Probably on the lower end of that though, #2 opening looks quite likely right now.   

 

Getting to 600 off a 230 opening could be pretty rough sadly, though that RT audience score makes me slightly more hopeful for an A+ than before.

[IronJimbo]

Just now, LaughingEvans said:

 

Oh man, you made a big mistake going to a place where when they can't argue with you they just downvote you.

I've got to wait 10 minutes to post now forces everyone to appease each other

[That One Girl]

@EmpireCity said he would leave the site if it goes under 225M  

[JohnnyGossamer]

Friday will come in just over/under $100M. Saturday MCU event movies always impress - Ultron being sneaky outlier for a reason we're all well aware of - and Sunday MCU event movies generally dip but not drastically due to spillover. Just over/under $230M seems very likely to me. If the Friday number closes in on $105M somehow, something just over/under $240M could happen.

[TwoMisfits]

8 minutes ago, a2knet said:

With 102 Fri, 230 is still on cards:

 

39

63 [102]

71 (+12.5%) [173]

57 (-20%) [230]

I actually have a stronger Sunday, and a slightly weaker Friday (and Saturday) to get to my Monday $230Mish guess (I have Sunday over true Friday by a hair)...Sunday drops for these big movies haven't been that bad, so I think it could be stronger than expected with older audiences definitely playing a key role in the box office...

Edited April 27, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[IronJimbo]

Just now, That Ambitious Guy said:

@EmpireCity said he would leave the site if it goes under 225M  

I thought we were just going to let that slide now that he's not purple and all...

[The Panda]

Just now, That Ambitious Guy said:

@EmpireCity said he would leave the site if it goes under 225M  

He also said the OW record was a near lock and 300m was definitely in play.

[That One Girl]

Pretty hilarious how my 228M prediction was considered low for a while and look at where it is.

[Fancyarcher]

Well off to see Infinity War. Hopefully this thread doesn’t fall further into complete chaos while I’m gone

[CJohn]

ANNOUNCEMENT

 

@MrPink's threadbanning has been reduced to 12 hours after further analysis and good behavior.

[WrathOfHan]

AQP:

 

Apr 27: 12M (4.4M weekdays, 153.9M Total)

May 4: 9.8M (3.3M weekdays, 167M Total)

May 11: 7.2M (2.6M weekdays, 176.8M Total)

May 18: 4.9M (1.7M weekdays, 183.4M Total)

May 25: 3.2M (1.7M weekdays, 188.3M Total)

Jun 1: 2.1M (1.1M weekdays, 191.5M Total)

Jun 8: 1.5M (800k weekdays, 193.8M Total)

Jun 15: 800k (500k weekdays, 195.1M Total)

Final Total: 198M (3.94x)

 

Legendary fudge incoming?

[Dementeleus]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Friday will come in just over/under $100M. Saturday MCU event movies always impress - Ultron being sneaky outlier for a reason we're all well aware of - and Sunday MCU event movies generally dip but not drastically due to spillover. Just over/under $230M seems very likely to me. If the Friday number closes in on $105M somehow, something just over/under $240M could happen.

 

The wildcard is that IW has a lot more presales, which (generally) flatten out those walkups and big jumps.