4-day Weekend Official| Alita $33.50M, Lego $27.75m, Isn't Romantic $16.64M, WMW $12.21m, HDD2U $11m

[sfran43]

51 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Any numbers for Fighting with my Family?

 

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, nevermore said:

6TH UPDATE: Refresh for updates Fox/Lightstorm’s Alita is currently looking at a four-day of $27.7M, $200K more as of this minute then the Friday-Monday stretch for Warner Bros.’ Lego Movie 2: The Second Part with $27.5M. Alita eyeying $7.1M Friday, -18% from yesterday while Lego Movie 2 is clocking a second Friday of $4.5M.

Good hold for Lego 2 looks like. It'll likely win tomorrow through Monday being a kids movie.

Edited February 15, 2019 by filmlover

[TwoMisfits]

6 minutes ago, nevermore said:

6TH UPDATE: Refresh for updates Fox/Lightstorm’s Alita is currently looking at a four-day of $27.7M, $200K more as of this minute then the Friday-Monday stretch for Warner Bros.’ Lego Movie 2: The Second Part with $27.5M. Alita eyeying $7.1M Friday, -18% from yesterday while Lego Movie 2 is clocking a second Friday of $4.5M.

So, right now, it's a dead heat for the 4 day weekend...but about a $2.7M difference on the 3 day...

 

And Alita is predicted to have a $36.4M 5 day weekend...

 

PS - Lego 2 is looking at a 39% 3 day drop with those numbers...

Edited February 15, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[Jonwo]

4 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Thanks, only a $8500 PTA which seems weak.

Edited February 15, 2019 by Jonwo

[Maxmoser3]

Three more weeks people. 

[JB33]

1 minute ago, Jonwo said:

Thanks, only a $8500 PTA which seems weak.

Was just going to say....

 

Does anyone else find that number disappointing?

[Barnack]

3 minutes ago, nevermore said:

6TH UPDATE: Refresh for updates Fox/Lightstorm’s Alita is currently looking at a four-day of $27.7M, $200K more as of this minute then the Friday-Monday stretch for Warner Bros.’ Lego Movie 2: The Second Part with $27.5M. Alita eyeying $7.1M Friday, -18% from yesterday while Lego Movie 2 is clocking a second Friday of $4.5M.

35m for the first 7 days (or 6) ?

 

27.7m 4 days weekend, precedent for this weekend look like:

 

	Multiplier	OW of 27.7 with the same legs
Eight Below	3.27	90.54
John Q.	3.04	84.18
Safe Haven	2.92	80.77
Bridge to Terabithia	2.88	79.86
The Spiderwick Chronicles	2.88	79.71
Step Up 2 the Streets	2.62	72.64
Unknown	2.50	69.31
Jumper	2.50	69.20
I Am Number Four	2.42	67.07
A Good Day to Die Hard	2.35	65.14
RoboCop (2014)	2.34	64.78
Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance	2.03	56.31
About Last Night (2014)	1.75	48.40
Average		71.38

 

 

 

 

Will it be on the higher ends of those example for a 80-90m run ? A bit Blade Runnerish.

[Barnack]

6 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Was just going to say....

 

Does anyone else find that number disappointing?

PTA for a single week day, isn't a metric I often see to be able to think much of it, does not feel impressive to me but....

Edited February 15, 2019 by Barnack

[filmlover]

8 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Thanks, only a $8500 PTA which seems weak.

 

6 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Was just going to say....

 

Does anyone else find that number disappointing?

Clearly it's not an NY/LA type of movie although I doubt it does much in wide release. It's being released with little fanfare despite good reviews.

[The Panda]

75-90m seems like the right range off of that weekend.

 

So not an embarrassing flop, but not a franchise starter by any means.

[lorddemaxus]

2 hours ago, That One Guy said:

 

Hey, question, why do you feel the need to continuously go after Alita?  Maybe stop getting so worked up about it?  thanks!

Not going after Alita. Speed Racer is just a masterpiece, that is it. And who gets worked up about a movie? Clearly, the people who can't take some light banter.

Edited February 15, 2019 by lorddemaxus

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, The Panda said:

75-90m seems like the right range off of that weekend.

 

So not an embarrassing flop, but not a franchise starter by any means.

What's the overseas looking like? All it needs is $400M to avoid flop status, and making $325M overseas against a $75M domestic total shouldn't be that difficult for it I would think

[The Panda]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

What's the overseas looking like? All it needs is $400M to avoid flop status, and making $325M overseas against a $75M domestic total shouldn't be that difficult for it I would think

I’d think it’d need at least 500m WW to potentially justify a sequel

[nevermore]

11 minutes ago, Barnack said:

35m for the first 7 days (or 6) ?

 

27.7m 4 days weekend, precedent for this weekend look like:

 

	Multiplier	OW of 27.7 with the same legs
Eight Below	3.27	90.54
John Q.	3.04	84.18
Safe Haven	2.92	80.77
Bridge to Terabithia	2.88	79.86
The Spiderwick Chronicles	2.88	79.71
Step Up 2 the Streets	2.62	72.64
Unknown	2.50	69.31
Jumper	2.50	69.20
I Am Number Four	2.42	67.07
A Good Day to Die Hard	2.35	65.14
RoboCop (2014)	2.34	64.78
Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance	2.03	56.31
About Last Night (2014)	1.75	48.40
Average		71.38

 

 

 

 

Will it be on the higher ends of those example for a 80-90m run ? A bit Blade Runnerish.

36.4M for the 5 day according to Deadline.

[Eric Prime]

Those 4-Day estimates turn into 36.4M for the 5-Day.

 

If Alita has Die Hard 5's legs: 66.5M Total

Jumper: 75.4M

GI Joe Retaliation: 80.3M

Ready Player One: 85M

 

Die Hard had toxic word of mouth, so that definitely ain't happening. But I guess somewhere in the 75-85M range seems about right

[dudalb]

12 minutes ago, Barnack said:

35m for the first 7 days (or 6) ?

 

27.7m 4 days weekend, precedent for this weekend look like:

 

	Multiplier	OW of 27.7 with the same legs
Eight Below	3.27	90.54
John Q.	3.04	84.18
Safe Haven	2.92	80.77
Bridge to Terabithia	2.88	79.86
The Spiderwick Chronicles	2.88	79.71
Step Up 2 the Streets	2.62	72.64
Unknown	2.50	69.31
Jumper	2.50	69.20
I Am Number Four	2.42	67.07
A Good Day to Die Hard	2.35	65.14
RoboCop (2014)	2.34	64.78
Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance	2.03	56.31
About Last Night (2014)	1.75	48.40
Average		71.38

 

 

 

 

Will it be on the higher ends of those example for a 80-90m run ? A bit Blade Runnerish.

 

7 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Not going after Alita. Speed Racer is just a masterpiece, that is it. And who gets worked up about a movie? Clearly, the people who can't take some light banter.

And just accepting reality that Alita is underperforming at the box office is now "going after Alita?'.

 

[KJsooner]

Holy shite, crap numbers for HD2 last free days. I really expected it to break out considering the success and fun of the first one.

[DAJK]

I'd still consider 80M for Alita a win. A lot more than it woulda done had Fox kept it in Christmas. 

[Barnack]

6 minutes ago, nevermore said:

36.4M for the 5 day according to Deadline.

It is playing in my city since at least Tuesday and they are counting Monday in it (that would be seven days).

Edited February 15, 2019 by Barnack

[YM!]

So where’s Lego 2 heading? $120M DOM?