Weekend Thread | Venom with -55.5% drop - 35.7m | A Star is Born -34.7% - 28m | First Man disappointing with 16.5m | Goosebumps 2 16.225m | Bad Times for Bad Times At The El Royale with 7.225m

[DAJK]

https://deadline.com/2018/10/first-man-landing-1m-from-thursday-night-shows-early-b-o-read-1202481481/

 

Friday 11:44PM Writethru after 2:45PM post: The weekend once again belongs to Sony’s Venom and Warner Bros.’ A Star Is Born, which are respectively looking at second weekends of $31.7M (-60%) and $29.6M (-31%).

 

Universal’s First Man which is looking at a chilly $16.8M opening at 3,640 theaters in 3rd.

 

Currently Sony’s Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween is placing fourth with $15.7M at 3,521, but that’s before Saturday matinees kick in.

 

Then there’s Bad Times at the El Royale via Fox 2000 at 2,808 venues which is looking at a lowly $7.9M in sixth place.

 

The Hate U Give which expanded  from 36 to 248 for a great 9th place second weekend of $1.5M or $6K.

[Curtis1986]

12 minutes ago, DAJK said:

https://deadline.com/2018/10/first-man-landing-1m-from-thursday-night-shows-early-b-o-read-1202481481/

 

Friday 11:44PM Writethru after 2:45PM post: The weekend once again belongs to Sony’s Venom and Warner Bros.’ A Star Is Born, which are respectively looking at second weekends of $31.7M (-60%) and $29.6M (-31%).

 

Universal’s First Man which is looking at a chilly $16.8M opening at 3,640 theaters in 3rd.

 

Currently Sony’s Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween is placing fourth with $15.7M at 3,521, but that’s before Saturday matinees kick in.

 

Then there’s Bad Times at the El Royale via Fox 2000 at 2,808 venues which is looking at a lowly $7.9M in sixth place.

 

The Hate U Give which expanded  from 36 to 248 for a great 9th place second weekend of $1.5M or $6K.

Wow could not even hit 17 million. Nice for The Hate U Give. Outstanding movie and deserves its 97% rating on Rotten Tomatoes. Bad but expected for Bad Times.

Edited October 13, 2018 by Curtis1986

[a2k]

Venom will be 61 away from 200 after a 32 weekend. That's less than 2x the weekend required. Considering it lost premium screens this weekend and that if it falls a bit short than a push to 200 is likely, one can consider that milestone locked.

[bladels]

Venom's actually having a good hold considering lost of premium screens and last week's inflated Sunday.

ASIB has excellent hold but it'll still be quite difficult to catch up with Venom now.

[Zakiyyah6]

Great for A Star is Born and decent for Venom. So-so for Goosebumps 2. El Royale isn't even going to hit 9 million,  which is beyond pathetic.

 

Lets not beat around the bush, First Man will come in under it's 20+mil tracking. If the film doesn't explode today its opening will be a flat out disappointment. I don't get how anybody can spin these numbers. 

Edited October 13, 2018 by Zakiyyah6

[Barnack]

Competition is just too high for an El Royale if an under 75% RT was not already a kiss of death for a movie like this. Having seen First Man it could even continue to go down a little bit has it goes on, I do not imagine it will be that well liked.

[Hades]

Hems-bomb is at it again..

[Zakiyyah6]

The second disappointing opening in a row for a well reviewed October Ryan Gosling film. 

[Felandria]

The main issue with Royale is the similarity to Hotel Artemis, which already tanked, as well as the fact that it’s apparently a very different movie from what the trailer indicates.

[a2k]

I think Deadline is under-estimating Venom after that Friday

9.50

14.62 (+54%)

9.06 (-38%)

= 33.18

[a2k]

HUMB	RANK	FILM	DIS.	SCREENS (CHG)	FRI	3-DAY (-%)	TOTAL	WK
	1	Venom	Sony	4,250	$9.5M (-71%)	$31.7M (-60%)	$138.8M	2
	2	A Star Is Born	WB	3,708 (+22)	$8.9M (-43%)	$29.6M (-31%)	$95.7M	2
	3	First Man	Uni	3,640	$5.9M	$16.8M	$16.8M	1
	4	Goosebumps 2	Sony	3,521	$4.9M	$15.7M	$15.7M	1
	5	Smallfoot	WB	3,606 (-525)	$2.1M (-38%)	$8.8M (-39%)	$57.1M	3
	6	…El Royale	Fox	2,808	$2.9M	$7.9M	$7.9M	1
	7	Night School	Uni	2,780 (-239)	$2.1M (-41%)	$7.5M (-40%)	$59.3M	3
	8	The House…	Am/Uni	2,791 (-672)	$1M (-43%)	$4M (-45%)	$62.3M	4
	9	The Hate U Give	Fox	248 (+212)	$455K (+160%)	$1.5M (+201%)	$2.2M	2
	10	A Simple Favor	LG	1,452 (-956)	$427K (-59%)	$1.3M  (-61%)	$52M	5

[baumer]

I didn't like El Royale at all. Just a jumbled giant mess.

[babz06]

Gosling seems like he can only sell hearthrob movies. 

[KeepItU25071906]

BORING NUMBERS

[a2k]

Goosebumps1 did 3.39x (23.6 ow, 80.1 dom). Goosebumps2 could do 3x for 45-50 dom. However it's budget is on;y 35m, compared to 58m for Goosebumps1. Gonna be a win for Sony.

[LegendaryBen]

ASIB held well considering it lost some of its premium screens and it was coming off a holiday weekend (Gone Girl’s 2nd weekend was during Columbus Day). If it happens to get a strong increase on Saturday like BR2049 and/or hold well on Sunday, taking the top spot isn’t impossible. Even if it stays at #2, that hold is still awesome.

 

Most disappointed with First Man with not only its box office numbers but also its cinemascore grade. The chances of $100m are almost out of the question now. I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s oscar chances decrease because of its disappointing WOM. You could argue that Wolf of Wall Street (an Oscar contender from 45 years ago) had only a C in Cinemascore but its WOM across social media was quite stronger than FM.

Edited October 13, 2018 by LegendaryBen

[Boxofficerules]

Michael Myers is going to take a kitchen knife to everyone’s legs next week.

[MCKillswitch123]

Everything is performing as expected, though First Man's number is a letdown nonetheless. Probably would have done better if it opened in 4 theaters in late December and then gone wide in January. (It would have had to contend with Ad Astra, though, but I feel like it would've been better for it to face that than to see the air get completely sucked out of the room by both Venom, ASIB, and next week's Halloween.)

 

Venom is echoing both July MCU movies of the last two years (Spider-Man: Homecoming and Ant-Man And The Wasp) - hell, its drop as currently estimated is marginally superior to that of the two of those films - so it should start stabilizing next week. 200+ seems like a damn near done deal. I don't expect it to beat Ant-Man 2 as that had Summer weekdays to its advantage, but it should get within O/U 10M of it. Beating The Amazing Spider-Man 2 seems fairly good to go too, which is hilarious.

 

ASIB is looking good for at least 150M DOM, and 200M might not be closed shop.

 

Goosebumps 2 is probably gonna be profitable/successful given its budget. Could have had a worse drop from the 1st one's opening, considering the lack of promotion + recent competition from The House With A Clock In Its Walls.

 

Smallfoot is performing exactly on par with Storks drop-wise. 80+ DOM is looking better than ever now.

 

El Royale is doing about exactly as I thought it would once I heard about the film's actual nature, plus Chris Hemsworth is not really a draw outside of Thor.

 

The Hate U Give seems to be enjoying a fantastic expansion.

Edited October 13, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[Marathon]

Awful for El Royale. 😑

 

Since it doesn't look like a movie with much overseas appeal, either, that's going to be a writedown.

[MCKillswitch123]

El Royale is probably gonna go down as a cult classic years down the line. I'll give Fox credit for taking a shot on Drew Goddard and something like it.