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Weekend Thread ~ The Grinch 67m+ per DHD

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8 hours ago, Alli said:

something unlikable about Claire Foy. Can't put my finger on it. She's not gonna happen in the mainstream imo. still, the critics/ awards seem to love her so there's that

Yup.

Not feeling her at all either.

She s better in streaming land.

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3 hours ago, Shawn said:

Nope.

I don't disagree about the opening (which is where I have it landing) but the total? Has there been strong buzz about the movie? Felt like an obvious $50-60M grosser to me given how much is out right now. Although I guess it helps that the competition isn't looking to be that strong (especially going up against a Fantastic Beasts 2 that's looking to have even narrower interest than its predecessor and a Wreck-It Ralph sequel that's arriving with less buzz than the original did).

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2.2

16.1 [18.3 - Deadline's latest]

26.9 (+67%)

19.3 (-28%)

= 64.5 (225-240 dom with around 3.5-3.7x multi)

 

edit: (unconnected but don't wanna multi-post) RT critics on 54% and aud score at 76% (started at 81%)

 

Edited by a2k
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https://deadline.com/2018/11/the-grinch-bohemian-rhapsody-weekend-box-office-1202498901/

 

Quote

3rd update, Friday 11:25 PM after midday postRefresh for chart With Sunday being Veterans Day, moviegoing will spill over to Monday when many schools will have the holiday off, so whatever we’re seeing for Illumination/Universal’s The Grinch now will be so, so much higher by then, and other titles as well. ComScore reports that close to half of all K-12 schools will be off Monday with another 28% U.S. colleges on recess. Right now the Benedict Cumberbatch-voiced Dr. Seuss yuletide toon is looking to haul $18.3M for Friday (including $2.2M previews), $66.2M for the weekend per industry estimates, an improvement upon the 2000 version’s $55M three-day.

 

Quote

Fox/New Regency/GK Films’ Bohemian Rhapsody is currently eyeing a second Friday of $8.8M, -53% because last Friday’s take included previews, for a second weekend of $30M, down a great 41% and a revised projected 10-day total of $99.1M. Once it crosses $100M, which is quite possible this weekend, Bohemian Rhapsody will rep the sixth Graham King production to so stateside.

 

Paramount’s Overlordwhich cost $38M before P&A, is currently edging out the other wide release R-rated offering, Sony/MGM/New Regency’s The Girl in the Spider Web$10.1M to $8.8M in their 3rd and 5th ranked weekend openings. Respectively both will earn an estimated $3.9M and $3.1M on Friday which includes their Thursday previews. Neither film is doing well enough in regards to their openings, a $15M-$20M start would have been great.

 

Edited by Daenys
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I guess DL thinks we'll get this:  2.2+16.1+28.2(+75%)+19.7(-30%)=66.2

 

Big Hero 6 on this weekend bumped up 66.9% from Friday proper to Saturday. I suppose that should be the baseline for Grinch, which probably appeals further down the age range.

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https://deadline.com/2018/11/the-grinch-bohemian-rhapsody-weekend-box-office-1202498901/

 

 

WEEKEND B.O. FOR NOV. 9-11

thumb rank film dis. screens (chg) fri 3-day (-%) total wk
the-grinch.jpg?resize=500%2C281&w=605 1 The Grinch Uni/Ill 4,141 $18.3M $66.2M $66.2M 1
bohem-1.jpg?resize=500%2C281&w=605 2 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox/NR/GK 4,000 $8.8M (-53%) $30M (-41%) $99.1M 2
overlord1.jpg?resize=500%2C281&w=605 3 Overlord Par 2,859 $3.9M $10.1M $10.1M 1
nutcracker.jpg?resize=500%2C281&w=605 4 Nutcracker… Dis 3,766 $2.5M (-58%) $9.8M (-52%) $35.4M 2
girl-in-spider-web-3.jpg?resize=500%2C28 5 …Spider’s Web Sony/MGM/NR 2,929 $3.1M $8.8M $8.8M 1
a-star-is-born.jpg?resize=500%2C281&w=60 6 A Star Is Born WB 2,848 (-583) $2.3M (-28%) $8M (-27%) $178M 6
utp-05843r4.jpg?resize=500%2C281&w=605 7 Nobody’s Fool Par 2,468 $1.8M (-61%) $6.4M (-53%) $24.1M 2
venom-ii.jpg?resize=500%2C281&w=605 8 Venom Sony 2,351 (-716) $1.3M (-35%) $5M (-36%) $206.3M 6
halloween-2.jpg?resize=500%2C281&w=605 9 halloween Uni/Mmax/Blum 2,717 (-1,058) $1.2M (-64%) $3.7M (-66%)   $156.7M 4
the-hate-u-give-thug-012_rgb.jpg?resize= 10 The Hate U Give Fox 1,108 (-399) $538K (-42%) $1.9M
(-42%)
$26.5M 6
Edited by Ryan Reynolds
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ASIB 8m weekend takes it to 178m.

Venom 5m weekend takes it to 206.3m

 

If ASIB adds a great 4x this weekend more to it's cume it gets 178 + 4*8 = 210 Dom

 

So safe to say beating Venom, it's fellow opener, is still very tough thanks to good holds (and 1 great one) Venom itself had, but it got more close than anyone thought.

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4 hours ago, shuotong said:

What's that based on?

It feels like the marketing for this one peaked a while back. Probably shouldn't have made the princess scene the centerpiece, or at least held off on revealing that until later. It'll still make a ton of money though.

Edited by filmlover
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