a2k Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 (edited) 14 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said: No model, just basing it on how fast this is generally dropping. This is dropping faster than JW , never mind black panther (which will start gaining huge after the upcoming weekend). JW's multiplier was actually better than TA1. If we cannot expect TA3 to match TA1's 3.01x legs (duh) why compare it to JW, a movie that did 3.12x. your analysis of AIW's bo is horrible imo. Edited May 8, 2018 by A2k Raptor 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 (edited) Wonder if Disney will do the same thing with Avengers 4 (and leave the decision until only a couple of months out) or will they instead push the OS release date back to align with the NA May Date. Maybe try and and get the China release on the same weekend this time. Edited May 8, 2018 by Darth Lehnsherr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 Just now, Darth Lehnsherr said: Wonder if Disney will do the same thing with Avengers 4 (and leave the decision until only a couple of months out) or will they instead push the OS release date back to align with the NA May Date. O/S date is to take advantage of May Day holidays, they're not changing that. I wonder though if they ever considered opening it in summer when school is actually out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arlborn Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 18 minutes ago, Krissykins said: Duncan Jones just said on twitter that they’ve been notified that, seven years after Source Code was released, it’s about to make some profit. It cost $30m and made $150m in box office alone. Hollywood accounting! How awful for the makers of the film. Just read that. Hollywood can be incredibly disgusting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TomCruiseTop Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 26 minutes ago, ZattMurdock said: 2nd biggest film of all time ww 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 (edited) 14 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: O/S date is to take advantage of May Day holidays, they're not changing that. I wonder though if they ever considered opening it in summer when school is actually out. I know a lot of movies were successful in early May way long ago, but Marvel in particular kinda stuck with that "safe zone" ever since Spider-Man broke through 100M for the 1st time ever in 3 days during that 1st weekend of May '02, and ever since, they've made the most out of that release date. But it is true, and Infinity War has really highlighted that for me: the May release is good because no movie would dare to give you major competition in your 1st 3/4 weekends and then a cushioned drop on Memorial Day that could make the difference for a long term goal, but apart from that, what else? You don't get a whole lot of Summer weekday backup. I imagine that if Infinity War opened in June, it'd be tracking closer to Force Awakens right now (maybe its 2nd weekend hold would've been a little better too as it wouldn't have had Saturday deflation from Cinco de Mayo or whatever and its Sunday was ever so slightly inflated by children being off school during the week). The problem with June/July, however, is that you're also running the risk of facing too much competition. That is one other advantage that you get from May: i.e. animated films aren't big on May openings as they get less children right off the bat, and thus Marvel gets all or most of the family audience available. Other blockbusters don't go for May openings due to the need of that Summer weekday cushion to help their weekend grosses, while Marvel movies make more than enough money to sustain themselves on regular school + work periods of the year. But yeah, I would like to see one of the Avengers movies open in the stronger seasons of the year too. December is probably the prime spot imo, as even with a shit ton of competition eating into each other, the Holidays pack such a gigantic punch that at least decent legs are a given (TLJ, for the shit it gets, had a 2.8x, which is bad for Holiday standards, but terrific for regular blockbuster sequel standards), and you don't face competition in January like you would in June or July. Edited May 8, 2018 by MCKillswitch123 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookieleeann Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 Good number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 Hoping for over $9M but this is right in line with BP's drop. Won't be long until other big films' dailies catch up to IW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 It only dropped 47.5% from true FSS. So I thinking around a 45% drop this weekend which gives around 63m 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 Still over BP in dailies. Take that wakandans! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 17 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said: Wonder if Disney will do the same thing with Avengers 4 (and leave the decision until only a couple of months out) or will they instead push the OS release date back to align with the NA May Date. Maybe try and and get the China release on the same weekend this time. One thing I don't see people considering is that I do think DP2 and Solo numbers might make for some other films next year to "reconsider" their dates after A4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REC Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 Yep still better than The Avengers. Very good trajectory. And TA blew away expectations, had excellent WOM and was a real crowd pleaser. Doing better than that, even by a smidgen is fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REC Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 10 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said: The problem with June/July, however, is that you're also running the risk of facing too much competition. That is one other advantage that you get from May: i.e. animated films aren't big on May openings as they get less children right off the bat, and thus Marvel gets all or most of the family audience available. Other blockbusters don't go for May openings due to the need of that Summer weekday cushion to help their weekend grosses, while Marvel movies make more than enough money to sustain themselves on regular school + work periods of the year. But yeah, I would like to see one of the Avengers movies open in the stronger seasons of the year too. Event movies don't care what time of year they open. They defy gravity 24/7/365 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justvision Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 51 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said: Horrible number . 50 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said: It will be lucky to get over 50 million. Thank you for continuing the reverse jinx. I for one appreciate it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 Is it worth starting a What Went Wrong thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 32 minutes ago, baumer said: I think it seems kind of low in comparison to other Marvel films in their third weekend. I agree, compared to the three othe huge Marvel movies that increase would be kind of soft. Then again, the Wednesday drop* looks better than what I would expect, so maybe that counters it a bit, as the number going into the weekend is higher than it should be. * listed as 25% rise followed by a 26% drop, in comparison, BP rose 26 and dropped 32.6%, AoU rose 11 and dropped 27.5% and TA rose 7% and dropped 25.2%. The latter two don't fit quite as much due to their lower Tuesday increase, but all three movies still show that the Wednesday drop should be expected to be quite a few percentage points larger than the Tuesday increase. Down 30% to 7.4m sounds like a better fit to such a Tuesday increase to me. Add the 5% Thursday drop to around 7m, and the Friday jump to 17m would be around the "common" Marvel 2nd Friday jump of around 145%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meriodejaneiro Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 46 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: 8.5M 10.6M (+25%) 7.8M (-26%) 7.4M (-5%) 17M (+130%) 26.4M (+55%) 19.8M (-25%) 63.2M Weekend, 45% drop That would be a nice 550.5M by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 50 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said: No model, just basing it on how fast this is generally dropping. This is dropping faster than JW , never mind black panther (which will start gaining huge after the upcoming weekend). That’s expected given that this wasn’t going to get a 3x multi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 Is the best 2nd Monday of the MCU... what do you expect guys? 😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 Someone said under 9M will cause meltdowns so 8.5M is a green light for meltdowns! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...